│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 18% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-5.0%
n=18 out-of-sample
Hit rate
18%
34 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-0.8% → +0.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.683
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-6.6% … +4.9%
Support34
OOS support18
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 31
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 31
200 resolved wallets
dc4b6…bf04fc8c29…5a07d555ab…d12006f990…9baade677b…59afba5885…fbdf98fc34…d692eeace0…ac40cc3773…57d632425b…a273c1e2cb…c5f0c11bc9…35c259729b…0522dfa64f…732ed9cf2c…f6ccdddb49…63440feaaf…79c11fdc86…8c25cde6c8…e6e96734a1…098b330ce0…634e94fe21…d503478d9a…aa9ad63738…d8505bc583…046e8c0287…6b2c33ebb2…701adb2164…ec22c2b6bb…9ff065fea1…c1d6a0516b…7c1962f47d…ab1409dec4…dd59030c56…b7756887b3…a924dd4a00…8dba236cfb…76381293f3…6afe36dc41…141b9eb1af…c00126c265…9bd908d9b9…42a2d9526c…4b6c73f235…d552cd0e15…3271fb8a62…7c8c510761…d6ab1f3fa0…dbad95e1d9…bd9dc4d7c5…e2d681abe0…fc7831cd98…53083b2300…d606083cf5…a6e263717f…14c0d47c6c…c4aeece6c1…37ca25af1e…f4db65a72f…8bd35bdb74…a9879a1d82…25938e008d…f245ce43c1…91aff727cd…551942b24e…a5eec0d09f…d06f9095d0…80c5694bd4…870dba70d6…603d2a56d7…9c6275272f…e53bc7f203…153bd539c2…5d8f641096…0df044460c…92308e137e…dab642b759…b60292db51…563c09cd3c…4cb42c88a4…aebad+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8fe7…5b1f | 427,518,553 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 3f01…4b0f | 412,194,905 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 735b…8ef8 | 419,372,370 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| f085…779f | 410,397,727 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| b43f…5fac | 412,573,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| d040…f24f | 423,585,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 45ec…cccf | 422,646,782 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 8b9f…bfff | 419,282,566 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 75ee…f7ff | 412,209,743 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 4279…741f | 410,201,043 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| c57b…1f1f | 423,284,322 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 602b…c19f | 418,677,591 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 4409…c4cf | 426,992,749 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 98c6…104f | 426,977,492 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| d663…4e1f | 415,730,046 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 871e…1b0f | 422,610,448 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 8788…9b9f | 414,203,253 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 4e7c…e0af | 417,215,592 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 2f9b…898f | 425,826,281 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 93d0…6a9f | 423,737,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 2d9b…85bd | 418,239,111 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 79c9…945f | 417,849,150 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 4954…2ebf | 410,234,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 72dc…23df | 411,992,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 9b88…486f | 422,743,378 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 9c23…c6ef | 409,884,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 35aa…fa3f | 417,844,636 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| bcc7…b563 | 410,110,762 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| e2ad…189f | 412,439,434 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| d598…fbdf | 423,185,767 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| e817…ab8f | 416,093,850 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 33fd…539f | 415,767,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 47b3…4b5f | 412,187,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 8245…771f | 418,736,540 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 6a03…dbdf | 410,160,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| c808…26af | 417,848,997 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 3b59…c1df | 414,134,491 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| ef92…e1bf | 411,895,727 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 9b72…c79f | 410,363,185 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 5c24…a35f | 419,419,542 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 85bf…bb1f | 422,124,856 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 7e47…e18e | 412,595,756 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 5dd6…0a8f | 417,944,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| f04a…8c1f | 427,397,413 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 3b6f…f0df | 422,651,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 61aa…c2cf | 417,843,124 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 3025…4b77 | 423,862,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 5a56…8a1f | 426,033,761 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| e7d3…09cf | 424,982,970 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| e83b…e77f | 412,248,561 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| e8dc…02cf | 410,994,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 73f0…cc3f | 416,325,248 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 489c…ca9f | 422,620,747 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 314d…ee7f | 422,607,770 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 1354…803f | 416,332,506 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 7502…e33f | 412,417,148 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 574e…86ed | 409,864,366 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| c766…5edf | 418,739,267 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| 97f9…13cf | 423,667,105 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |
| f622…c5bf | 410,409,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 31 | replay |