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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 32% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+4.1%
n=21 out-of-sample
Hit rate
32%
34 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+8.6% → +8.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.006
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+2.4% … +14.7%
Support34
OOS support21
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 113
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 113
200 resolved wallets
9c89c…360b9954c0…dbcfd2f8c7…3d98c35548…f1c98ec5f1…9c26c24810…9d20e492ff…db97e53ccb…17eb591e1e…eaf51a86fc…11bf241710…eb5d9aecb9…285886b25e…65f787ff37…333970171e…20dea87bb0…7f451dabdb…9ac557be32…db415aecf6…cd62c7ea06…91353baabf…ff7acd8300…b1dd46189f…7bfa0f3579…117aae35f4…f414be8c92…fe05d333df…29dbc58149…4c54c436c3…646a993b50…084f0344e0…284eb07169…c536ac8933…80ee0ee8c5…8ef5f460ea…2f8c3ed876…92901ce353…b16f527665…1db60e2064…1f90f15e16…e4d8930842…8c418fb940…247e300a8d…1f2bb9f75f…550fbeaea2…242f0663ab…a7af4cb1bb…edeb2d6952…585df02cf2…f15c07ba07…59e6e28dbe…364de05ad9…153e69f6bb…8f0feb41dd…47dd20a886…fb90004ea7…07a78a5691…f81dcd37f7…99c1f98f12…25498433d0…d7abffb8cf…640fe81893…f705f3c6cc…e1bac86704…33367840ea…1f41d5073b…0cecf93890…e74ee7efe1…23ac6d88c1…7156e465c8…689121f795…559ff2611a…9a194f0818…4aab98b851…9f1211df05…9c5cb7ba28…63d0daeae4…2a5c426067…90dbe85aa1…02128ce965…bf48b+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 732c…8c2f | 420,574,625 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 3bca…0b5f | 426,117,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 0eeb…8e0f | 426,966,623 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 6a69…993f | 413,792,171 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 4871…e21f | 423,653,042 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 2918…accf | 412,547,694 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 59b1…3caf | 411,548,362 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 8215…d3ff | 420,642,771 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 2a6b…08df | 412,046,701 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 3cd8…b55f | 420,773,420 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 3eff…380f | 419,735,886 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 3e33…bf4f | 418,187,378 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 41e1…e8bf | 412,569,395 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| d0bc…e2df | 420,806,158 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 8c80…57bf | 419,054,305 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 7d06…d69f | 422,750,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 434b…31e4 | 415,391,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| c1ec…b2bf | 416,248,550 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| cef4…718f | 419,862,025 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| f3d0…1e6f | 421,059,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 2b97…c277 | 417,003,660 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 4cdf…7bff | 420,302,893 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| e3c9…fa0f | 420,773,753 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 22de…8a9f | 416,962,519 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 927b…78af | 422,341,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 6079…74cf | 419,750,155 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 78e4…085f | 412,504,800 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| e551…eadf | 420,777,149 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 90c7…04bf | 419,043,353 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 9579…0c7f | 424,494,631 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| bc29…5b3f | 417,923,655 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 49a9…b83f | 426,098,448 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| e906…7a6f | 419,782,025 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| c18f…221f | 423,769,248 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 086b…8f4f | 413,851,554 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 7e66…7816 | 420,935,331 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 3703…f38f | 419,912,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 9979…a46f | 420,589,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 0d94…641f | 419,757,934 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 6d63…1a0f | 412,054,393 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 0fd4…912f | 418,250,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 8899…46ff | 412,504,485 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 0e5e…4eef | 425,883,500 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 8988…a5cf | 412,504,885 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 8bdb…b48f | 421,165,479 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| c3bb…430f | 420,136,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 117c…555f | 412,547,426 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 2e75…e0ff | 419,915,143 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 5995…059f | 425,460,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 0e29…feff | 412,310,293 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| cb8e…eebf | 420,060,803 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| c370…74af | 420,938,371 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 1042…82bf | 420,605,364 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| c6cd…e30f | 419,743,275 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| b7e1…1b5f | 419,955,046 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| c5aa…8baf | 413,654,249 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 13c4…ba2f | 420,412,021 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| be4a…184f | 418,015,144 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| b7af…981f | 420,223,104 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 5909…4e6f | 416,161,720 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |