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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 39% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-6.7%
n=9 out-of-sample
Hit rate
39%
36 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.3% → +5.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.128
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.4% … +12.9%
Support36
OOS support9
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 373
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | c669d0a25e57496955fabe1710e6c4377f22e6e418ce667bafc771fa609f214b | 100% | 45 |
| w1 | wallet | a6ab26464fda0cda39cb52a39770b64d65a04b6af35e41a017d67ee2b0fb3c4c | 91% | 41 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 373
200 resolved wallets
fe3b5…933eae193b…a5db85629b…43290c669d…f214b77419…3b47844b96…076026abd2…23e31ab7b7…674e6b4612…c992ab7bc8…4b2699d886…4d8cdff028…3eaceff356…3949e25f49…d291ce9783…dac8da565f…29d982e98d…34e5a83fb4…d15a07ca23…68dc706e3e…c5e8c1986e…fcfd917b58…5e3a5aeced…3f9f98a6b4…e178e0da18…719cb3c374…2a4b93805b…5e26197c8b…3d913f2c60…42271bfa41…cd2e4eab02…61ed18059c…b895e30599…e14b859a5e…6327a3bcef…c083385322…c0310073de…8be1b4f994…1b17f7fdde…dae305bd13…381677e6d4…fc5b48d681…1aa7dee4ea…fe98fade2c…8b2a87f403…195b850848…9640c00261…4220a1d211…81c7a16605…90a98fcb6f…135c0e4415…f60322a614…4320dfb749…3d05084983…bad4892bb7…abac7ea548…2057ba8927…be3794a878…183275c96d…07a2a93b1c…ef9810ea50…cb36014492…fdf049cf8b…6eb262be08…12de93e97e…7f0a7be717…62a941bf44…7ce38ec22d…dd1cd6f698…21a128880d…cacb9912fa…1ca7b01aab…7730132ea6…e074717363…1c5ce7c72e…a9ce2f7733…26620dce45…2b296b7020…f3915df5e4…71ae365d79…c43dc+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ee32…61ef | 424,656,392 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 5d26…ae3f | 427,130,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 405c…213f | 424,423,417 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 413f…04ff | 423,573,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| d42c…806f | 420,833,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| b887…1e6f | 414,795,596 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8b6b…38df | 416,164,138 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7db8…b66f | 420,832,779 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2ad1…1e8f | 424,415,322 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 92d3…ffbf | 426,968,877 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2ed9…df0f | 420,398,697 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 646c…55af | 419,376,574 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2c68…4f4f | 425,851,147 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2c76…e4cf | 409,904,165 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 77c1…d50f | 423,510,994 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| e3d5…099f | 417,628,500 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 44e9…1c4f | 426,376,983 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7348…3caf | 417,840,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| e1d4…49af | 427,149,500 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 9361…efef | 427,331,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| c8c1…a0df | 423,951,106 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 591e…0129 | 412,179,837 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 5a23…4ecf | 422,228,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 3726…6b4f | 427,249,037 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7c86…948f | 423,582,753 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 69e9…c98f | 427,189,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7dcb…3c6f | 426,984,912 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| a621…881f | 424,650,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 9ce3…0bdf | 425,234,716 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7fe9…ce5f | 422,186,323 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| a429…299f | 410,164,593 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 326f…fd1f | 412,398,325 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 12ad…184f | 424,257,527 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2f2f…ce6f | 417,420,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 767d…675f | 422,180,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 77fc…f0cf | 423,567,345 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 5d0c…f79f | 417,459,426 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| c62b…70ff | 426,122,223 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 471c…b10f | 411,960,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| e33c…3dcf | 426,342,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 87d0…c7af | 423,582,566 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| ff63…61bf | 418,167,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 4cc8…13df | 424,144,568 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| c537…469f | 426,541,132 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| c90b…6b2f | 427,410,652 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| f191…8c9f | 418,473,548 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| f1e7…e81f | 423,583,917 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 680a…549f | 418,089,320 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| ad39…61af | 419,743,521 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 6811…60af | 424,860,217 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| f531…abff | 423,598,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7a2e…fda2 | 424,848,812 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| a88d…bfdc | 410,242,077 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 46d6…a00f | 427,189,263 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| ccba…9bef | 423,570,904 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 6901…bc56 | 410,217,023 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| cdf1…5d7f | 423,594,149 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 5ea9…4d2f | 426,964,384 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 755f…6b7f | 418,495,067 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 65e7…240f | 420,829,264 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |