Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

3-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 39% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 3732 anchors
OOS effect
-6.7%
n=9 out-of-sample
Hit rate
39%
36 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.3% +5.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.128
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.4% … +12.9%
Support36
OOS support9
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 373
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0walletc669d0a25e57496955fabe1710e6c4377f22e6e418ce667bafc771fa609f214b100%45
w1walleta6ab26464fda0cda39cb52a39770b64d65a04b6af35e41a017d67ee2b0fb3c4c91%41
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 32525+12.7%view →
crew 1919740+7.2%view →
crew 22633+5.0%view →
crew 8864+4.8%view →
crew 13133+4.4%view →
crew 11334+4.1%view →
crew 3422+2.9%view →
all373755+1.8%view →
crew 21347+0.8%view →
crew 21128+0.6%view →
crew 4045+0.3%view →
crew 5534+0.1%view →
crew 1896817+0.0%view →
crew 1968210+0.0%view →
crew 253625+0.0%view →
crew 297892+0.0%view →
crew 1764319+0.0%view →
crew 2557222+0.0%view →
crew 68203-0.5%view →
crew 5626-0.9%view →
crew 4318-0.9%view →
crew 5951-1.9%view →
crew 1216-2.7%view →
crew 633-3.4%view →
crew 18617-4.5%view →
crew 4731-4.5%view →
crew 3134-5.0%view →
crew 1789362-5.5%view →
crew 34121-6.8%view →
crew 11016-7.9%view →
crew 25215-16.7%view →
Crew 373
200 resolved wallets
fe3b5…933eae193b…a5db85629b…43290c669d…f214b77419…3b47844b96…076026abd2…23e31ab7b7…674e6b4612…c992ab7bc8…4b2699d886…4d8cdff028…3eaceff356…3949e25f49…d291ce9783…dac8da565f…29d982e98d…34e5a83fb4…d15a07ca23…68dc706e3e…c5e8c1986e…fcfd917b58…5e3a5aeced…3f9f98a6b4…e178e0da18…719cb3c374…2a4b93805b…5e26197c8b…3d913f2c60…42271bfa41…cd2e4eab02…61ed18059c…b895e30599…e14b859a5e…6327a3bcef…c083385322…c0310073de…8be1b4f994…1b17f7fdde…dae305bd13…381677e6d4…fc5b48d681…1aa7dee4ea…fe98fade2c…8b2a87f403…195b850848…9640c00261…4220a1d211…81c7a16605…90a98fcb6f…135c0e4415…f60322a614…4320dfb749…3d05084983…bad4892bb7…abac7ea548…2057ba8927…be3794a878…183275c96d…07a2a93b1c…ef9810ea50…cb36014492…fdf049cf8b…6eb262be08…12de93e97e…7f0a7be717…62a941bf44…7ce38ec22d…dd1cd6f698…21a128880d…cacb9912fa…1ca7b01aab…7730132ea6…e074717363…1c5ce7c72e…a9ce2f7733…26620dce45…2b296b7020…f3915df5e4…71ae365d79…c43dc+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
ee32…61ef424,656,392+30.0%373 replay
5d26…ae3f427,130,334+30.0%373 replay
405c…213f424,423,417+30.0%373 replay
413f…04ff423,573,645+30.0%373 replay
d42c…806f420,833,872+30.0%373 replay
b887…1e6f414,795,596+30.0%373 replay
8b6b…38df416,164,138+30.0%373 replay
7db8…b66f420,832,779+30.0%373 replay
2ad1…1e8f424,415,322+30.0%373 replay
92d3…ffbf426,968,877+30.0%373 replay
2ed9…df0f420,398,697+30.0%373 replay
646c…55af419,376,574+30.0%373 replay
2c68…4f4f425,851,147+30.0%373 replay
2c76…e4cf409,904,165+30.0%373 replay
77c1…d50f423,510,994+30.0%373 replay
e3d5…099f417,628,500+30.0%373 replay
44e9…1c4f426,376,983+30.0%373 replay
7348…3caf417,840,656+30.0%373 replay
e1d4…49af427,149,500+30.0%373 replay
9361…efef427,331,628+30.0%373 replay
c8c1…a0df423,951,106+30.0%373 replay
591e…0129412,179,837+30.0%373 replay
5a23…4ecf422,228,968+30.0%373 replay
3726…6b4f427,249,037+30.0%373 replay
7c86…948f423,582,753+30.0%373 replay
69e9…c98f427,189,615+30.0%373 replay
7dcb…3c6f426,984,912+30.0%373 replay
a621…881f424,650,836+30.0%373 replay
9ce3…0bdf425,234,716+30.0%373 replay
7fe9…ce5f422,186,323+30.0%373 replay
a429…299f410,164,593+30.0%373 replay
326f…fd1f412,398,325+30.0%373 replay
12ad…184f424,257,527+30.0%373 replay
2f2f…ce6f417,420,097+30.0%373 replay
767d…675f422,180,815+30.0%373 replay
77fc…f0cf423,567,345+30.0%373 replay
5d0c…f79f417,459,426+30.0%373 replay
c62b…70ff426,122,223+30.0%373 replay
471c…b10f411,960,745+30.0%373 replay
e33c…3dcf426,342,868+30.0%373 replay
87d0…c7af423,582,566+30.0%373 replay
ff63…61bf418,167,831+30.0%373 replay
4cc8…13df424,144,568+30.0%373 replay
c537…469f426,541,132+30.0%373 replay
c90b…6b2f427,410,652+30.0%373 replay
f191…8c9f418,473,548+30.0%373 replay
f1e7…e81f423,583,917+30.0%373 replay
680a…549f418,089,320+30.0%373 replay
ad39…61af419,743,521+30.0%373 replay
6811…60af424,860,217+30.0%373 replay
f531…abff423,598,511+30.0%373 replay
7a2e…fda2424,848,812+30.0%373 replay
a88d…bfdc410,242,077+30.0%373 replay
46d6…a00f427,189,263+30.0%373 replay
ccba…9bef423,570,904+30.0%373 replay
6901…bc56410,217,023+30.0%373 replay
cdf1…5d7f423,594,149+30.0%373 replay
5ea9…4d2f426,964,384+30.0%373 replay
755f…6b7f418,495,067+30.0%373 replay
65e7…240f420,829,264+30.0%373 replay