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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 16% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+12.7%
n=9 out-of-sample
Hit rate
16%
25 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.1% → +5.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.066
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.7% … +10.9%
Support25
OOS support9
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 325
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 3487c1bb7796d83e1cb4e7437e21dfcee696a62126a2d4c7a2492383ec53419f | 94% | 32 |
| w1 | wallet | 471ef99ce5eb68440b66f73a379644f65674cccbadcf1f05bb3c09a2673e6702 | 94% | 32 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 325
200 resolved wallets
3443e…b768d471ef…e6702a0f84…6ef5f1e3d1…de790832de…53ee828807…11626b2a25…82967c7cf8…db1c4daeb4…397e8f3938…0133643bc1…e5ba619216…91cc274ce6…362bcbb916…87883eb08d…7cc52f8dc3…33bec788a6…9ffd3e24b2…8a7872a9e3…d7c25a3b8e…a71a0f100f…06d6ade830…e4f4aa2704…1a2b0f8aff…2d432937ec…894476914d…072e733f00…91100b82f3…899f6710eb…45181aa60b…987ea33d0a…a468c4bbf2…e5857c4e46…6b6cd831cd…08fa18911e…23f28d64d4…6dc40767a0…99ecd66e81…e49e209f86…38109c3c74…6b397b147d…8bb7430451…59bc2663bb…3b691196ab…9548d98e97…144be13775…5c65f91189…f1e9850c77…0493b1527f…7ad89d1c04…af0988a9e3…ff66302d72…38326b8079…c18b89ed4c…8b84357d33…08e9dc213f…be10d10cce…a447213f26…8a3ceb7894…86e516d30f…a327f48667…3160f313b0…b5c3515535…659b674dc9…293b41c371…340e1ca0a1…12c9051a26…d5385976a0…aa6b72d4bd…a5b97526c7…4436a0ff58…a62e4d6c8e…227d06c7ad…b4a268ce6f…ae6445e14f…1ca7b962aa…fb7b646be5…26d1a7ebce…405f6bd7e6…daef0c3887…2f472+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2748…720b | 425,148,356 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 0f85…6679 | 411,402,434 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 8853…466f | 411,179,591 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 9393…23af | 409,909,311 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 00b0…f88f | 411,404,002 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 4284…b5af | 427,081,720 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 8e77…218a | 419,740,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 2f3c…f6d8 | 411,430,755 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 7dc5…288f | 411,565,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 2942…75cf | 425,407,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 7528…43bc | 411,432,115 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 4177…5ccf | 411,452,863 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| fad2…559f | 411,417,005 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| da25…a5ef | 411,456,607 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 8a89…db1f | 411,233,094 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| e8a9…508f | 410,816,491 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 477c…3e4f | 413,552,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 0766…71af | 409,884,145 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| c799…c01c | 411,306,335 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| a26b…853a | 411,214,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 589d…362f | 419,070,540 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 8521…d50f | 420,949,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 8697…235f | 423,914,064 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 9b64…e93f | 411,260,339 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| a229…f6af | 418,182,748 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 3077…1faf | 410,994,299 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| a335…7c1f | 411,208,480 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| a713…b40f | 411,176,324 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| c507…471f | 411,373,576 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| bf10…64ef | 410,911,304 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 83ef…ae6f | 415,705,558 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| fd72…915f | 411,617,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 12aa…7b7f | 422,132,651 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 296d…4078 | 411,426,029 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| fe4e…c85e | 410,931,484 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 731b…741f | 422,912,953 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 27f7…0fff | 411,429,974 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 0b75…5ecf | 411,551,652 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| ef00…4df0 | 423,635,311 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 75d9…d0cf | 426,034,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 4ce9…a5cf | 411,318,166 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 171f…668f | 410,520,514 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 2b0b…2b76 | 411,439,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 019f…90ef | 427,128,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| a6de…135f | 409,939,669 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 1bed…12af | 410,049,409 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 3623…208f | 411,205,662 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| cf8e…ec0f | 421,514,884 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 3666…4ddf | 410,747,372 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 1ee8…362f | 409,927,274 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 6787…2728 | 411,434,803 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| f969…475f | 411,321,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 3c6e…780f | 410,790,915 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| ac9f…801f | 415,705,419 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 8537…1a5f | 424,087,484 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 091c…ffff | 413,360,528 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 0a8a…fd7f | 419,797,721 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 6198…9ddf | 417,944,004 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 56b4…da6f | 427,315,588 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |
| 942f…8c4f | 411,398,173 | +30.0% | ✓ | 325 | replay |