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rule detail

3-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 18% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 552 anchors
OOS effect
+0.1%
n=1 out-of-sample
Hit rate
18%
34 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.2% → +4.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.066
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.6% … +9.0%
Support34
OOS support1
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 55
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0walletdd4df9eb1160ea8bbf7f3351e56144753992b44b4763e651d631714d630d260a91%32
w1walletdf450459b3732272ae23b1de9db60c3954f6dbb06e3b5cdc68f1f5bbea63f4f791%32
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 32525+12.7%—view →
crew 1919740+7.2%—view →
crew 22633+5.0%—view →
crew 8864+4.8%—view →
crew 13133+4.4%—view →
crew 11334+4.1%—view →
crew 3422+2.9%—view →
all373755+1.8%—view →
crew 21347+0.8%—view →
crew 21128+0.6%—view →
crew 4045+0.3%—view →
crew 1896817+0.0%—view →
crew 1968210+0.0%—view →
crew 253625+0.0%—view →
crew 297892+0.0%—view →
crew 1764319+0.0%—view →
crew 2557222+0.0%—view →
crew 68203-0.5%—view →
crew 5626-0.9%—view →
crew 4318-0.9%—view →
crew 5951-1.9%—view →
crew 1216-2.7%—view →
crew 633-3.4%—view →
crew 18617-4.5%—view →
crew 4731-4.5%—view →
crew 3134-5.0%—view →
crew 1789362-5.5%—view →
crew 37336-6.7%—view →
crew 34121-6.8%—view →
crew 11016-7.9%—view →
crew 25215-16.7%—view →
Crew 55
200 resolved wallets
df450…3f4f7dd1f6…dc5000ca81…b93b3deb86…6865cda4e9…38b2d6d124…25193e207e…0568654e75…349bcd439c…bf2c426906…b28f33aa11…08c80e0c3d…e866ef4d8b…1775bf352f…1d2176118e…041636fd79…99ef63d0bd…e6bba45d20…4b62f8ee24…02a5d9a0bd…8ee5c3b8b8…f381aeef53…97217718a5…cb17844a24…8aa0ae352e…ceaaf98d0b…1cb85e8f06…1c80397fb6…829f85d44f…03605faae3…2feab695ba…70aeaa89af…aafff6cc96…74830b9d54…02a77328e7…957afab39d…12b2bf3521…a3f42bc9bb…b58a60ca35…a3a9285722…04fddbc16a…1766f714cc…835a31ec2a…1e6bef4a70…fd7d1a5de0…d0236fce96…5a7ff9d68a…ed4f9bb72f…d60137ffd1…9dfa76a2a1…f3ad58b06c…15ac03316f…4cc84234ee…9c8ab3f20e…8cc23836b2…c33a523659…9ed8b8e22a…59ff94493d…67d91335b4…0381683b32…72638f7138…3ccdd8c95a…97755d7320…7e8c7c5c6b…1f37372192…d4877d333a…621b6de4d9…932f78ca8b…98f06796fd…2405df72f1…e6c3343dfa…0ca38e4b75…3595dbde69…aacc98ac94…57dfecc5f4…1f0052ccea…a41a5a49e1…f5e103092d…8221fcade3…2464b21bd8…cc9e4+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
466c…4dff412,982,306+30.0%✓55 replay
ee48…e98f413,862,696+30.0%✓55 replay
de1a…804f409,662,193+30.0%✓55 replay
dd7e…003f416,504,232+30.0%✓55 replay
3f4c…7c1f413,018,339+30.0%✓55 replay
2b0f…794f410,116,538+30.0%✓55 replay
cdcd…6fcf413,956,435+30.0%✓55 replay
ca70…25cf413,473,110+30.0%✓55 replay
caa7…d2ff409,795,817+30.0%✓55 replay
91ff…337f419,094,162+30.0%✓55 replay
efbc…9e2f412,999,611+30.0%✓55 replay
fef3…cd4f410,986,449+30.0%✓55 replay
467c…bdef413,015,694+30.0%✓55 replay
294a…671f413,009,829+30.0%✓55 replay
497e…d77f410,912,281+30.0%✓55 replay
111a…2d0f410,586,466+30.0%✓55 replay
11a2…4eff411,932,655+30.0%✓55 replay
8a08…46ff409,889,555+30.0%✓55 replay
4b4e…551f410,082,053+30.0%✓55 replay
9972…dadf410,128,139+30.0%✓55 replay
bf22…48af413,895,657+30.0%✓55 replay
79a5…6b4f410,106,234+30.0%✓55 replay
7af6…8ccf411,902,814+30.0%✓55 replay
4556…ac0f415,839,080+30.0%✓55 replay
914e…901f410,800,348+30.0%✓55 replay
e7bd…338f410,253,615+30.0%✓55 replay
3b08…cc4f414,163,697+30.0%✓55 replay
38dc…faef410,634,231+30.0%✓55 replay
8356…921f413,799,219+30.0%✓55 replay
8871…2a4f413,094,511+30.0%✓55 replay
8499…e6af409,859,940+30.0%✓55 replay
9f83…a33f412,216,563+30.0%✓55 replay
3a6a…d36f414,080,437+30.0%✓55 replay
c746…f0cf422,418,018+30.0%✓55 replay
8ab7…b09f410,417,824+30.0%✓55 replay
88db…8d3f409,955,193+30.0%✓55 replay
0cd1…5a0f410,344,240+30.0%✓55 replay
cc0c…e56f411,933,511+30.0%✓55 replay
5a95…c6bf414,199,278+30.0%✓55 replay
262b…1d4f413,840,031+30.0%✓55 replay
9a2f…418f414,101,476+30.0%✓55 replay
a0e9…336f414,298,787+30.0%✓55 replay
6f1e…dcef410,607,596+30.0%✓55 replay
49d4…abef410,178,858+30.0%✓55 replay
461d…63af413,166,287+30.0%✓55 replay
57e9…220f416,151,382+30.0%✓55 replay
e018…6a1f419,853,503+30.0%✓55 replay
c49d…277f414,170,164+30.0%✓55 replay
ebae…05df412,312,162+30.0%✓55 replay
b253…b7af409,858,916+30.0%✓55 replay
c6a7…073e410,529,588+30.0%✓55 replay
c62e…c04f413,020,911+30.0%✓55 replay
24e2…128f411,273,845+30.0%✓55 replay
97da…2b1f414,121,488+30.0%✓55 replay
beb1…e67f412,739,925+30.0%✓55 replay
b72b…39cf425,833,167+30.0%✓55 replay
b953…c36f409,749,819+30.0%✓55 replay
5dd6…782f411,271,162+30.0%✓55 replay
e2c7…f6df413,158,969+30.0%✓55 replay
8819…572f409,650,648+30.0%✓55 replay