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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0
rule detail

3-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 14% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedall
OOS effect
+1.8%
n=171056 out-of-sample
Hit rate
14%
373755 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.3% → +2.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+2.3% … +2.4%
Support373,755
OOS support171,056
MDL bits0
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 32525+12.7%—view →
crew 1919740+7.2%—view →
crew 22633+5.0%—view →
crew 8864+4.8%—view →
crew 13133+4.4%—view →
crew 11334+4.1%—view →
crew 3422+2.9%—view →
crew 21347+0.8%—view →
crew 21128+0.6%—view →
crew 4045+0.3%—view →
crew 5534+0.1%—view →
crew 1896817+0.0%—view →
crew 1968210+0.0%—view →
crew 253625+0.0%—view →
crew 297892+0.0%—view →
crew 1764319+0.0%—view →
crew 2557222+0.0%—view →
crew 68203-0.5%—view →
crew 5626-0.9%—view →
crew 4318-0.9%—view →
crew 5951-1.9%—view →
crew 1216-2.7%—view →
crew 633-3.4%—view →
crew 18617-4.5%—view →
crew 4731-4.5%—view →
crew 3134-5.0%—view →
crew 1789362-5.5%—view →
crew 37336-6.7%—view →
crew 34121-6.8%—view →
crew 11016-7.9%—view →
crew 25215-16.7%—view →
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
de76…722f417,845,127+30.0%✓13 replay
de1a…804f409,662,193+30.0%✓55 replay
de03…bf7f409,665,121+30.0%✓71 replay
ddf8…1c3f413,843,572+30.0%✓15547 replay
ddf4…9e4f415,364,369+30.0%✓2978 replay
ddeb…9def412,437,943+30.0%✓1968 replay
ddd1…9eff414,472,579+30.0%✓140 replay
dda9…bfbf424,268,205+30.0%✓10551 replay
dd9c…4f1f416,354,623+30.0%✓34 replay
dd97…b0af426,432,096+30.0%✓12 replay
dd86…d80f424,605,259+30.0%✓34 replay
dd7e…003f416,504,232+30.0%✓55 replay
dd6b…705f410,324,717+30.0%✓11028 replay
dd4b…d57f418,227,506+30.0%✓22610 replay
7034…09df427,558,629+30.0%✓54 replay
701e…418f409,901,535+30.0%✓1144 replay
701e…5cbf425,315,510+30.0%✓10 replay
7010…761f421,882,512+30.0%✓1590 replay
6fd9…07ff416,396,140+30.0%✓34 replay
6fc2…522f427,561,260+30.0%✓13 replay
6fb3…b0bf420,847,603+30.0%✓13 replay
6f6d…bbdf424,133,499+30.0%✓13183 replay
6f53…bd2f417,294,608+30.0%✓6 replay
6f51…ecaf417,255,028+30.0%✓13 replay
1cf0…2cdf416,739,007+30.0%✓13 replay
1cce…3abf410,182,920+30.0%✓8581 replay
1cc6…f33f425,342,455+30.0%✓43 replay
1cb9…892f420,434,147+30.0%✓13 replay
1cb8…dcef425,991,418+30.0%✓16 replay
1c76…3b1f425,389,298+30.0%✓1556 replay
1c62…13af412,455,086+30.0%✓34 replay
22ae…596f414,611,737+30.0%✓1968 replay
1c2d…c144424,580,326+30.0%✓59 replay
1c1f…7f5f419,104,858+30.0%✓12 replay
1c15…fe1f419,114,062+30.0%✓186 replay
1c0c…0e9f416,027,692+30.0%✓6 replay
1bfd…9cff417,070,536+30.0%✓13 replay
1bed…d18f422,510,252+30.0%✓56 replay
1bd7…c34f424,120,835+30.0%✓5 replay
1bb1…5abf411,996,195+30.0%✓1968 replay
1bb1…1dcf418,220,933+30.0%✓56 replay
1ba0…df72412,119,989+30.0%✓12743 replay
1b9a…297f417,995,370+30.0%✓— replay
fd13…927f411,431,814+30.0%✓394 replay
fcec…badf412,033,177+30.0%✓1968 replay
fcd9…e64a416,947,367+30.0%✓13 replay
1c3b…7ccf423,075,067+30.0%✓34 replay
731f…036f417,450,583+30.0%✓16 replay
72f4…95bf422,241,720+30.0%✓13 replay
72f3…b61f422,435,748+30.0%✓47 replay
72eb…436f410,576,932+30.0%✓13 replay
8b1f…3ebf414,350,318+30.0%✓54 replay
8b09…69ff411,996,488+30.0%✓1968 replay
8af1…1f2f424,358,180+30.0%✓15 replay
8aee…482f415,355,403+30.0%✓68 replay
8ae2…bc0f418,198,800+30.0%✓17893 replay
fcd7…b05f420,561,257+30.0%✓12 replay
8ab2…2bbf422,739,513+30.0%✓3799 replay
8acd…dfcf424,276,058+30.0%✓13 replay
230a…bdaf425,356,875+30.0%✓4016 replay