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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 22% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+0.6%
n=53 out-of-sample
Hit rate
22%
128 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+6.1% → +6.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+3.5% … +8.7%
Support128
OOS support53
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 21
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 21
200 resolved wallets
bfe25…94ee48c3f3…c3086f4c88…e78577a27f…b1523ece4a…544181636d…e9260d8301…bc9b8a43a5…44c25fa6c7…046a743e3d…59ea5dbd25…ce9438c099…ea52e8e3f9…1ba4758e68…dfcf4fb1bc…40a67ec8ef…0bc869c92d…503b740570…35e2195656…a0858cfd93…25e1ce03a4…86ac82d159…ca226e601c…8e9ec041a7…c1af04ccf9…76e95facb2…7732be27e3…2ea18f0ea7…ef348ac4cb…084938f248…a7d1b5586f…1641e3bbee…7c20a03c9e…fb0a245dd2…ffa67f46f9…5193bab69a…2fd50a213c…0a63a7dd04…bd6e1f7e01…dd89e1fe6e…17dfbbf16a…1ed27c7d0b…9c676f93b6…7a93505575…392d905d02…d15effe06e…e3202214f8…52299258da…d1b9a48470…0fa0e763ca…db4811ce8e…bc3014d8d5…30edf75222…190fff8dd7…5ff5fbbe3a…887c96cb91…13c2a09a9e…46242b6dda…0e4991b025…489fd0bd73…4d22609ff6…cd03567ccb…8ea34ee3ba…b66917dd53…719370c610…d11be76a51…f408211e04…09cbe1afa6…7f1a9d1b4b…d209598188…c1906a3902…0ea66514ff…8083e47040…93ffb6e07c…90ebc72c66…e0a0247877…f9e474beb8…b802c9a619…024627ec14…e575ea3fcc…b85a5+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7eeb…475f | 413,242,042 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 589a…8f9f | 415,861,098 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 69b4…b1cf | 413,928,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 9001…65cf | 411,707,286 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 9046…6e8f | 410,504,414 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 0efd…af5f | 426,546,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3ad5…54ff | 411,636,002 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 222c…844f | 412,147,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| fe5e…814f | 421,137,921 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| fe84…ee7f | 416,877,227 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 22a6…678f | 410,130,955 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| cdc4…ebdf | 423,443,139 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 7229…66ef | 409,861,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d39b…f49f | 424,905,283 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 22c1…eecf | 413,635,529 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| d2fe…4a5f | 413,528,640 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4689…5118 | 424,848,813 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8a58…0a1f | 413,967,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| fc27…9d9f | 412,044,743 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| ca63…787f | 418,239,286 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 2c37…54ef | 415,497,721 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 5a18…a0cf | 410,378,426 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 59fa…225f | 414,794,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 59da…d8af | 413,863,003 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 0f38…df3f | 416,773,029 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3c9a…333f | 427,136,799 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4106…461f | 424,072,092 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 85bf…6d9f | 410,174,355 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| dd8a…96df | 415,303,393 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| dcd3…17bf | 427,336,601 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 70b1…3d7f | 424,079,082 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 236a…21cf | 425,339,126 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 89fe…8f1f | 410,186,290 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8028…091f | 418,127,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 4875…f9ef | 416,352,938 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| fffd…e3b1 | 411,264,513 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 40cf…8a2f | 412,164,846 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 86f2…fd3f | 419,164,697 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 3c9c…754f | 417,131,556 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| c357…035f | 411,710,970 | +20.9% | 21 | replay | |
| b7a0…b6cf | 410,253,812 | +20.3% | 21 | replay | |
| 6a03…431f | 413,913,060 | +17.1% | 21 | replay | |
| b848…69df | 415,603,854 | +11.9% | 21 | replay | |
| 3cc2…844f | 410,396,362 | +8.6% | 21 | replay | |
| 5863…dcaf | 410,351,006 | +8.6% | 21 | replay | |
| 2c8e…1a9f | 421,510,931 | +7.7% | 21 | replay | |
| 2523…0dbf | 427,427,820 | +6.0% | 21 | replay | |
| 590b…64ef | 426,100,363 | +4.7% | 21 | replay | |
| 0f27…eecf | 416,976,511 | +4.5% | 21 | replay | |
| b714…c47f | 410,405,658 | +3.3% | 21 | replay | |
| 3c01…1f5f | 423,466,431 | +3.1% | 21 | replay | |
| 40a1…2ccf | 417,316,208 | +2.4% | 21 | replay | |
| 2832…fd7f | 418,958,799 | +2.4% | 21 | replay | |
| 0ee8…26df | 425,092,809 | +1.6% | 21 | replay | |
| 3d6e…1caf | 421,967,247 | +1.3% | 21 | replay | |
| 91b5…299f | 420,555,939 | +1.2% | 21 | replay | |
| fed8…5dff | 427,142,897 | +1.2% | 21 | replay | |
| 4700…373f | 419,105,720 | +1.0% | 21 | replay | |
| d538…6dbf | 419,114,789 | +1.0% | 21 | replay | |
| 447b…215f | 414,862,176 | +1.0% | 21 | replay |