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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 6% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+0.8%
n=57 out-of-sample
Hit rate
6%
47 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+1.0% → +1.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.290
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.6% … +3.7%
Support47
OOS support57
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 213
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 213
200 resolved wallets
f2cd3…f27e3db166…5758895625…93cdbec89f…b68551d850…a6de7efc5f…6aebf09dea…5f4a8f55f4…2284020942…184d95fc1e…51272aed45…909a318791…39576c382b…1c16bcbdf5…73f62bdd29…06d963cdc2…d3f316eec9…b01e539a74…78def30a96…50fc52a904…79a592570e…3b67badc10…b0edc76a44…6f185d29ea…0cc2cbc810…8a0d3b52a5…d7ed3ab68b…288356b687…299af1e66b…400f85dbb5…5a5dbef5ed…fd3d7dedca…bf925a88a1…dd94d831d1…d285359800…ef03b783c7…9db3df9d15…a3e9c047de…42355e5f4a…c02bdb4d5a…a4d593a05b…76ec72351b…77e0af3df5…280cfabcdf…65d30375a4…b9cb27631d…68be14f0f0…0501214af8…9606582295…af6c2b0f59…4f5b77d554…b8fee0e234…20192ae911…11bd78c40f…a7913923ac…c9d4026a23…330e311b7e…a59f0b86a0…35796781ac…83912fc2a0…cc9beccabe…6a8d742bcb…02266cdfd2…7e7e764342…d0ee018b72…c1e2b44ace…df03b9b5de…f5d90f4aa2…e2471fdcd4…fb9021fc7c…d4ec71b907…60dad8dbcf…89c1f03435…a6738b37b2…48171a61b6…a5a017a3f0…46443a831a…5980ed3bec…cec0296936…44f681a22d…d692a+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| d2a2…5a2f | 423,173,031 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3f91…d14f | 423,693,301 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 58fb…cb8f | 416,383,363 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 58ef…1f9f | 426,826,455 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 74ae…21ef | 424,777,168 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| ba0c…d3df | 423,176,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 7200…892f | 416,481,623 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 0243…421f | 417,326,094 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| e7e6…908f | 416,808,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 9b68…555f | 418,876,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| bc59…ec5f | 426,443,832 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 47b5…2c1f | 426,952,667 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d733…a28f | 414,215,529 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 60bf…644f | 427,593,632 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 4546…59af | 422,226,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2cfb…05ef | 416,102,633 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2e5f…d74f | 425,854,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| ecb0…50ef | 415,427,043 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 0bc9…b96f | 414,719,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| c85a…73df | 426,650,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 0a95…ac2f | 421,696,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| a6b8…b40f | 413,914,191 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5b60…956f | 424,658,041 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 11a6…e6bf | 415,880,149 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 6eb6…05bf | 416,713,099 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2b71…40ff | 416,759,352 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 1569…8b9f | 416,378,419 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3785…8d3f | 421,084,083 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| b059…38af | 420,906,763 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| a40e…5b5f | 415,426,474 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 8260…263f | 423,314,408 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5253…6f4f | 419,515,827 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 1d30…569f | 422,293,192 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3351…65ef | 416,796,929 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 33a9…ce8f | 421,046,944 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d913…ce2f | 426,650,245 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3c4c…05cf | 414,322,561 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2584…f85f | 423,177,172 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 08db…d55f | 415,060,155 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 92f2…c38f | 419,509,332 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2f01…68ef | 420,687,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| f8ac…d5df | 426,765,813 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| a1f7…de28 | 420,930,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5f18…cddf | 422,349,336 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 85d9…df7f | 421,550,123 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| ede0…721f | 418,727,638 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 0db9…f8cf | 420,973,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d0fb…c2ef | 420,670,713 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| a382…14cf | 416,145,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| fbdd…e5ff | 419,830,855 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| ad50…0ebf | 421,720,044 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5d19…7faf | 421,216,021 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| e2e9…7d9f | 421,123,880 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5cfc…534f | 418,994,786 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 0eca…02bf | 418,150,236 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 1ece…b82f | 427,474,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 1137…a7bf | 420,339,927 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| b4be…869f | 421,069,049 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| cb47…f29f | 417,851,935 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| b075…efbf | 413,622,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |