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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 22% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-0.5%
n=74 out-of-sample
Hit rate
22%
203 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-1.1% → -0.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.853
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.7% … +1.5%
Support203
OOS support74
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 68
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | bffb8296876569a13fc84d114f7abd671b376b9b3d764372b2a7e118dd17dc9e | 90% | 248 |
| w1 | wallet | 0ab973e44b3ba676ba475be6d05ab62c41d437a1710930e2c6a9602a333cb564 | 90% | 248 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 68
200 resolved wallets
087de…58d1e16237…1b2930ab97…cb564b3dae…48191e9e8c…c062cad500…44be39becf…5b44af18c1…0e0406b757…2439fdcac7…929aa7758b…8e3108af89…5568ba01e7…6dddce194b…91128f6f54…77b3584bac…5cd6bcffd9…c8b8c4e49b…a02662ee8d…8fb8b2122a…1780903337…4eaf05338d…27e56fadf7…7656958160…8c0a9cbf0a…850f462789…10eec7e22c…2cece46ec4…2013d08de3…4fdddebb3a…49f5fb20c5…81d869304a…e40a497c23…4ffdf66432…2d4d0e632a…9aa9050dd4…cab1110d65…4e23410748…4f6a5f472d…3745a53092…3fd2bddce1…037e6002cc…198fe15bb2…03252d38d1…1ecf3f15d2…ecf5b391fa…2d93a45003…a7e7146732…4df27c80f0…5bdf23d44c…691a5675f7…093a2180b8…dff942678f…b23cffffab…cd90c2b9d0…4692e38e94…766596c03b…9e064399dc…a854da0564…086b6ee47a…e14ab5cee9…d12a9f9a1a…b0c3767e70…e70151c138…8a4b3355bd…ab5b65d7ca…a668196a06…32be4c6e35…8683961e17…b587758e3d…73c2bab785…f3a64683fe…0ae66e6a03…10e928b9cc…cfac2fec09…c7ed9583f5…a69bee2632…73ba195bf5…f5b0ff0397…3f4b232e17…51bc0+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3f3b…fc2f | 426,041,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| b70d…33af | 420,102,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 58bc…9b7f | 416,371,103 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| c8f5…bcef | 409,724,823 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 5d63…6abf | 422,290,089 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8903…e5df | 420,996,933 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 9060…61df | 418,418,008 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 90cf…0b5f | 418,557,089 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 268a…beff | 413,606,561 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 39dc…c69f | 424,065,425 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7322…94ef | 425,658,303 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d3a4…67ff | 423,093,956 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3af0…aacf | 424,186,324 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 466a…894f | 417,380,543 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| eec2…a37f | 409,859,166 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| fc68…1a6f | 421,064,555 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8b85…831f | 416,262,787 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| fc50…3f0f | 424,968,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| fc1d…ed7f | 421,272,340 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| fde4…998f | 423,635,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 4713…453f | 419,066,370 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| fecb…bbb1 | 427,550,374 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8aee…482f | 415,355,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d8a9…389f | 416,412,640 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| b757…170f | 418,631,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| b3cb…284f | 415,655,500 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| b834…2eef | 422,808,425 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7a12…2e4f | 410,678,474 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 5e76…79ff | 415,859,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3d00…3c7f | 415,262,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d4ad…11af | 409,707,497 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 41c2…798f | 410,347,375 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| dcd4…d02f | 415,114,339 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7046…b279 | 417,120,088 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d9b2…85bf | 415,738,262 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 751e…614f | 409,764,527 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 89a5…a1af | 423,634,902 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7f93…720f | 421,400,479 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 479d…c80d | 418,872,428 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 27ad…bbdf | 422,539,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 5e80…c01f | 415,347,473 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 405c…eb7e | 410,145,281 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 91c8…c7ef | 417,158,854 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| cf1f…9fbf | 419,554,716 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 0032…45af | 415,869,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 2c0d…5839 | 426,660,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| e3cf…8e0f | 410,355,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8de5…657f | 415,208,550 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 2e23…db5f | 412,309,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d067…953f | 412,037,321 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| bfb8…f75f | 410,144,962 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 9004…6dbf | 415,641,258 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 4731…3d3f | 422,463,916 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d109…f770 | 417,855,172 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 5fa1…f38f | 418,951,053 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| e094…3f5f | 410,986,978 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 6554…0bbe | 409,722,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 995f…f0df | 409,879,933 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 924a…50cf | 420,206,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 650e…c2af | 424,518,082 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |