Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

3-hop chain→buy

rejected: only 0.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 0% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 2522 anchors
OOS effect
-16.7%
n=6 out-of-sample
Hit rate
0%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-10.6% -8.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-15.8% … -5.3%
Support15
OOS support6
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 252
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet36a5e5f24ce38f876087b04c8b50f78d1220ee80b47534920c00d9a78b47504d100%21
w1wallet4f3f21a664a7290903035c74cc6939d71d88c315333e6da3691f45aaebc22d7286%18
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 32525+12.7%view →
crew 1919740+7.2%view →
crew 22633+5.0%view →
crew 8864+4.8%view →
crew 13133+4.4%view →
crew 11334+4.1%view →
crew 3422+2.9%view →
all373755+1.8%view →
crew 21347+0.8%view →
crew 21128+0.6%view →
crew 4045+0.3%view →
crew 5534+0.1%view →
crew 1896817+0.0%view →
crew 1968210+0.0%view →
crew 253625+0.0%view →
crew 297892+0.0%view →
crew 1764319+0.0%view →
crew 2557222+0.0%view →
crew 68203-0.5%view →
crew 5626-0.9%view →
crew 4318-0.9%view →
crew 5951-1.9%view →
crew 1216-2.7%view →
crew 633-3.4%view →
crew 18617-4.5%view →
crew 4731-4.5%view →
crew 3134-5.0%view →
crew 1789362-5.5%view →
crew 37336-6.7%view →
crew 34121-6.8%view →
crew 11016-7.9%view →
Crew 252
200 resolved wallets
36a5e…7504d48c6e…518ab48be3…69341779bd…a0bfa9c316…5a6e709e84…5b8a2420cd…8fc6b17d24…22ef23c3b1…6f45f26d81…2083d02b9d…8e36e0a5d6…f134b5d205…1fcff28f29…6eb32fbc4a…9819e42f68…65e83e5e8d…19678c31fa…a69e462cc1…b7b17cf605…6b63bbc07c…263be3b3b6…65963c5a37…92ddd0b925…0716c07e2d…e63b426be4…6a353aa090…baaabfa2d4…cca131256e…67ba49b2b9…78b4e080f8…b3ac3e78b0…dfbdf5c472…d560566abd…8e6856d3fd…cc8e139bfe…a0fb76ebf8…6bcba0ce44…7a3f2ada56…155a89e153…089beedc06…87e426da15…825a14111c…eca2f0f893…b8d57d4750…8ed3a89173…eb83780382…71530ccebd…f13f85d664…516d8a56fc…842312bb3f…c8d87b1e90…6d25e9a8d1…b37a24de6b…fef482e533…b59f526475…4613ccee15…9a6838842c…ac262850a0…1ed3c5d284…3c8577b6a7…0362e1b40c…1c03317f32…0ad907dc9c…4fd52c8c34…66995572ee…305af76c8b…b4c4469016…db5e508968…8fb817bde0…42970915d0…5eceb1044e…2d9b0481e1…bab493c963…555bea9e78…96b3ae419e…28187c86c3…e62d427c8c…0449dbda98…e4041f46ce…4aaae+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
7e59…9faf417,563,522+30.0%252 replay
7a97…9ea4423,255,267+30.0%252 replay
8620…2f80421,988,234+30.0%252 replay
01f4…d0ff419,769,820+30.0%252 replay
d44b…dbcf425,580,570+30.0%252 replay
5d23…5c33423,815,964+30.0%252 replay
3278…8e26422,958,222+30.0%252 replay
8cf3…8453423,006,882+30.0%252 replay
bb72…ab0f426,987,176+30.0%252 replay
745c…57b4423,192,950+30.0%252 replay
e3a8…b88e419,122,270+30.0%252 replay
3471…33e2416,699,479+30.0%252 replay
8033…d11f418,619,957+30.0%252 replay
c786…0ebf417,477,734+30.0%252 replay
9c77…22ca424,488,198+30.0%252 replay
5d29…965f419,764,611+30.0%252 replay
8b62…ec9f425,567,209+30.0%252 replay
45f2…94ad416,576,211+30.0%252 replay
87e9…cfd3423,615,700+30.0%252 replay
d7d4…4f06426,238,130+30.0%252 replay
937a…bdab421,972,729+30.0%252 replay
23e9…d56f419,715,896+30.0%252 replay
fff6…417e418,903,275+30.0%252 replay
79da…f8af426,653,492+30.0%252 replay
110f…47ff413,033,507+30.0%252 replay
9e88…216f417,330,285+30.0%252 replay
9fc3…4e3f418,323,104+30.0%252 replay
d207…5f6f427,298,140+30.0%252 replay
f274…efcf418,220,572+30.0%252 replay
826a…f04f418,112,139+30.0%252 replay
a66d…466f416,405,712+30.0%252 replay
7f5d…6ccf427,329,117+30.0%252 replay
3298…9f1f419,747,999+30.0%252 replay
aa54…a6c5422,128,952+30.0%252 replay
a907…aa1f426,826,402+30.0%252 replay
1e3c…5f7f414,722,065+30.0%252 replay
7266…37d1423,005,715+30.0%252 replay
3f50…794d416,346,987+30.0%252 replay
f7b7…4d8f419,504,851+30.0%252 replay
c87c…48ef413,037,707+30.0%252 replay
a843…dc2f416,339,599+30.0%252 replay
892d…b97f427,302,584+30.0%252 replay
a8c1…4bc9416,905,519+30.0%252 replay
8691…2033423,653,508+30.0%252 replay
aa33…d05f418,612,544+30.0%252 replay
df96…8f7f418,448,689+30.0%252 replay
8cce…5a2f419,726,724+30.0%252 replay
76eb…14c6423,632,443+30.0%252 replay
7772…c5ce423,226,133+30.0%252 replay
fd4e…25ef426,827,269+30.0%252 replay
5e44…a45f419,500,928+30.0%252 replay
b029…729f425,562,239+30.0%252 replay
b172…59af425,698,869+30.0%252 replay
b1ad…fd1e426,440,825+30.0%252 replay
b239…c73f421,897,841+30.0%252 replay
b13f…473d416,942,686+30.0%252 replay
b583…9d8f418,706,172+30.0%252 replay
cd3e…c501419,601,314+30.0%252 replay
885f…e3ad422,388,686+30.0%252 replay
8922…e7ff412,544,227+30.0%252 replay