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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 0% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=2 out-of-sample
Hit rate
0%
17 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.5% → +0.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.199
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.4% … +1.3%
Support17
OOS support2
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 18968
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 1225f7f0543d0f6231d90d8950eae6ac21fa7582e482db3b355a67f0f770bae5 | 100% | 19 |
| w1 | wallet | 3649734c944628b267a7064621c3f3b389af6950bf8a3278a70cffa8fa7a51bf | 100% | 19 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 18968
3 resolved wallets
36497…a51bf40d9d…74189976dd…4aace
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03d9…ddaf | 409,953,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 18968 | replay |
| c71b…c5ef | 424,076,806 | +30.0% | ✓ | 18968 | replay |
| eca8…14af | 424,292,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 18968 | replay |
| fc6c…cdff | 424,171,303 | +30.0% | ✓ | 18968 | replay |
| 8d0f…4d2f | 426,066,782 | +15.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| af75…0eaf | 409,954,367 | +9.3% | 18968 | replay | |
| 8579…d15f | 425,675,941 | +4.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 1eb7…83af | 418,910,954 | +3.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 3336…dbdf | 418,031,918 | +2.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| 8718…5b3f | 413,482,799 | +2.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| f557…d5ef | 419,112,989 | +1.3% | 18968 | replay | |
| 6979…b51f | 418,008,025 | +1.3% | 18968 | replay | |
| f8b4…9ebf | 418,104,974 | +0.8% | 18968 | replay | |
| bf04…a1df | 418,104,785 | +0.8% | 18968 | replay | |
| 7829…973f | 418,104,976 | +0.8% | 18968 | replay | |
| 81d6…c26f | 418,104,787 | +0.8% | 18968 | replay | |
| 5796…244f | 418,104,967 | +0.8% | 18968 | replay | |
| c8ba…2fdf | 418,104,969 | +0.8% | 18968 | replay | |
| 67ff…d2af | 418,880,223 | +0.7% | 18968 | replay | |
| 9a5e…be6f | 417,798,891 | +0.7% | 18968 | replay | |
| e6f2…f30f | 417,798,893 | +0.7% | 18968 | replay | |
| a02a…d22f | 421,559,392 | +0.4% | 18968 | replay | |
| bed9…3f3f | 413,652,704 | +0.3% | 18968 | replay | |
| 9d33…00bf | 418,115,856 | +0.3% | 18968 | replay | |
| f9fd…0b4f | 413,651,064 | +0.2% | 18968 | replay | |
| bcbd…ba6f | 417,627,601 | +0.2% | 18968 | replay | |
| 48c1…654f | 417,607,660 | +0.2% | 18968 | replay | |
| a0ee…b4df | 418,234,726 | +0.2% | 18968 | replay | |
| 2443…167f | 418,234,728 | +0.2% | 18968 | replay | |
| afd2…3e4f | 416,314,950 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 94c6…53bf | 416,314,952 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 0db8…d8df | 417,610,165 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 2a5a…dcbf | 417,645,479 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 2a3e…9aff | 417,645,481 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 0994…ea3f | 416,950,042 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 4b72…9f0f | 414,534,173 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 30a6…ebbf | 423,871,820 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 9ff0…ac4f | 423,871,819 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| e2cf…230f | 423,195,066 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| fb60…c3df | 423,195,063 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| d315…5e4f | 417,815,554 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| dde1…680f | 418,763,380 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 3f0b…037f | 418,015,601 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 94d0…c90f | 417,651,817 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 5bfe…778f | 417,651,647 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 7302…b3cf | 417,656,626 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| b7cf…11df | 417,651,820 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| dec4…135f | 417,652,335 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| 0731…276f | 417,652,337 | +0.1% | 18968 | replay | |
| af47…1c5f | 417,655,829 | +0.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| 0b35…305f | 417,656,241 | +0.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| 3965…887f | 417,656,239 | +0.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| 8705…a18f | 417,656,628 | +0.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| acfa…f0af | 417,658,413 | +0.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| e1b7…303f | 417,798,777 | +0.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| cbc5…aa6f | 416,545,017 | +0.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| d08d…aeff | 416,974,478 | +0.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| c3af…1daf | 416,974,517 | +0.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| 9c17…ecbf | 417,172,322 | +0.0% | 18968 | replay | |
| 2e57…37bf | 417,172,359 | +0.0% | 18968 | replay |