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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 24% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-3.4%
n=10 out-of-sample
Hit rate
24%
33 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.9% → +2.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.469
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-5.7% … +7.5%
Support33
OOS support10
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 6
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 6
200 resolved wallets
0a927…e743818571…9b62a5bcf0…c05a96a554…0d4c9915e1…3809bdea56…6e025343ac…216bf85241…b496d002d2…d3c2acd7d6…7efc150561…d0762a4355…b035b54eef…4752cc6160…0ac40b9b43…1274affc65…cfc512a12f…63a5fdd7bd…0d2fdb7ada…f38ed87f14…45441db689…c1385c8f11…e8524869c0…cdf5dc69bd…55c9b7abf7…4247eb2182…7177ca98c8…2b149a824e…4288ba5137…701a87d8b2…bd6e6c43b8…7fba08e023…caeea0dd2c…0a9cd46a68…35f318623f…82f8e2495b…fa32b995e0…f2c7e10a08…d2681268d1…82cf087b2b…dac18fc57a…228682628a…eeb4fa06fb…d77c40b9bb…d945c91d1f…edbe3a5582…c1643f7d6e…051cdaedc3…1babe4cb83…fd4644f3ce…efbb10f898…ee5da121d6…c4e1a4e774…c118d623cb…70abde2d85…5052799335…740900f05d…ce096076da…bc3f10a589…9a9268583d…58cb220e2f…cc6c6f2590…59c6bec5df…be6c2b001a…1d5335cbdd…d564429b25…406951b5d8…93f557cf4b…048dfdfddf…f223abf8c3…2a089392be…d70e95008e…7854c383f2…2e97fc3f51…9565f5537c…8f26bc7753…42cb066b1b…21f72a7812…30b00079cd…0c47d0bfd4…da223+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2b8e…30af | 426,644,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8844…3cbf | 426,971,661 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 58a9…f48f | 412,559,333 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 5cec…0d7f | 420,863,990 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 0efb…bc0f | 426,486,803 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 0ef7…5d3f | 426,308,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3bce…b9cf | 425,010,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| c3bf…42ff | 420,025,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6f53…bd2f | 417,294,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 856b…b4df | 420,843,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3ef5…efff | 409,913,291 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d809…644f | 424,923,637 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d7e1…fadf | 421,006,336 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 72e2…800f | 424,967,806 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7f29…a04f | 422,158,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 269f…51cf | 425,027,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2639…903b | 418,379,424 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8b5c…b794 | 416,127,054 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 1c0c…0e9f | 416,027,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 4371…294f | 420,731,785 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| b53f…0e6f | 421,491,809 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8635…a281 | 422,169,486 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2c36…2f4f | 427,145,181 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| cad0…399f | 418,448,144 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 292b…a13f | 419,072,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 4157…6c6d | 416,926,665 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 40a2…3c5f | 424,521,723 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| dea9…6edf | 421,490,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2851…5c1a | 417,371,828 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 24d6…adaf | 421,002,705 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d8ca…611f | 427,568,142 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d9a9…cb2f | 418,393,506 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 0499…26bf | 421,079,752 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 4879…801f | 422,998,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 79bd…fa77 | 419,286,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 02e5…88cf | 417,550,454 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7c03…fb7f | 423,071,527 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 929e…139f | 419,734,697 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 922c…30cf | 423,383,294 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2396…139f | 422,047,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 46df…606f | 426,974,762 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| dfe1…d2ff | 417,262,514 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 720b…59cf | 411,945,751 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7b57…552f | 421,950,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2e83…938f | 421,489,255 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| bede…14ef | 413,713,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 487a…de0f | 413,416,982 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| bf41…940f | 415,752,617 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d173…fe7f | 424,696,772 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 9221…b90f | 418,572,604 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| f746…994f | 421,317,250 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3192…cccf | 418,546,180 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 032b…8a2f | 418,491,602 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| e7b2…882f | 423,702,172 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 065d…b6cf | 418,470,136 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 47e8…374f | 419,224,943 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7899…8bb8 | 416,466,069 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2f71…6c0f | 421,506,934 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7cad…386f | 415,148,499 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 95e9…656f | 418,265,837 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |