│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 24% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-1.9%
n=24 out-of-sample
Hit rate
24%
51 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.0% → +4.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.077
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.7% … +8.7%
Support51
OOS support24
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 59
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 59
200 resolved wallets
b41f7…15a92b8357…c89bcf25d6…3b4fabd614…be7bc48577…d0fbde52fe…2255aa2faf…aede2281e2…b27bb761be…2491ffdd72…60833e6c66…386eade219…8ec6d08c68…7663838eea…0686296898…9715524506…73c503b09c…06bcd0e4f6…36ee141666…8a7ce1a1eb…863b24c5dc…c2a3c2916d…2d72762049…cb4613da11…cd368c2545…acba3d971d…417aae55d3…e981301d4a…a216404225…6c81c1b323…8cdfc0470a…ce877e47ff…c9e4289cd9…d3ef5c1ccf…23fd1fb3c3…f48b13714e…fafd1e5477…374f1d9158…8b1ca05ad6…a78616f677…e707b0ab42…79c5e5b2c6…6f72b35873…683a40d3a6…1fd632368d…4eb5e9ab90…f07376cfe2…1b7b44b260…aac506b234…d638cf5d25…bf7ead620d…0329699d44…d34156bbc3…fd02b77ff0…b16038c784…50a99582a4…0721933fa7…b91adbf682…a33f75c672…caad754bbe…8028872fff…4351ae39fe…717b0d99e9…9d42d1bd9c…8d51706ca6…8c496fed01…16ff7227e2…e9e5b9ce47…77add80f3d…332977d990…59e52b3da0…eaf6352b63…cc0b2e3832…e18d45edc2…b616be6c12…90f84ff55e…91433b5e99…39b4f9fde2…bb7e9a4efe…3eeb5062e6…73493+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8900…6fdf | 409,628,329 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 5d92…036f | 416,386,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 903a…443f | 418,751,207 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 1c2d…c144 | 424,580,326 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 2409…8a1f | 416,644,265 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 5945…595f | 418,750,944 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| ddcc…30ef | 413,434,801 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| deff…059f | 422,791,742 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 2c25…590f | 416,895,380 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 406b…45cf | 416,948,208 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 472e…cb30 | 426,513,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7a40…7faf | 418,085,481 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| e3e3…ffdf | 416,923,786 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7b2c…ab1f | 424,999,556 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 23b8…371f | 424,309,213 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| dfa4…a5df | 422,679,929 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 4b80…c7cf | 416,196,708 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 468b…6d0f | 420,052,728 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 2f1f…e1df | 418,233,762 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| bb72…774f | 415,190,105 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 91fc…8bbf | 419,039,431 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 9761…ff0f | 412,335,889 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 3301…332f | 412,009,960 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7dd0…4eff | 410,408,723 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7edf…a43f | 410,578,777 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 6460…ab3f | 414,355,023 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 9627…2b7f | 411,134,129 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 5343…f54f | 412,138,804 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 98e4…136f | 410,173,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 5374…3d7f | 418,827,087 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 975c…817f | 411,120,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 37c6…1bbf | 413,386,311 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| ecf0…026f | 420,904,524 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 39e8…d55f | 425,813,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 82f7…b90f | 426,071,441 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 8764…4bff | 414,547,509 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 883d…fdcf | 418,494,157 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 9c11…705f | 419,978,603 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 0d40…1dcf | 426,107,320 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| f24e…489f | 425,199,596 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| ca34…232f | 409,909,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| f02b…755f | 425,116,720 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 9f1b…f84f | 413,651,941 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 24d6…385f | 424,892,899 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| f3f0…2a8f | 422,586,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| b1c7…c22f | 409,880,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 6eb2…e8af | 421,922,430 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 73a3…ad9f | 414,747,877 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| de5e…cc2f | 422,542,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 565b…495f | 419,127,307 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| b77a…589e | 417,530,015 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| bc3b…d8df | 414,282,504 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 25cd…747a | 423,223,131 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| e992…ba7f | 411,743,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| c45a…13bf | 421,558,040 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| bc25…45ff | 418,293,371 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7f2a…a21f | 418,007,078 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| b296…123f | 414,101,323 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| b323…1f0f | 412,260,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 27b3…072f | 420,727,695 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |