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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 27% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+5.0%
n=14 out-of-sample
Hit rate
27%
33 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+8.3% → +8.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.004
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+2.6% … +14.0%
Support33
OOS support14
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 226
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 0774df8e8e199a86f317d902511f238dfe561f9ade897654a97cb85f0ff48c16 | 89% | 42 |
| w1 | wallet | 8749c49afc0faa1a7d22c4fe52af0970ae477b16d2e118bfc0ee55633a91d3fa | 89% | 42 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 226
200 resolved wallets
be3fe…eab4b8749c…1d3faefac7…25b0cc08f3…b5852f5a16…2aab847253…52fe7641c2…660b616e4f…fe2ac7d0ee…d36a03e6e8…79e7c32a6b…a9d034168a…590caac83b…beee5784a3…fdc2c0f244…634058788c…4691142604…dd38429127…2c67e6538e…85bcdb7489…052be70179…6a590e869c…6ea9006483…08cfa70891…1d3868738b…b3fe2cf5fb…1c90ac0347…e5dd37fe5c…c06a52ec31…8733026836…c7cce4feeb…f8d8024e94…a0b4c28ac8…2ad16334fd…65e4041f4e…dd6184177f…153f189cd6…477ff79997…41bf6361f9…4c0e54fe98…b3ff76216e…f5c922e618…55e3de6507…e8ebb4e789…033a0befa3…3b4b12bb8e…f22044b909…a7d06a108a…7c69ce212a…cb96e599de…2734b5ecfe…707385440e…20730bbc73…608b4fef55…51a6f7f98e…5616f078c3…ad439a2d90…725f548451…758fc3ea3b…583827b880…57e7c143a8…ff57e6eaf0…086903aec8…a8ea6d054f…5436d39f24…aee0f1b1cd…1ac21cef9e…3a6d7f0da2…934360452d…997a1613e8…fa790f009c…f012cd1832…32e4fbd9ff…b243ab6131…92c5e19e13…aedd7c76f3…88de100666…b70f1811cb…8f3cfd6e7a…dd4ebc3690…2b320+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900d…654f | 427,376,306 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8b62…00ff | 418,493,606 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| fe5f…2dbf | 420,549,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| d2d2…b47f | 420,561,823 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 80d8…8cef | 418,490,229 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 2cf2…4a8f | 427,442,744 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7621…bf2f | 420,333,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| c675…ccaf | 420,776,162 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| d66d…398f | 420,632,438 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 6c7d…337f | 413,433,323 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8a30…d31f | 420,580,838 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| cd1e…868f | 417,781,316 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| e025…e18f | 414,135,414 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 311a…00df | 420,994,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7e94…6e3f | 427,189,000 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 48b6…34af | 423,611,981 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 61e2…90d5 | 424,360,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| e16c…885f | 422,657,553 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| e12b…d67f | 419,112,086 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8f83…fadf | 423,235,765 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8734…9c2f | 419,551,201 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 92d4…462f | 418,396,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| bec8…bfbf | 418,396,387 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 82d9…f6af | 413,639,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 445f…95af | 417,329,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 9ba5…b47f | 411,797,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| e0f1…658f | 413,000,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 34f6…4bcf | 419,349,151 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 342b…d47f | 422,387,481 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7d81…8bef | 422,360,406 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 2dbb…01bf | 412,508,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 741d…1c0f | 418,913,393 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 4681…80cf | 419,076,612 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 252d…367f | 410,796,309 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7ca1…e8ff | 410,598,781 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 04da…6e0f | 417,483,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 469f…393f | 424,506,435 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8472…ef8f | 411,799,168 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 98c9…08bf | 411,629,892 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 851e…c02f | 412,024,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 821a…e23e | 420,322,230 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 3c2b…b94f | 423,614,537 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 2ff5…467f | 410,106,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 6d3f…d82f | 413,183,083 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| c87e…8cff | 412,325,238 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 314e…9fbf | 421,614,966 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8932…a69f | 419,046,830 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 9db7…6a2f | 417,736,594 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 1187…3f2f | 418,425,322 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 5f65…db9f | 417,968,826 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| a02d…c7bf | 411,039,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| aae5…55bf | 411,851,152 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 145f…d54f | 419,112,102 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| cd92…113f | 409,707,332 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 9302…064f | 418,055,546 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 61e1…833f | 419,416,248 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7112…1b4f | 416,992,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| c3a8…4dbf | 417,963,726 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 61d7…eeaf | 417,798,785 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 24c1…112f | 411,794,310 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |