Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

3-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.1x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 2% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 191972 anchors
OOS effect
+7.2%
n=11 out-of-sample
Hit rate
3%
40 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.3% +0.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.423
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.4% … +2.1%
Support40
OOS support11
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 19197
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet6600c952bb37b1440310e64aa2ab8dcefcbf950089bf828009f68dec34a1039688%45
w1wallet24b8490a8681a94e339c64edb9680c2aaf4ce04ee7841e322857fedc837763bb88%45
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
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crew 5951-1.9%view →
crew 1216-2.7%view →
crew 633-3.4%view →
crew 18617-4.5%view →
crew 4731-4.5%view →
crew 3134-5.0%view →
crew 1789362-5.5%view →
crew 37336-6.7%view →
crew 34121-6.8%view →
crew 11016-7.9%view →
crew 25215-16.7%view →
Crew 19197
5 resolved wallets
24b84…763bb6600c…103960cf9d…e294b8e004…fd6920676d…bacda
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
7318…e8ef416,525,531+30.0%19197 replay
8b82…ca9f414,121,372+30.0%19197 replay
6323…9f9f421,585,529+30.0%19197 replay
4aff…6f2f418,348,213+30.0%19197 replay
8350…0a95416,653,950+30.0%19197 replay
9849…d00f417,765,996+30.0%19197 replay
e988…25ff416,717,991+30.0%19197 replay
9bbc…18ef416,429,318+30.0%19197 replay
abbf…999f416,427,347+30.0%19197 replay
ada1…57cf424,125,948+30.0%19197 replay
b063…fa4f421,855,479+30.0%19197 replay
3087…09ff414,064,787+30.0%19197 replay
e9a2…739f413,399,852+30.0%19197 replay
7942…4adf426,490,156+30.0%19197 replay
293c…680f414,002,659+30.0%19197 replay
3244…f65f413,365,945+30.0%19197 replay
220d…ec2f416,693,809+30.0%19197 replay
f31b…6dbf419,034,184+30.0%19197 replay
08a2…46af414,374,114+30.0%19197 replay
a4ba…f89f419,317,576+30.0%19197 replay
fb45…6acf416,511,685+30.0%19197 replay
1592…0b5f419,488,610+30.0%19197 replay
ac35…2acf414,079,647+30.0%19197 replay
d5da…678f416,728,791+30.0%19197 replay
8d48…ba0f420,299,430+30.0%19197 replay
f315…d70f418,191,655+30.0%19197 replay
006f…eecf416,438,791+30.0%19197 replay
1799…862f416,649,704+30.0%19197 replay
8dc2…e83f420,372,692+30.0%19197 replay
945a…ec4f417,622,687+30.0%19197 replay
1d47…ee9f416,731,972+30.0%19197 replay
0048…88ff416,432,216+30.0%19197 replay
008f…a83f416,439,699+30.0%19197 replay
387b…227f416,480,034+30.0%19197 replay
431d…e03f426,678,856+30.0%19197 replay
de37…d1af417,575,029+30.0%19197 replay
60bc…02ef415,352,273+30.0%19197 replay
e69c…922f420,785,270+30.0%19197 replay
6743…422f416,563,641+30.0%19197 replay
be63…594f417,607,743+30.0%19197 replay
8d11…46ff417,273,212+30.0%19197 replay
253a…122f420,117,369+30.0%19197 replay
8c7d…c41f417,616,924+30.0%19197 replay
0046…264f416,566,196+30.0%19197 replay
b4b9…389f414,383,613+30.0%19197 replay
403e…6b6f416,608,440+30.0%19197 replay
e89c…beaf416,575,989+30.0%19197 replay
2e45…08ff416,712,579+30.0%19197 replay
248f…6a3f416,684,007+30.0%19197 replay
470f…1c6f416,676,286+30.0%19197 replay
a7c6…8c8f413,317,467+30.0%19197 replay
c7cd…be21417,553,384+30.0%19197 replay
8fab…fd4f419,695,746+30.0%19197 replay
009e…94ff416,440,691+30.0%19197 replay
a668…fbef414,079,474+30.0%19197 replay
f635…4bbf416,655,183+30.0%19197 replay
feca…9f4f414,003,790+30.0%19197 replay
ca0c…c9ff413,749,577+30.0%19197 replay
0087…820f414,806,144+30.0%19197 replay
8de5…36af416,595,734+30.0%19197 replay