│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: OOS n=4 < floor 10 (too few out-of-sample occurrences) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-5.5%
n=4 out-of-sample
Hit rate
73%
62 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+20.2% → +19.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+15.9% … +24.4%
Support62
OOS support4
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 17893
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w1 | wallet | 08552299e5fca7e077aa7d99291807b487148cf28dd82240094f4f1ea6498817 | 100% | 66 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 17893
6 resolved wallets
08552…98817db630…3bd35d36db…61ad1a02eb…a11e77c025…a8913d3d6a…ff073
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4333…badf | 411,539,103 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 2743…f51f | 419,831,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| b70e…733f | 417,363,770 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 8ae2…bc0f | 418,198,800 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d32a…54bf | 415,663,980 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 6a8f…4a5f | 411,967,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 6a92…cb3f | 415,029,859 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| b6e3…ed9f | 419,305,544 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| b6f2…13ef | 411,636,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| ca50…07bf | 417,373,863 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 9260…5c7f | 411,478,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 8cb3…c04f | 412,942,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| cf2d…dc5f | 411,478,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 89d1…084f | 416,065,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 7538…75af | 421,455,749 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 74d0…187f | 415,450,668 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 4176…7c5f | 422,097,340 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 7b88…9257 | 417,811,585 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 0094…bcff | 417,597,685 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 4113…f9bf | 414,500,406 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 7632…3d8f | 411,732,280 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 4987…a8bf | 412,967,172 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| e14c…c430 | 416,044,119 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d5de…696f | 417,973,378 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| b7be…ee5f | 418,002,735 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| b7cd…c90f | 412,886,801 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d20b…5ebf | 418,001,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 8d70…6e0f | 411,519,199 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 8d94…c5af | 411,967,643 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| e27e…0b3f | 418,227,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| df8b…7aef | 411,998,897 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| c773…2882 | 411,481,856 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d745…1def | 418,174,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 1265…8e62 | 411,542,274 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 60d0…c56f | 421,395,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| ba7c…42df | 418,179,389 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 4002…34f7 | 411,456,438 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 407a…15cf | 411,712,668 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 2bd8…c19f | 418,467,401 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 7543…7edf | 411,629,801 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| e12d…9cbf | 411,504,131 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 44c5…36af | 411,527,640 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 3102…919f | 416,944,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| f716…b9cf | 411,583,464 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d6b6…d1cf | 411,937,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 90a8…fcbf | 411,458,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 46fd…d75f | 413,651,316 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| e419…72bf | 414,535,396 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 022e…c88f | 411,425,870 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| bed2…8a37 | 411,434,769 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 4387…680f | 417,776,307 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 4879…6e61 | 412,310,649 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d718…ce8f | 412,949,094 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 937d…2cbf | 417,362,932 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 2deb…ed7f | 419,725,667 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| e792…f5af | 411,477,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 90d2…870f | 411,683,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| 9083…1e0f | 411,543,269 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d3a2…d61f | 419,726,589 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |
| d7fa…08f9 | 411,430,239 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17893 | replay |