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rule detail

3-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 0% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 341 anchor
OOS effect
+2.9%
n=13 out-of-sample
Hit rate
0%
22 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-3.0% → -2.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-6.5% … +0.4%
Support22
OOS support13
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 34
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0walletac6ad31db0a14378a0e63f99f790b711c6406e5b0e6b7a18583971e93d72385991%32
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 32525+12.7%—view →
crew 1919740+7.2%—view →
crew 22633+5.0%—view →
crew 8864+4.8%—view →
crew 13133+4.4%—view →
crew 11334+4.1%—view →
all373755+1.8%—view →
crew 21347+0.8%—view →
crew 21128+0.6%—view →
crew 4045+0.3%—view →
crew 5534+0.1%—view →
crew 1896817+0.0%—view →
crew 1968210+0.0%—view →
crew 253625+0.0%—view →
crew 297892+0.0%—view →
crew 1764319+0.0%—view →
crew 2557222+0.0%—view →
crew 68203-0.5%—view →
crew 5626-0.9%—view →
crew 4318-0.9%—view →
crew 5951-1.9%—view →
crew 1216-2.7%—view →
crew 633-3.4%—view →
crew 18617-4.5%—view →
crew 4731-4.5%—view →
crew 3134-5.0%—view →
crew 1789362-5.5%—view →
crew 37336-6.7%—view →
crew 34121-6.8%—view →
crew 11016-7.9%—view →
crew 25215-16.7%—view →
Crew 34
200 resolved wallets
ac6ad…23859009ac…9e1409cf18…6758195d16…72be217c3a…7360b7431c…222d3bf4ea…e1b15562aa…a07bd10e3a…21e4445057…c1f7ac3afe…62d02f4a27…19bd830466…936d2da002…f881a9ac23…fdc8114910…908885c177…045477541e…efc3c55a2e…e053894d9d…6daf3de8a6…520e72216d…46f7f43283…86a48a7cb2…9541c84333…89487ec30f…ad91c534e1…0d5a8f548e…9cdb1fd76b…16701ad747…50b0aecb91…1cadd854a0…cab967aa4c…97b9d0255b…85dd180b67…4c20051ea6…ca896932f7…b361cdc914…78b7727105…dc4e63521b…d846644a0a…168c55e8af…c3f6e0e0f4…a188e39c7d…721a181115…fb9f2c44a9…f7eba2a026…436ff6c378…42713ef678…f6efcebccf…4f7a9cf6fa…41ea23673a…ef539b98ca…98a60bda66…1f39eceb4c…2812f516a0…25688df4ed…93419fa1c3…7b3be15552…dc1ef9a684…f7003d3765…a23b0b21f4…2dff37e238…61f5c7ea13…f42b60629a…6c13f9d75f…29bd881bfe…5f698553c5…9ac45b0992…afa83cdd87…8ccfeda148…8f37b851d9…867fb81f84…7ba1f87ba2…866dc2002c…a93ba34df9…03c1e34190…2472277d61…5bae8ee492…46e98435f1…48829+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
1c3b…7ccf423,075,067+30.0%✓34 replay
b68c…fd5f427,510,705+30.0%✓34 replay
8703…f96f420,075,425+30.0%✓34 replay
5884…e3ff419,560,136+30.0%✓34 replay
1c62…13af412,455,086+30.0%✓34 replay
5cb9…e40f425,422,018+30.0%✓34 replay
69a6…8f1f421,963,926+30.0%✓34 replay
0f04…129f426,964,196+30.0%✓34 replay
fdb6…1acf413,075,391+30.0%✓34 replay
0efc…8d2f426,507,178+30.0%✓34 replay
fe3e…b6ff422,345,728+30.0%✓34 replay
fe64…3c8f421,962,294+30.0%✓34 replay
fea4…e4df425,773,335+30.0%✓34 replay
0ec0…d2ef425,172,756+30.0%✓34 replay
8570…ac7f425,445,134+30.0%✓34 replay
c384…502f420,392,211+30.0%✓34 replay
7e76…ee8f423,656,907+30.0%✓34 replay
4772…20cf424,890,571+30.0%✓34 replay
dbb8…204f420,421,404+30.0%✓34 replay
db9b…5daf419,339,950+30.0%✓34 replay
b70d…4d7f410,709,848+30.0%✓34 replay
3f2c…e91f426,734,988+30.0%✓34 replay
3f58…abff416,910,334+30.0%✓34 replay
dd9c…4f1f416,354,623+30.0%✓34 replay
dd86…d80f424,605,259+30.0%✓34 replay
7380…0a8f419,691,736+30.0%✓34 replay
6fd9…07ff416,396,140+30.0%✓34 replay
5d80…9cff416,891,249+30.0%✓34 replay
b83f…5d2f425,844,906+30.0%✓34 replay
74ad…29af426,328,992+30.0%✓34 replay
3c2f…893f418,711,726+30.0%✓34 replay
2961…a0ff418,661,558+30.0%✓34 replay
df3b…e85f421,922,769+30.0%✓34 replay
7442…10ef420,628,660+30.0%✓34 replay
40f7…16df426,914,846+30.0%✓34 replay
b2ce…45df426,998,894+30.0%✓34 replay
d96c…b5af427,043,951+30.0%✓34 replay
48b2…35df423,206,909+30.0%✓34 replay
4824…d4bf416,482,992+30.0%✓34 replay
74eb…178f425,087,336+30.0%✓34 replay
5ea9…839f425,369,615+30.0%✓34 replay
5eb0…8caf416,449,731+30.0%✓34 replay
48c0…666f421,983,496+30.0%✓34 replay
289a…f7de422,807,697+30.0%✓34 replay
2881…ee8f425,911,706+30.0%✓34 replay
7a66…4a3f426,973,925+30.0%✓34 replay
b4b9…5c0f421,818,867+30.0%✓34 replay
b828…8d0f424,538,916+30.0%✓34 replay
59e8…33cf419,561,068+30.0%✓34 replay
88d8…e7ef418,482,431+30.0%✓34 replay
898e…b0ff417,183,800+30.0%✓34 replay
4102…6baf417,209,657+30.0%✓34 replay
3b84…a28f427,602,357+30.0%✓34 replay
8e4f…ce9f423,854,564+30.0%✓34 replay
82cd…f9ff425,365,896+30.0%✓34 replay
8239…338f419,573,795+30.0%✓34 replay
33cf…22ef423,082,201+30.0%✓34 replay
9022…c6af427,063,730+30.0%✓34 replay
64e8…13df424,431,286+30.0%✓34 replay
02e4…fa4f416,518,224+30.0%✓34 replay