Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

3-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 12% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 29782 anchors
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
12%
92 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.5% +0.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.419
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.2% … +3.3%
Support92
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 2978
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet0bf23cbb32bc88500bc2e4084f9d5d9bdbb0bc3ffc17995460f4aac5b7259dab100%92
w1wallet0bf23cb5d6d2791d7f0afe8c33a37ad1307934df7d0af3ab9fd4c9ee90504222100%92
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 32525+12.7%view →
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crew 22633+5.0%view →
crew 8864+4.8%view →
crew 13133+4.4%view →
crew 11334+4.1%view →
crew 3422+2.9%view →
all373755+1.8%view →
crew 21347+0.8%view →
crew 21128+0.6%view →
crew 4045+0.3%view →
crew 5534+0.1%view →
crew 1896817+0.0%view →
crew 1968210+0.0%view →
crew 253625+0.0%view →
crew 1764319+0.0%view →
crew 2557222+0.0%view →
crew 68203-0.5%view →
crew 5626-0.9%view →
crew 4318-0.9%view →
crew 5951-1.9%view →
crew 1216-2.7%view →
crew 633-3.4%view →
crew 18617-4.5%view →
crew 4731-4.5%view →
crew 3134-5.0%view →
crew 1789362-5.5%view →
crew 37336-6.7%view →
crew 34121-6.8%view →
crew 11016-7.9%view →
crew 25215-16.7%view →
Crew 2978
114 resolved wallets
0bf23…042220bf23…261f80bf23…b7ca90bf23…343ff0bf23…648b90bf23…09e4c0bf23…408e10bf23…146d40bf23…197e00bf23…b4c720bf23…191420bf23…573f20bf23…336150bf23…c5d2d0bf23…16fa50bf23…adb770bf23…dcbb70bf23…fe9060bf23…a23530bf23…68d700bf23…611e80bf23…c55d40bf23…b39d80bf23…7aeb50bf23…08b780bf23…3be800bf23…45e570bf23…cfe260bf23…34d960bf23…30d340bf23…3b4ee0bf23…1c1840bf23…f7a3a0bf23…45f6a0bf23…a87460bf23…9ecef0bf23…c6b530bf23…fcf770bf23…2cbc40bf23…568dc0bf23…6a6d30bf23…b38280bf23…94e2a0bf23…239450bf23…283b00bf23…3013d0bf23…64f700bf23…dece70bf23…0a8720bf23…44d780bf23…3cd870bf23…d69f60bf23…969270bf23…708220bf23…7aad80bf23…2e6ab0bf23…9630e0bf23…e94800bf23…230940bf23…ae5460bf23…438c60bf23…e5e210bf23…eb07f0bf23…9be2b0bf23…294820bf23…3fe030bf23…f99bc0bf23…701720bf23…45eaf0bf23…0e7240bf23…2d13b0bf23…b27f70bf23…4990e0bf23…dee820bf23…84c7d0bf23…327f50bf23…78f0d0bf23…1039f0bf23…71e8e0bf23…32243+34 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
ee62…483f415,229,942+30.0%2978 replay
b405…395f415,223,056+30.0%2978 replay
72c1…f7af415,169,008+30.0%2978 replay
ddf4…9e4f415,364,369+30.0%2978 replay
3b68…346f415,472,319+30.0%2978 replay
285f…93bf415,468,250+30.0%2978 replay
f02f…074f415,639,833+30.0%2978 replay
b357…d35f415,367,343+30.0%2978 replay
d4dd…5b2f416,058,216+30.0%2978 replay
0f2d…481f415,816,224+30.0%2978 replay
d1ae…1f5f415,937,889+30.0%2978 replay
4996…63df415,226,573+30.0%2978 replay
8d15…addf415,347,195+30.0%2978 replay
110e…4bbf416,238,315+30.0%2978 replay
5a57…92ef415,653,355+30.0%2978 replay
6560…321f415,408,836+30.0%2978 replay
0261…aeef416,058,848+30.0%2978 replay
0619…7d0f415,835,829+30.0%2978 replay
d7d6…6caf415,630,264+30.0%2978 replay
31f8…3f81415,999,495+30.0%2978 replay
e156…58ff415,759,658+30.0%2978 replay
e5ef…e1ff415,188,774+30.0%2978 replay
7b46…f6af415,837,704+30.0%2978 replay
91a4…23ff416,068,588+30.0%2978 replay
e2db…f25f416,022,432+30.0%2978 replay
e36c…105f415,836,412+30.0%2978 replay
e848…901f415,836,153+30.0%2978 replay
9394…dfdf415,896,554+30.0%2978 replay
d632…7d6f415,306,731+30.0%2978 replay
be44…b6af416,024,672+30.0%2978 replay
c376…175f415,405,114+30.0%2978 replay
35cc…3c9f414,786,784+30.0%2978 replay
4735…9bcf415,725,248+30.0%2978 replay
93c6…8a3f414,951,985+30.0%2978 replay
c16c…1bef415,307,123+30.0%2978 replay
9329…22ef415,883,565+30.0%2978 replay
0e00…1baf415,844,535+30.0%2978 replay
ec57…d99f415,672,223+30.0%2978 replay
3bb7…0b0f414,962,531+30.0%2978 replay
3a2c…afef415,460,638+30.0%2978 replay
a758…337f415,170,428+30.0%2978 replay
f1b0…b8dd415,733,744+30.0%2978 replay
f00a…302f415,773,795+30.0%2978 replay
a5de…5dff415,298,595+30.0%2978 replay
8cfe…457f415,187,297+30.0%2978 replay
cb5a…10af415,843,709+30.0%2978 replay
a7b8…b91f415,943,231+30.0%2978 replay
8dc5…b9df415,857,246+30.0%2978 replay
8deb…a75f416,228,144+30.0%2978 replay
f3a7…b18f415,574,269+30.0%2978 replay
4975…248f416,071,639+30.0%2978 replay
2bdb…82cf415,887,030+30.0%2978 replay
308d…be0f416,058,381+30.0%2978 replay
9483…048f415,183,517+30.0%2978 replay
2a30…61af415,886,839+30.0%2978 replay
b840…ad0f416,158,782+30.0%2978 replay
1926…6ecf416,231,648+30.0%2978 replay
188b…814f415,300,420+30.0%2978 replay
ee09…4fef416,088,416+30.0%2978 replay
9ac8…9bef414,873,156+30.0%2978 replay