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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 19% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-7.9%
n=6 out-of-sample
Hit rate
19%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-0.2% → +1.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.592
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-8.8% … +8.4%
Support16
OOS support6
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 110
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 252 | 15 | -16.7% | — | view → |
Crew 110
200 resolved wallets
71440…574211a561…4104212051…087f1e417a…3e91631711…57d3f6540c…a2dc8659be…4c60331b72…07aae9475c…c84c355a71…e5a199e7c0…939e1d0365…0333a7d1a1…f9d9f64a7a…e636bfe96c…a0b398bb3d…e22d8942fa…38bcf06f7c…25d55e4074…19e6f79b54…c511e640e4…6849963462…832e536307…674be9d497…1601582b25…e6135a4561…d242ba4d7e…630eacdca8…aec89249e6…c0199a273e…9f49bec0b0…e34a9d347f…bd6a8b4543…da7a6cb150…6926e5668d…f2543c90c1…b5aeffd33e…0489256263…6552a537eb…c48e3690f5…102aa12f83…27ebb0e816…09df5ace83…a4c2d2937c…be1cf8decc…a9fe945556…29cccd8a02…767a82fec2…777500643d…74ae138c1c…92b6f05a29…f7698a0852…45bec77c4d…783f8292f5…9db43e8d6f…f1ade5ff42…da61034b09…68a8580bdb…3055854ad2…1ad86f5e72…056fd5cec5…ca484563af…8698716209…84aad79549…b0f365473b…9a85f497e6…fef0ac6fc6…8a18220eb6…b60e9e9c22…16929dd1c6…f90803f82f…a8467c07c3…76e78de45e…8e1f5d5328…dab03cf326…86c4ba1219…1e492ae13f…e60c25c599…b42d7fdead…c62a5dbbee…97eea+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4315…33cf | 419,864,659 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 39f5…b6cf | 424,531,429 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 0f0d…052f | 427,421,983 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 8ba6…bb6f | 413,093,947 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| d0da…806f | 422,147,935 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 430d…e57f | 419,162,233 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 20c7…65ff | 418,665,064 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| b943…2b8f | 420,866,719 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 2129…4b3f | 413,023,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 6457…658f | 414,611,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 9371…08af | 420,227,970 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| e637…0c0f | 417,432,576 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 3862…1c8f | 423,063,442 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| c268…844f | 421,978,514 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| c140…29ff | 424,157,390 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 58be…c97f | 418,223,530 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 850d…c14f | 426,926,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 7fe3…1fdf | 417,632,306 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 5f64…b92f | 422,341,550 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| f186…63ff | 416,790,034 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 60f3…c16f | 420,162,447 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| a707…800f | 417,801,816 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 0f09…545f | 427,187,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 0f0c…66af | 427,397,329 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 5ceb…3bcd | 422,356,635 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 003f…166b | 425,671,821 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 7148…de5f | 417,798,261 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| c02e…aecf | 425,266,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 746c…e23f | 418,400,587 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| bba1…de3f | 425,250,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 8067…dbdf | 422,458,768 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 1235…0a6f | 415,181,115 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 862a…b53f | 418,220,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| a540…147f | 418,925,667 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 2ca4…81ff | 421,976,107 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 2b02…a3ef | 421,922,130 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 7ea0…d9df | 418,652,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| cd36…991f | 421,717,415 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 9ae2…88cf | 425,267,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| cda5…c44f | 423,024,776 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| ce49…b90f | 413,105,213 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| a645…a80f | 418,999,504 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 655f…fbcf | 420,832,010 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 0f09…5b2f | 427,191,774 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 336d…53ef | 414,604,673 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 72b2…764f | 416,716,445 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 901b…f3ef | 421,964,028 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 8a4f…ba1f | 421,984,248 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| afd1…242f | 410,658,178 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 373a…542f | 412,485,253 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 3d06…f2ef | 411,831,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 3f7e…392f | 419,312,295 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 0824…445f | 414,599,768 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 6315…cfcf | 421,975,689 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 8346…a47f | 418,039,870 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| e56d…75bf | 427,328,888 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 601b…e2ff | 415,500,817 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| fa4b…9d4f | 416,511,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 6d2c…ea5f | 421,993,417 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |
| 59c8…d82f | 415,632,411 | +30.0% | ✓ | 110 | replay |