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rule detail

3-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 0% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 17643
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
0%
19 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.0% → +0.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.120
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.0% … +0.0%
Support19
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 17643
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 32525+12.7%—view →
crew 1919740+7.2%—view →
crew 22633+5.0%—view →
crew 8864+4.8%—view →
crew 13133+4.4%—view →
crew 11334+4.1%—view →
crew 3422+2.9%—view →
all373755+1.8%—view →
crew 21347+0.8%—view →
crew 21128+0.6%—view →
crew 4045+0.3%—view →
crew 5534+0.1%—view →
crew 1896817+0.0%—view →
crew 1968210+0.0%—view →
crew 253625+0.0%—view →
crew 297892+0.0%—view →
crew 2557222+0.0%—view →
crew 68203-0.5%—view →
crew 5626-0.9%—view →
crew 4318-0.9%—view →
crew 5951-1.9%—view →
crew 1216-2.7%—view →
crew 633-3.4%—view →
crew 18617-4.5%—view →
crew 4731-4.5%—view →
crew 3134-5.0%—view →
crew 1789362-5.5%—view →
crew 37336-6.7%—view →
crew 34121-6.8%—view →
crew 11016-7.9%—view →
crew 25215-16.7%—view →
Crew 17643
3 resolved wallets
9159a…f22caeb46e…82be1ec076…beb03
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
e7b8…a73f419,088,924+13.3%17643 replay
716b…368f418,943,180+8.7%17643 replay
b40e…44ef421,285,939+6.8%17643 replay
c422…4b7f421,113,848+2.3%17643 replay
305d…1c1f421,129,332+1.6%17643 replay
bfd6…a4af421,122,663+1.4%17643 replay
8037…6bbf419,097,309+1.3%17643 replay
e699…57cf419,096,980+1.3%17643 replay
d327…3baf419,086,466+0.7%17643 replay
898e…6a7f419,081,113+0.7%17643 replay
5772…91df420,616,833+0.7%17643 replay
f368…edff421,130,887+0.7%17643 replay
67a0…e8ef420,840,514+0.7%17643 replay
3d3f…c9af419,100,585+0.7%17643 replay
d7c6…5fff420,649,279+0.4%17643 replay
c830…ac8f419,970,790+0.3%17643 replay
19fd…055f419,970,730+0.3%17643 replay
1bb8…35df419,970,790+0.3%17643 replay
accb…9d9f419,970,730+0.3%17643 replay
a1a7…563f421,122,052+0.3%17643 replay
196e…449f419,083,141+0.3%17643 replay
df21…5d8f420,186,890+0.1%17643 replay
65f7…0f2f421,158,366+0.1%17643 replay
cd4b…669f421,158,028+0.1%17643 replay
3887…da4f421,130,686+0.1%17643 replay
34a1…df2f421,131,113+0.1%17643 replay
669d…0e7f421,283,051+0.1%17643 replay
5c13…f52f421,124,265+0.1%17643 replay
617a…ba0f420,649,289+0.1%17643 replay
1bf5…8c5f420,649,279+0.1%17643 replay
0464…5cdf418,954,503+0.1%17643 replay
5c7f…29bf421,129,331+0.1%17643 replay
90b5…edbf421,128,078+0.1%17643 replay
026c…ed0f421,286,151+0.1%17643 replay
527b…81bf421,147,441+0.1%17643 replay
7621…4def421,120,988+0.1%17643 replay
9c5e…120f421,120,805+0.1%17643 replay
003b…d44f421,121,072+0.1%17643 replay
da73…c1df421,120,588+0.1%17643 replay
ae09…5bcf421,121,072+0.1%17643 replay
7399…090f421,132,963+0.0%17643 replay
4332…6a2f421,128,077+0.0%17643 replay
0d4b…0d0f421,132,524+0.0%17643 replay
0c86…9aff421,127,889+0.0%17643 replay
1846…26df420,851,187+0.0%17643 replay
6172…4d4f420,851,187+0.0%17643 replay
b1d1…07ef421,131,114+0.0%17643 replay
0b5c…888f420,815,945+0.0%17643 replay
d483…682f420,845,219+0.0%17643 replay
ab95…842f419,081,052+0.0%17643 replay
ceef…e82f419,078,654+0.0%17643 replay
d205…3e8f421,127,790+0.0%17643 replay
425a…81ff419,094,525+0.0%17643 replay
efe7…c8bf420,332,467+0.0%17643 replay
0f51…174f420,839,065+0.0%17643 replay
6810…695f420,839,065+0.0%17643 replay
2e68…340f420,838,951+0.0%17643 replay
0e1c…6acf420,841,302+0.0%17643 replay
0b93…e58f419,104,766+0.0%17643 replay
1608…14bf419,959,682+0.0%17643 replay