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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 18% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-4.5%
n=26 out-of-sample
Hit rate
18%
17 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.0% → +3.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.368
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-5.4% … +9.3%
Support17
OOS support26
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 186
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 186
200 resolved wallets
15dc0…59fcdca9bd…56d4a71d88…3d4a45da20…07cf3e63f5…dcc3c69438…b5caa5a49b…343fdb834e…5a768cd8d4…76da47f307…9999132273…3432ecca95…ee438a9218…1a3f260492…bbb51b3e6d…ae8955edc3…ee3c34d159…ace06fc2ec…ed155b037c…24535782e6…a3df5d7b59…bbcb112d60…2ee1482238…dc41bb307f…9600587a97…5e347f2be2…522ba67ec4…e43e5fedab…583bc840a2…536da93e43…b0ca96991f…aff4735133…050ec47054…cc3fb1da4a…8ec2d2005e…e1cc7f112d…ed2dc0ceba…a3572609ae…9575185a39…d58554ae80…2178c83979…8c27b779f2…f8c17d4543…f82410f991…2e70f8c9aa…02ffc64dc4…7dd10bbf68…7922af4f65…f8ff370e7a…249e494d4d…8df7c94c48…82efc5c013…7b7e01f4ac…47d91eb24a…657e9753d5…ea6cb387bf…115b1c4310…57c10e8327…14fc8dc681…ff2f8f90b3…efa7a65bd6…1012ed3f2d…17d98484b5…8ea3b3401e…893e620af5…bb97d3229b…3c8e6da00c…aeab042dcb…e50c6b087b…0c5e41ae1e…3fae87c372…0d5138ebbb…7363fc548b…0485a5b89a…043517acf2…06865212b3…537d713f21…cd42d6592a…eb168c4c10…1ca0c7f0a9…524c3+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9072…784f | 426,645,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 8b4b…4c9f | 424,860,747 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 46d1…56df | 415,974,464 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| fc51…6a5f | 422,882,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 1c15…fe1f | 419,114,062 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 40d0…b6ff | 426,635,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 3d48…70df | 424,013,773 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 6bb7…307f | 427,342,517 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 93f7…52cf | 426,666,434 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| b40b…bd4f | 418,288,934 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 2e3a…8d9f | 426,636,602 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| d219…8fef | 422,055,303 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 8c92…efbf | 423,832,478 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 27cd…af5f | 421,186,941 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 9646…abef | 420,361,394 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 9094…8e0f | 411,899,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 20b7…880f | 424,516,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 7936…9c0f | 421,645,646 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 8bfc…740f | 426,617,516 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 4190…6baf | 421,183,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 9119…a2bf | 423,664,199 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| b884…6c4f | 419,776,953 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 2f46…2acf | 418,662,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 2d92…38df | 421,636,802 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 9051…dcff | 421,164,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| fa21…bc3f | 421,625,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 8a2d…e7ef | 422,797,925 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 7a53…34ef | 423,399,795 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 7cb4…caef | 426,490,177 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 73f7…f7af | 424,011,639 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| c145…f80f | 419,898,209 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 9ce4…08ff | 412,812,015 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 4ac3…038f | 424,134,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| fb98…e86f | 424,285,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| a020…d99f | 424,933,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 331f…ac9f | 420,837,580 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 77bb…e4cf | 427,567,796 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 8626…141f | 422,710,695 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| a6d6…e8cf | 424,000,307 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| c7e7…845f | 424,498,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 8947…72cf | 416,900,506 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 886c…af4f | 426,650,280 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 11a5…2cdf | 424,510,883 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 6ff6…a46f | 426,341,438 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| a045…19ef | 426,909,963 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 12c5…8cdf | 426,650,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 140a…540f | 423,990,804 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 633f…cc0f | 423,002,677 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 36af…9d7f | 422,761,321 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 72c6…2f7f | 412,964,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 9428…099f | 422,137,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 90d9…91bf | 422,795,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 90d3…55ef | 424,679,047 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 4118…133f | 420,626,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 7458…6aaf | 417,526,480 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 1ba6…86af | 417,868,537 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 959d…ecef | 418,218,375 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 44f7…13df | 424,341,194 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 8c4d…ca2f | 424,738,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |
| 7105…7e4f | 422,763,015 | +30.0% | ✓ | 186 | replay |