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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.1x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 2% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+7.2%
n=11 out-of-sample
Hit rate
3%
40 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.3% → +0.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.423
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.4% … +2.1%
Support40
OOS support11
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 19197
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 6600c952bb37b1440310e64aa2ab8dcefcbf950089bf828009f68dec34a10396 | 88% | 45 |
| w1 | wallet | 24b8490a8681a94e339c64edb9680c2aaf4ce04ee7841e322857fedc837763bb | 88% | 45 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 19197
5 resolved wallets
24b84…763bb6600c…103960cf9d…e294b8e004…fd6920676d…bacda
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7318…e8ef | 416,525,531 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 8b82…ca9f | 414,121,372 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 6323…9f9f | 421,585,529 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 4aff…6f2f | 418,348,213 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 8350…0a95 | 416,653,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 9849…d00f | 417,765,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| e988…25ff | 416,717,991 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 9bbc…18ef | 416,429,318 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| abbf…999f | 416,427,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| ada1…57cf | 424,125,948 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| b063…fa4f | 421,855,479 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 3087…09ff | 414,064,787 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| e9a2…739f | 413,399,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 7942…4adf | 426,490,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 293c…680f | 414,002,659 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 3244…f65f | 413,365,945 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 220d…ec2f | 416,693,809 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| f31b…6dbf | 419,034,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 08a2…46af | 414,374,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| a4ba…f89f | 419,317,576 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| fb45…6acf | 416,511,685 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 1592…0b5f | 419,488,610 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| ac35…2acf | 414,079,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| d5da…678f | 416,728,791 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 8d48…ba0f | 420,299,430 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| f315…d70f | 418,191,655 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 006f…eecf | 416,438,791 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 1799…862f | 416,649,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 8dc2…e83f | 420,372,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 945a…ec4f | 417,622,687 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 1d47…ee9f | 416,731,972 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 0048…88ff | 416,432,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 008f…a83f | 416,439,699 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 387b…227f | 416,480,034 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 431d…e03f | 426,678,856 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| de37…d1af | 417,575,029 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 60bc…02ef | 415,352,273 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| e69c…922f | 420,785,270 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 6743…422f | 416,563,641 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| be63…594f | 417,607,743 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 8d11…46ff | 417,273,212 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 253a…122f | 420,117,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 8c7d…c41f | 417,616,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 0046…264f | 416,566,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| b4b9…389f | 414,383,613 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 403e…6b6f | 416,608,440 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| e89c…beaf | 416,575,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 2e45…08ff | 416,712,579 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 248f…6a3f | 416,684,007 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 470f…1c6f | 416,676,286 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| a7c6…8c8f | 413,317,467 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| c7cd…be21 | 417,553,384 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 8fab…fd4f | 419,695,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 009e…94ff | 416,440,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| a668…fbef | 414,079,474 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| f635…4bbf | 416,655,183 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| feca…9f4f | 414,003,790 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| ca0c…c9ff | 413,749,577 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 0087…820f | 414,806,144 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |
| 8de5…36af | 416,595,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19197 | replay |