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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 38% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-0.9%
n=53 out-of-sample
Hit rate
38%
26 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.3% → +6.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.150
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.0% … +13.5%
Support26
OOS support53
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 56
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 9f52cfc2fe433ed2ed0ebb691a160ebc6cf18d38338c390b7daef75ebede8311 | 99% | 78 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 56
200 resolved wallets
9f52c…e8311b9c18…6ca6a7a5fc…2bb3d4b045…1a1783c916…ededefdcf7…c201f178b5…90ba552e20…f7bb6bc556…4161cf27c4…c32173a876…56faaa5af4…59594f48ed…7f8c85c3fa…2e4bb1a06c…6c25ae26fa…a5b81f1499…2ccc04e014…8418115100…12f2a051ee…4ee076e281…36ab5bfb4a…f266ab50a1…1dda13394c…3a7d6f03d9…3175eae3d3…e31fa49a80…b4a5f5e9a0…13aced175b…d8effdde26…005e98a279…28b5bbde50…5e09b90799…5ba34dfdc1…ef5199643b…8fce272310…8232ac0a9e…e34eb8de9a…c6835cfd3c…df644a99c1…6ea6428fa9…d93f3254ab…6995f18598…3bd04b34de…83e143fd39…6a28feac15…6f9a90d5f8…2d254a373d…6edcb3e39a…a559c39136…027a0573e0…88d588b0ea…ea70b67cdd…775e373964…4776610522…779393b526…2f2ef647b6…bc00d5a072…a2b14842fa…7325866bd5…5cc3e4e087…2db56777ce…0868c8771b…1710050f21…81f6ac6bd3…fcfd884173…9cd4940524…0f172d675e…2412ade0ec…c62a82e689…0052748b06…ad6d7c6309…caa0019a8f…239306ecb1…9ea7caf1d7…caa63b5d9a…53387fec11…64a3f060ea…df44d0f163…0432d30d01…edd20+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3f09…2f9f | 426,178,818 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 432b…b8df | 426,245,680 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 435e…94af | 424,253,321 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2ad7…1f9f | 426,110,170 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3aca…96ef | 418,228,830 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ee20…287f | 427,090,897 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8b41…599f | 426,777,239 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b756…c9af | 425,129,546 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 5da6…84ff | 412,085,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0ee2…958f | 423,370,281 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3b42…ea47 | 416,728,592 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 722c…3b6f | 425,424,443 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| d317…f18f | 425,290,934 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b40d…e09f | 420,565,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 465f…a7af | 426,451,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| dc7a…284f | 423,005,712 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 1bed…d18f | 422,510,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 1bb1…1dcf | 418,220,933 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3fc3…f9bf | 412,143,128 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 88b7…db8f | 412,258,038 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 5a02…a98f | 423,470,072 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 5973…c31f | 426,678,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 5ef5…616f | 422,506,099 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| c4cf…1b8f | 426,278,547 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| c48c…9b8f | 418,812,306 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2487…e3bf | 423,322,580 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2378…664f | 412,359,247 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ffd5…6e3f | 423,443,906 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b41d…558f | 422,321,441 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| d227…0d0f | 425,334,932 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 4ece…675f | 418,811,026 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 717f…1f3f | 422,303,324 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| e3bc…ff8f | 427,349,607 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 049f…63bf | 424,879,379 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| e59e…d74f | 425,218,537 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2ca7…f1df | 425,264,136 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 7aec…cf4f | 423,833,817 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| d684…f99f | 423,347,878 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 92a7…eabf | 422,040,262 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2345…355f | 426,700,686 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 91c4…a31f | 425,299,191 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 6029…d50f | 425,451,716 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| e747…4edf | 423,840,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| c094…5adf | 423,332,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2d29…c87f | 423,152,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| d6e2…c87f | 426,286,899 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 9454…bc8f | 426,853,203 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 44b9…6def | 424,997,233 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 30a7…7ddf | 422,152,270 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 9be8…3003 | 427,156,824 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| e1f3…113f | 427,388,261 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| e1e6…832f | 426,810,445 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 90b2…8fff | 425,484,435 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 60c2…56cf | 417,819,074 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0a27…6d6f | 423,825,697 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 36dc…c43f | 420,410,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0d9b…0dc4 | 424,526,560 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 7b01…081f | 425,297,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 689c…230f | 425,687,400 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3889…581f | 426,141,975 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |