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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 26% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+4.4%
n=84 out-of-sample
Hit rate
26%
133 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.8% → +5.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.002
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+1.9% … +7.8%
Support133
OOS support84
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 13
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 48c01b5059005455d9dcb0c6bcecdcb4fb5b2eabc1a9a82b57392baaa40f04e6 | 95% | 208 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 13
200 resolved wallets
0297f…7d17048c01…f04e6d5d49…9aa5e5ea71…4882254a81…7485adbc0d…f2563eb378…31d2dc1d0e…3f5c1da400…eb9dad8d37…e70afeac22…2e251f4247…c0b683d345…3579178e1f…0ff4e9e85d…534ce66cd8…1777cc0609…a11dd7df78…2341533a86…f3139bf635…45ed2efd9e…69a7b58385…7f907d2f87…239601fbd6…8cd310431a…411bc94eb0…32d324b081…36fdc2bd8d…5e1d5aca81…f8504288a2…c4fa6f0486…016f162bb1…ac3189dff6…7434d4f40c…cf4a80613a…05ab1c5333…a00ca238de…27251f6734…bf5e23d8f7…07aaacad81…8c466ebaad…62e1d62837…794e578dbc…0c97b7301f…2bfcd3cd33…0ad729cfbf…2d98106dd8…19e142faa6…8b91773cff…a1e42dbdf7…e401454fbf…b1ccfd56dc…2397416692…3ffbce4eae…4355605612…85c949082a…d77f846a18…94a3a45c48…4cec3af6cb…61f8230a9c…0466a78a4f…2966c3e151…a74c69375a…abf2a2245a…2f5a7c2633…d28b36ff75…d11914f229…531cca70a7…32878d5a9a…da3f95281c…7be92cfbc0…fb546faaeb…8c165ffd86…7d2f1922cd…c84c7d1112…5248abe109…8cddf97f8b…004a27a193…ab8edf3579…24d82865df…60919+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b3ab…5eaf | 417,784,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b400…027f | 425,532,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b40e…086f | 420,412,620 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3e2a…0bff | 424,286,747 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b73a…2a4f | 416,273,547 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3ec0…440f | 423,886,547 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3edc…853f | 412,631,291 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3f04…697f | 422,317,125 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b71c…986f | 419,563,703 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b716…391f | 420,428,468 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a28…c88f | 424,060,990 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| ce5e…f43f | 417,357,990 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2681…4f7f | 412,576,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2683…a4df | 422,540,714 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b6ed…4c8f | 423,416,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 26cb…b10f | 412,690,322 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 26d9…455f | 425,458,468 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 26e0…642f | 427,437,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 26f7…b2ff | 427,281,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2702…27ef | 410,322,517 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2731…e86f | 427,613,909 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 4643…fa8f | 415,239,764 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b6a8…769f | 423,450,406 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69be…f5ef | 425,579,567 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 46f2…67bf | 414,808,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| fe91…fe1f | 425,602,224 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7e55…584f | 423,692,838 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7e95…1f5f | 425,973,188 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b69d…780f | 424,577,179 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8861…afef | 424,316,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8884…e24f | 415,606,844 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8887…a64f | 421,031,960 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 88d4…00df | 423,418,674 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8914…570f | 418,239,141 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8953…0d4f | 423,667,026 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 897b…ed5f | 419,956,286 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69af…863f | 424,151,631 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 73c7…443f | 427,528,855 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d762…307b | 422,113,151 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d7a1…642f | 417,986,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d8a1…5d1f | 425,475,275 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ef5…978f | 425,867,906 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b6e8…68ef | 427,564,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 475a…adef | 414,043,166 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ec5…ea4f | 425,546,760 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6fc2…522f | 427,561,260 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5837…5abf | 419,853,741 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| de76…722f | 417,845,127 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c2f…5aff | 424,075,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b763…c0cf | 421,449,771 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3fcb…155f | 424,910,587 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 4017…53df | 416,263,233 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5dac…6b7f | 417,796,851 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5d89…eaef | 410,129,220 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| c38e…f46f | 420,221,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c16…dabf | 427,282,702 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d3e6…594f | 425,672,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d2a2…aa3f | 419,661,753 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 734b…37ef | 425,168,609 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ac…59ff | 425,780,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |