│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 14% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+4.8%
n=36 out-of-sample
Hit rate
14%
64 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+1.6% → +1.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.240
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.9% … +5.1%
Support64
OOS support36
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 88
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 88
200 resolved wallets
acd19…1aabbe4b6d…bc0884f4b8…1a68c22cd0…03bf73742f…87f78f2b7d…41ed1707cb…b949fd8e0e…d6e0b4ca30…6011fc0531…742de1b34b…b46d6b9fc9…929ea64afc…a81153d256…9157af5a83…4a8a1ef626…9c1bcdbc8e…45fded9cad…4df88005fe…8229d50e4d…f1bc49f477…3eb5e771ff…6f84e83b44…f50f1b5528…eb42ea36eb…e31569807c…9f2a3d7adf…4dc5a585dc…da1bd1a9ef…a4edda8f42…8fdccab0b9…e0d8f74477…9cb61d3d9b…f97b1ec85d…4038fe1766…bf8d14b534…7683ad0537…c6473ab9cb…cac37d0e98…86b6793fb7…c5fce71873…718575a7c0…556e93d9af…0be70f604e…fb03440014…ee96a5420a…e2fcc68cbf…c63059fa6f…31b24d729f…c4ec65e211…fb1466613d…7008a113cf…8f499d4c18…502d429d4a…50f15a69d8…8398e5392f…190daf8dd8…907481ea50…f05091e1e6…6f68ec0f1e…9296cd21f4…cbca7f009a…fbee63c3f7…f1403d9803…889d2c4dcb…2f7ab10c65…8b7b0aa15d…87aaaaf6f1…2fdaca8af3…d86b63a46d…506460fb9c…43fae2c585…61b32e5895…1aa84b77b9…f78485fab1…ee1737b08b…01ee3c5b45…4bd3cc9d61…50d0f46d60…a0380aa3d3…65273+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b736…47ef | 416,776,703 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| d39f…d12f | 415,398,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 6a64…250f | 412,578,053 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 90d0…823f | 418,656,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 3b00…1fef | 411,954,861 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| b6eb…f32f | 410,161,853 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 4753…563f | 423,468,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 4710…783f | 418,324,024 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 0f05…28e5 | 416,965,550 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 271e…0a3f | 423,727,455 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 22fb…bc5f | 420,380,081 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 4816…af7f | 421,553,760 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7bea…09ff | 415,914,849 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7afa…fc0f | 423,807,897 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| b996…786f | 418,961,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 3780…059f | 424,726,777 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| c8e2…b3cf | 411,968,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 9efc…877f | 425,132,384 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 0df5…634f | 412,400,001 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| c588…fc75 | 416,312,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8347…5e6f | 420,232,769 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| c47b…1c7f | 424,079,689 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| eb7d…416f | 419,091,544 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2d74…62c2 | 416,151,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 9f6e…749f | 410,559,052 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 36a6…765f | 413,433,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 6cc9…1dcf | 421,912,230 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| a787…27cf | 426,282,637 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 898d…be7f | 417,846,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| c787…0c2c | 418,475,594 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 9c4b…60af | 410,097,364 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 0fc5…aa4f | 416,421,051 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 0f69…a39f | 410,341,710 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8880…4c9f | 418,296,795 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 9a6e…765f | 410,016,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 9a8a…6b3f | 416,355,955 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 73b3…fe3f | 423,682,436 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 44b3…6e7f | 410,048,681 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 44b0…84df | 421,316,010 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| c40c…128f | 409,753,855 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2ec6…76bf | 412,808,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2734…14ef | 411,206,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| de86…7e91 | 416,098,624 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 76ea…a05f | 420,316,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 6fd9…725f | 416,731,318 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 4b11…84cf | 410,251,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 4b09…837f | 410,083,912 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 74f6…25ef | 417,019,997 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| b5ca…e0bf | 418,099,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| c491…351f | 423,848,010 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 1084…a19f | 412,398,577 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 5b34…578f | 416,754,212 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 265b…309f | 426,663,515 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 792f…733f | 422,524,972 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 5ce5…19ff | 413,218,567 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 9a98…a98f | 412,345,136 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| ee8f…b50f | 420,410,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 3411…6612 | 422,581,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| d35b…66af | 416,719,260 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 1559…4e6f | 424,718,919 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |