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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 19% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-2.7%
n=8 out-of-sample
Hit rate
19%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.9% → +6.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.077
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.1% … +12.9%
Support16
OOS support8
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 12
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 12
200 resolved wallets
d1c24…1515f17a7a…21b7c278bc…a404b2d3f3…10cda0beba…bb3a674af2…395a64ddbf…616946ab68…12804490e2…2b67ebfabc…91a9803a7d…f718893f97…dc15b4394c…69c5b85339…8d5124597f…1c5af55498…0629584705…24d5f03a24…d433dba114…65aec92681…39d96c8158…6d080ac6b2…b2b822e13b…0d7cbfba33…1456208e73…936c89fdeb…0e1cd45d6c…92a54e80a8…d21ba69aa2…63e5b5e51b…58232a6354…6ceae9ea6b…55ef801381…3d585a0b2d…94b24b79ed…8f0ccc476a…151e141d61…5b64177209…069f871344…fd845655d2…d466e3abc3…fe8b8a8a97…cec28a69fc…4b14dd4b7a…bdc43feebf…0b65eb9025…6ef052f228…aa7c693d89…1233960d08…833fa2ef86…ea2f6d750f…3d83790491…a37231f610…2f7eff55a7…10b84bc461…6eab9f0a63…d6a1f445cb…9669f72797…505722ed1b…19b8d999d6…89c3819a5a…4049e00e26…9d67f2c791…41f9a9ae86…7e162f720c…5f7aee1ccc…04d918468b…207bdef141…06cfd5dd4a…7c0e9d0e1d…68a1b78179…660ebb845d…5cee4aaf54…536e94737d…7d171b2615…93bc9d504a…0c36a6f239…dc96d348fc…d15cd28716…da9385e47e…d4ce3+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 439d…6fff | 421,230,689 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| dd97…b0af | 426,432,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 1c1f…7f5f | 419,104,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fcd7…b05f | 420,561,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fc60…accf | 413,126,939 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7383…faaf | 415,626,399 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 4517…291f | 427,165,695 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| b833…e9bf | 427,216,712 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| b7c8…1d6f | 420,228,723 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 73a3…782f | 413,637,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 40ba…d7bf | 422,596,816 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 460e…605f | 418,471,559 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| cbdc…4a3f | 423,661,302 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| d600…a4ff | 421,674,664 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c5ea…7d4f | 424,751,432 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 433c…0d2f | 413,846,458 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 8211…8ccf | 410,707,760 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7231…2fcf | 421,674,900 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 9c14…b7bf | 415,627,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 8f77…d65f | 425,002,653 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 60fc…9375 | 416,291,422 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 73c7…4f0f | 414,112,486 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c19f…48bf | 420,582,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| be69…df6f | 419,507,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 961a…57bf | 425,016,013 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| bd19…c887 | 421,060,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fa6f…f74f | 421,333,614 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7e48…f01f | 420,565,328 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fa63…3a2f | 419,318,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| e849…8e3f | 412,239,288 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 9108…40af | 419,269,596 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 86b1…b04f | 423,407,401 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 6988…bec6 | 427,340,242 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c781…217f | 421,070,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 0dc3…7eaf | 419,270,467 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 9a34…eeef | 427,290,493 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7a2a…580f | 412,604,507 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 8725…3e7f | 410,956,589 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| a6a8…25df | 422,362,005 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 5604…79ef | 422,651,659 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 76e0…821f | 410,446,478 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 77bc…d6ef | 412,289,291 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c3cb…896f | 426,746,677 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| bc30…e3df | 421,525,842 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 268e…428f | 421,892,283 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| df83…d4cf | 415,968,754 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 5c41…afaf | 420,790,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7df2…e7ef | 427,359,317 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 6118…00bf | 417,877,581 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| ef91…a84f | 419,869,887 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| cbc3…53bf | 421,727,270 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| becc…bbaf | 411,915,182 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c456…1e8f | 413,104,249 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 6772…c09f | 420,568,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 8591…ad5f | 427,513,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| ce1d…ddff | 414,745,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| ce21…1c4f | 410,431,132 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| a674…2edf | 422,389,807 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| a610…6adf | 419,446,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 255d…7cbf | 410,967,496 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |