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rule detail

3-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 22% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 431 anchor
OOS effect
-0.9%
n=36 out-of-sample
Hit rate
22%
18 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.7% → +6.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.068
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.8% … +12.3%
Support18
OOS support36
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 43
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet3f05ddc7dfd9d61d021580bee1f2efa9aa485c560602a194b4f53bc742fab11496%52
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 32525+12.7%—view →
crew 1919740+7.2%—view →
crew 22633+5.0%—view →
crew 8864+4.8%—view →
crew 13133+4.4%—view →
crew 11334+4.1%—view →
crew 3422+2.9%—view →
all373755+1.8%—view →
crew 21347+0.8%—view →
crew 21128+0.6%—view →
crew 4045+0.3%—view →
crew 5534+0.1%—view →
crew 1896817+0.0%—view →
crew 1968210+0.0%—view →
crew 253625+0.0%—view →
crew 297892+0.0%—view →
crew 1764319+0.0%—view →
crew 2557222+0.0%—view →
crew 68203-0.5%—view →
crew 5626-0.9%—view →
crew 5951-1.9%—view →
crew 1216-2.7%—view →
crew 633-3.4%—view →
crew 18617-4.5%—view →
crew 4731-4.5%—view →
crew 3134-5.0%—view →
crew 1789362-5.5%—view →
crew 37336-6.7%—view →
crew 34121-6.8%—view →
crew 11016-7.9%—view →
crew 25215-16.7%—view →
Crew 43
200 resolved wallets
3f05d…ab114622ac…1959de82a3…ac138208a1…957fd167de…758d1f0fcd…bcb67ec68e…38e0dce2f0…63ce836810…7b42b159f4…db4ba2cea5…3d680677f5…8bea1448b2…a8c1ef9316…74bf2c05cc…4621acad7c…17b029647f…29b6fb7e38…743f44bd34…5f9cd635e6…fb502bf20a…fe2bf14d1d…6e072d30fb…25ee433f91…484a372fcf…e66e132399…87a462007c…fc7a5664f9…f209ef6b4f…18df011c7b…3ae248e1c6…2a7b90eb10…846a3422ff…7d789a0efa…856e5cbf02…38451f8c8e…475496b27d…bf816a0788…e1ea83a4f1…d4df19152b…9132285da3…4fc49ea8f5…1cc3a29f74…198c751a55…3ab50f8180…ef48c4ce1f…76cc095a7d…f49765035b…b9f81a035b…effeef448a…a821839256…ac84ffc635…ba9c24491d…532e005dc9…a1c6cbaa58…bf2c56c1c3…7e1c49d261…f62d996cc5…ba3af6f6ad…0963d4a1b2…5ce6457ec9…f4480110d5…712a659bf6…34930c1aa6…5ad31c2272…fca5d3bc3c…44f1da3f07…18da4335b8…c8524512f7…8cc448305a…f3a1680ffd…e543512eec…06885ce378…1002e78dce…b2a62542af…ba5ecb0126…0dd3f89c99…a628914ada…f09dd55fd3…1edf00fbe7…ed306+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
cdce…8d9f423,853,909+30.0%✓43 replay
5807…9cef423,840,287+30.0%✓43 replay
5d51…5b6f426,426,069+30.0%✓43 replay
5cab…47bf425,353,518+30.0%✓43 replay
6a99…93ef423,843,936+30.0%✓43 replay
6a5f…ca8f424,976,427+30.0%✓43 replay
0ef6…164f423,904,619+30.0%✓43 replay
3b31…caef423,365,951+30.0%✓43 replay
7369…e13f423,388,079+30.0%✓43 replay
d2e5…a13f425,625,890+30.0%✓43 replay
c3da…d56f412,432,527+30.0%✓43 replay
dc8a…6a4f421,378,085+30.0%✓43 replay
dbd7…e32f417,440,263+30.0%✓43 replay
dba0…f8bf424,249,296+30.0%✓43 replay
1cc6…f33f425,342,455+30.0%✓43 replay
42e9…ec5f426,160,268+30.0%✓43 replay
7336…fedf423,845,090+30.0%✓43 replay
b6dd…252f425,392,509+30.0%✓43 replay
b695…7cff427,324,141+30.0%✓43 replay
b654…3c2f424,176,245+30.0%✓43 replay
d79f…558f426,891,470+30.0%✓43 replay
4677…6e6f423,658,896+30.0%✓43 replay
466b…94ff423,027,723+30.0%✓43 replay
46eb…e1ff426,069,833+30.0%✓43 replay
262a…302f412,317,295+30.0%✓43 replay
73d8…040f419,556,216+30.0%✓43 replay
3e98…5b4f417,573,001+30.0%✓43 replay
42fa…72df416,320,949+30.0%✓43 replay
c9ec…9bcf426,624,878+30.0%✓43 replay
fe08…06df409,803,920+30.0%✓43 replay
b35d…075f412,605,711+30.0%✓43 replay
8b74…bd8f422,649,848+30.0%✓43 replay
3ec4…e93f424,524,219+30.0%✓43 replay
6ace…5bcf426,476,350+30.0%✓43 replay
860e…ae3f417,459,759+30.0%✓43 replay
4456…56bf426,420,216+30.0%✓43 replay
3cc9…dfef423,851,229+30.0%✓43 replay
f04c…95ff419,771,626+30.0%✓43 replay
5ecd…117f426,084,456+30.0%✓43 replay
3fa8…ca0f422,746,219+30.0%✓43 replay
40cf…b74f424,941,286+30.0%✓43 replay
cfeb…bc8f423,568,455+30.0%✓43 replay
479b…f24f419,111,806+30.0%✓43 replay
47cc…c3ff426,050,151+30.0%✓43 replay
8a7d…e0af426,473,356+30.0%✓43 replay
d979…c59f426,622,970+30.0%✓43 replay
5e2c…e04f424,126,903+30.0%✓43 replay
256b…c04f425,599,172+30.0%✓43 replay
7091…b66f418,720,227+30.0%✓43 replay
292e…5d5f417,459,802+30.0%✓43 replay
28a4…a69f427,357,750+30.0%✓43 replay
6b09…c56f411,958,853+30.0%✓43 replay
41d1…ad6f417,406,687+30.0%✓43 replay
5fa0…95cf421,181,228+30.0%✓43 replay
8eb0…045f423,359,613+30.0%✓43 replay
8daf…f72f424,921,773+30.0%✓43 replay
4b3e…089f425,331,472+30.0%✓43 replay
8f3c…15af410,089,593+30.0%✓43 replay
98c4…47af424,063,981+30.0%✓43 replay
16c1…0d7f426,702,512+30.0%✓43 replay