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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 10% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
10%
210 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-0.1% → +0.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.605
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.7% … +1.6%
Support210
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 1968
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 0bf23cb6e4c643df9f7d0bdc897bf9a979fa3716692f07d2461198dc3f53ba87 | 100% | 210 |
| w1 | wallet | 0bf23cb0c001d430246b7ec81847315845201bf09eddf6faa17113c56b4014c8 | 100% | 210 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 1968
200 resolved wallets
0bf23…014c80bf23…b043a0bf23…2f4a80bf23…9e4c70bf23…7dc780bf23…b02280bf23…bf5a40bf23…c8f1c0bf23…b2d7b0bf23…ac2790bf23…5e1250bf23…edcd60bf23…c8fb30bf23…941cc0bf23…d0e1c0bf23…cc5d60bf23…aebb50bf23…72a580bf23…849dc0bf23…a99880bf23…9bf360bf23…418950bf23…90efd0bf23…161840bf23…60c930bf23…625530bf23…38f490bf23…e959c0bf23…bacb90bf23…950e90bf23…229790bf23…7003c0bf23…4eee40bf23…eb6080bf23…1750f0bf23…8a13e0bf23…2e27d0bf23…378680bf23…5ee6e0bf23…c4a6b0bf23…ca1aa0bf23…d449a0bf23…225a10bf23…f89870bf23…71c990bf23…909390bf23…5f2fb0bf23…5b76e0bf23…fa9cc0bf23…e34070bf23…88ac10bf23…31eba0bf23…b85140bf23…38a2d0bf23…7f3bc0bf23…fd4690bf23…88e070bf23…45efc0bf23…012b70bf23…fc08f0bf23…b29050bf23…a25f70bf23…30f070bf23…44b110bf23…d8d4c0bf23…7b4ef0bf23…7548c0bf23…2d5340bf23…3309c0bf23…f1f560bf23…4e3590bf23…f43290bf23…485950bf23…4f6360bf23…964a80bf23…f44550bf23…cb4d20bf23…610d20bf23…3bf240bf23…17455+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c9a8…aaef | 412,058,970 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| d87a…7fcf | 414,205,626 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 22ae…596f | 414,611,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 8b09…69ff | 411,996,488 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| fcd2…bbcf | 412,903,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| fcec…badf | 412,033,177 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 26cd…f2ff | 414,013,964 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 1bb1…5abf | 411,996,195 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| ddeb…9def | 412,437,943 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3fb7…838f | 415,849,486 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| c36f…ac7f | 415,382,038 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| d3d5…e2ef | 412,619,499 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 8a7f…010f | 412,950,741 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| ee4c…184f | 412,080,297 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 39e1…f79f | 414,348,556 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 695e…c91f | 412,944,579 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 90a1…fe1f | 412,534,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 8567…1faf | 411,421,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| c8b3…d7ef | 413,095,850 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 857e…c5df | 413,495,516 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3ee9…96cf | 415,380,040 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 7ad2…8d8f | 414,701,849 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| d8fd…04ef | 411,833,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 750d…ab5f | 411,757,229 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 8981…245f | 415,654,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 28a9…2e2f | 412,243,666 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 9240…6acf | 412,893,317 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| ef7f…ea7f | 411,876,810 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| efe2…de6f | 412,302,605 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| f0a5…324f | 413,856,343 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| f0ab…d36f | 411,720,366 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 74bf…521f | 411,919,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 0f17…f50f | 415,003,593 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 8c6a…c2ff | 412,734,997 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 8620…fb5f | 416,068,385 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 7464…084f | 412,682,602 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3cf1…b38f | 412,238,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 2452…a19f | 413,567,123 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| b7d5…7c6f | 411,900,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| b300…0c5f | 414,702,684 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 89f6…256f | 411,743,925 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| b793…603f | 410,812,782 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 41ec…888f | 413,920,226 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 7426…3b4b | 412,214,824 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 485f…192f | 412,351,307 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| d97e…d05f | 412,058,718 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 2548…5ddf | 411,719,642 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| e3b9…2e5f | 410,670,125 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| d164…948f | 413,711,204 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3399…3d6f | 411,796,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 4e9f…25ef | 414,347,891 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 4e8a…d67f | 414,538,864 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 7bef…29ef | 414,292,566 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 86a9…012f | 411,018,312 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 81fd…e3cf | 411,896,165 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 2b85…ec8f | 413,602,468 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 6487…6abf | 411,790,684 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 46ad…9daf | 412,857,072 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| d5a4…0cbf | 412,398,757 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 2cd6…fdff | 415,876,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |