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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 18% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+0.3%
n=57 out-of-sample
Hit rate
18%
45 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.1% → +4.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.043
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.0% … +8.2%
Support45
OOS support57
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 40
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 40
200 resolved wallets
9feaf…f55e5a19bc…3146ef9819…a1ee9365a1…633df20edf…6cb20f840d…ab28a9818b…9a33029915…c6c641c229…0c59063d09…d4da3ab992…8602e2ac26…c2b2d2da31…eab9badb91…53041747ec…72b7997854…6e09af2c14…0b4f6f3114…db1b015090…ebaff08370…7b1b8c8edd…bf14643662…52dee27092…72f66fd6db…0676de2471…7b11095ee2…b87d3d4c6c…8014080d6d…cd237a58ef…bd0d1122a3…5c0ff6b298…492fcd1284…b8f54ec994…8050e54820…a4bf90a761…1dc7e469c4…5295c686a0…75b6647e09…2a8b28e1af…44142861d7…0e3515bbeb…f62f990cde…40fe55720f…14b1f70a92…aef6b2c5e7…d7520caeab…087a68ed7f…dcff204fe3…2bd75a84d8…72917bfdcb…3fb0779267…46c89aa97b…26a030a1d0…995cadc616…e4d9ac9c59…884dcf22ca…cd24e7ab75…3898e5f2d5…4206fa716f…1d9bc31d71…18afbb841d…dfb00fbfc1…388f86c1d4…9b840759f6…dd3e6a4dcf…7d6f296c81…54212949ec…a9cb338edc…aef5848331…c04eab886d…ea08fcf8ec…c2352bd48f…cd932ea4c0…b55fa982fe…58adf37316…a59d32fc57…06fc626ea5…59d5107787…de8d216387…8559330ff8…a5842+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7e56…e40f | 427,589,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 57af…54df | 424,019,205 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 7eba…e6df | 426,890,243 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 4674…662f | 424,608,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 3bce…7ddf | 418,238,793 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 711e…0e0f | 427,450,897 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 40c9…f2af | 420,783,034 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 7558…480f | 419,902,885 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 427d…5fdf | 411,413,751 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| f63e…fbcf | 421,484,783 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 9017…09a7 | 422,335,034 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 7182…d4ff | 420,491,360 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2bcb…acdf | 420,485,834 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 4894…b8cf | 416,767,930 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 60e0…5f1f | 411,645,226 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| e5ad…29bf | 422,099,668 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 84ba…b68f | 427,139,124 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| ec96…2c6f | 420,062,057 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| c5e9…657c | 417,541,614 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 69ba…526f | 426,898,607 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| c6eb…2cdf | 427,240,015 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6ad1…b88f | 426,796,697 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| c822…fe9f | 410,065,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 864d…496f | 412,613,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| ea9d…299f | 424,685,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 5608…6c3f | 427,366,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6174…000f | 425,240,943 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| f3ae…db9f | 421,455,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2e6b…3d47 | 411,234,731 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| c368…95bf | 426,908,439 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 77a0…6eaf | 423,434,679 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| a05c…2f8f | 416,729,316 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 5997…b29f | 418,470,634 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| de6a…4a4f | 413,978,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| ee9a…faef | 420,263,454 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 872d…c3df | 426,527,151 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 74d2…cd2f | 418,529,424 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| c2f5…2c8f | 416,484,757 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| d204…419f | 420,027,126 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 99ae…b0df | 422,262,886 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2e59…2c1f | 421,244,663 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2d7e…119f | 416,927,113 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2a8d…2d7f | 418,945,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| d355…1ebf | 421,987,502 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 842e…300f | 426,083,764 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| a851…198f | 422,572,265 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| beb4…f64f | 427,246,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2c23…f0ef | 424,837,927 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 857b…757f | 410,194,442 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 1d08…78cf | 417,085,509 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| f6c3…6ebf | 414,062,198 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 5561…21ef | 420,189,860 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 09cc…ac4f | 424,116,181 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 0827…98ff | 420,361,577 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 55cf…790f | 417,722,288 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 75af…d60f | 427,066,273 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 24da…997f | 417,932,173 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 8610…6a5f | 426,799,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| bdc6…ee7f | 426,873,018 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 9cc9…9dff | 420,185,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |