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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 12% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
12%
92 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.5% → +0.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.419
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.2% … +3.3%
Support92
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 2978
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 0bf23cbb32bc88500bc2e4084f9d5d9bdbb0bc3ffc17995460f4aac5b7259dab | 100% | 92 |
| w1 | wallet | 0bf23cb5d6d2791d7f0afe8c33a37ad1307934df7d0af3ab9fd4c9ee90504222 | 100% | 92 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 2978
114 resolved wallets
0bf23…042220bf23…261f80bf23…b7ca90bf23…343ff0bf23…648b90bf23…09e4c0bf23…408e10bf23…146d40bf23…197e00bf23…b4c720bf23…191420bf23…573f20bf23…336150bf23…c5d2d0bf23…16fa50bf23…adb770bf23…dcbb70bf23…fe9060bf23…a23530bf23…68d700bf23…611e80bf23…c55d40bf23…b39d80bf23…7aeb50bf23…08b780bf23…3be800bf23…45e570bf23…cfe260bf23…34d960bf23…30d340bf23…3b4ee0bf23…1c1840bf23…f7a3a0bf23…45f6a0bf23…a87460bf23…9ecef0bf23…c6b530bf23…fcf770bf23…2cbc40bf23…568dc0bf23…6a6d30bf23…b38280bf23…94e2a0bf23…239450bf23…283b00bf23…3013d0bf23…64f700bf23…dece70bf23…0a8720bf23…44d780bf23…3cd870bf23…d69f60bf23…969270bf23…708220bf23…7aad80bf23…2e6ab0bf23…9630e0bf23…e94800bf23…230940bf23…ae5460bf23…438c60bf23…e5e210bf23…eb07f0bf23…9be2b0bf23…294820bf23…3fe030bf23…f99bc0bf23…701720bf23…45eaf0bf23…0e7240bf23…2d13b0bf23…b27f70bf23…4990e0bf23…dee820bf23…84c7d0bf23…327f50bf23…78f0d0bf23…1039f0bf23…71e8e0bf23…32243+34 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ee62…483f | 415,229,942 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| b405…395f | 415,223,056 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 72c1…f7af | 415,169,008 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| ddf4…9e4f | 415,364,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 3b68…346f | 415,472,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 285f…93bf | 415,468,250 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| f02f…074f | 415,639,833 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| b357…d35f | 415,367,343 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| d4dd…5b2f | 416,058,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 0f2d…481f | 415,816,224 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| d1ae…1f5f | 415,937,889 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 4996…63df | 415,226,573 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 8d15…addf | 415,347,195 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 110e…4bbf | 416,238,315 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 5a57…92ef | 415,653,355 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 6560…321f | 415,408,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 0261…aeef | 416,058,848 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 0619…7d0f | 415,835,829 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| d7d6…6caf | 415,630,264 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 31f8…3f81 | 415,999,495 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| e156…58ff | 415,759,658 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| e5ef…e1ff | 415,188,774 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 7b46…f6af | 415,837,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 91a4…23ff | 416,068,588 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| e2db…f25f | 416,022,432 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| e36c…105f | 415,836,412 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| e848…901f | 415,836,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 9394…dfdf | 415,896,554 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| d632…7d6f | 415,306,731 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| be44…b6af | 416,024,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| c376…175f | 415,405,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 35cc…3c9f | 414,786,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 4735…9bcf | 415,725,248 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 93c6…8a3f | 414,951,985 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| c16c…1bef | 415,307,123 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 9329…22ef | 415,883,565 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 0e00…1baf | 415,844,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| ec57…d99f | 415,672,223 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 3bb7…0b0f | 414,962,531 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 3a2c…afef | 415,460,638 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| a758…337f | 415,170,428 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| f1b0…b8dd | 415,733,744 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| f00a…302f | 415,773,795 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| a5de…5dff | 415,298,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 8cfe…457f | 415,187,297 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| cb5a…10af | 415,843,709 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| a7b8…b91f | 415,943,231 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 8dc5…b9df | 415,857,246 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 8deb…a75f | 416,228,144 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| f3a7…b18f | 415,574,269 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 4975…248f | 416,071,639 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 2bdb…82cf | 415,887,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 308d…be0f | 416,058,381 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 9483…048f | 415,183,517 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 2a30…61af | 415,886,839 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| b840…ad0f | 416,158,782 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 1926…6ecf | 416,231,648 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 188b…814f | 415,300,420 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| ee09…4fef | 416,088,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 9ac8…9bef | 414,873,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |