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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
3-hop chain→buy
rejected: only 0.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 0% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-16.7%
n=6 out-of-sample
Hit rate
0%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-10.6% → -8.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-15.8% … -5.3%
Support15
OOS support6
MDL bits20
Case / control83485 / 461541
Motif size4n · 3e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 252
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 36a5e5f24ce38f876087b04c8b50f78d1220ee80b47534920c00d9a78b47504d | 100% | 21 |
| w1 | wallet | 4f3f21a664a7290903035c74cc6939d71d88c315333e6da3691f45aaebc22d72 | 86% | 18 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 325 | 25 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 19197 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 33 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 64 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 133 | +4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +4.1% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 22 | +2.9% | — | view → |
| all | 373755 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 47 | +0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 128 | +0.6% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 34 | +0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 18968 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 210 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2536 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 92 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17643 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25572 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 203 | -0.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 26 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 18 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 51 | -1.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | -2.7% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 33 | -3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 186 | 17 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 31 | -4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 34 | -5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 62 | -5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 36 | -6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 21 | -6.8% | — | view → |
| crew 110 | 16 | -7.9% | — | view → |
Crew 252
200 resolved wallets
36a5e…7504d48c6e…518ab48be3…69341779bd…a0bfa9c316…5a6e709e84…5b8a2420cd…8fc6b17d24…22ef23c3b1…6f45f26d81…2083d02b9d…8e36e0a5d6…f134b5d205…1fcff28f29…6eb32fbc4a…9819e42f68…65e83e5e8d…19678c31fa…a69e462cc1…b7b17cf605…6b63bbc07c…263be3b3b6…65963c5a37…92ddd0b925…0716c07e2d…e63b426be4…6a353aa090…baaabfa2d4…cca131256e…67ba49b2b9…78b4e080f8…b3ac3e78b0…dfbdf5c472…d560566abd…8e6856d3fd…cc8e139bfe…a0fb76ebf8…6bcba0ce44…7a3f2ada56…155a89e153…089beedc06…87e426da15…825a14111c…eca2f0f893…b8d57d4750…8ed3a89173…eb83780382…71530ccebd…f13f85d664…516d8a56fc…842312bb3f…c8d87b1e90…6d25e9a8d1…b37a24de6b…fef482e533…b59f526475…4613ccee15…9a6838842c…ac262850a0…1ed3c5d284…3c8577b6a7…0362e1b40c…1c03317f32…0ad907dc9c…4fd52c8c34…66995572ee…305af76c8b…b4c4469016…db5e508968…8fb817bde0…42970915d0…5eceb1044e…2d9b0481e1…bab493c963…555bea9e78…96b3ae419e…28187c86c3…e62d427c8c…0449dbda98…e4041f46ce…4aaae+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7e59…9faf | 417,563,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 7a97…9ea4 | 423,255,267 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 8620…2f80 | 421,988,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 01f4…d0ff | 419,769,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| d44b…dbcf | 425,580,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 5d23…5c33 | 423,815,964 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 3278…8e26 | 422,958,222 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 8cf3…8453 | 423,006,882 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| bb72…ab0f | 426,987,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 745c…57b4 | 423,192,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| e3a8…b88e | 419,122,270 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 3471…33e2 | 416,699,479 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 8033…d11f | 418,619,957 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| c786…0ebf | 417,477,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 9c77…22ca | 424,488,198 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 5d29…965f | 419,764,611 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 8b62…ec9f | 425,567,209 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 45f2…94ad | 416,576,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 87e9…cfd3 | 423,615,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| d7d4…4f06 | 426,238,130 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 937a…bdab | 421,972,729 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 23e9…d56f | 419,715,896 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| fff6…417e | 418,903,275 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 79da…f8af | 426,653,492 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 110f…47ff | 413,033,507 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 9e88…216f | 417,330,285 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 9fc3…4e3f | 418,323,104 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| d207…5f6f | 427,298,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| f274…efcf | 418,220,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 826a…f04f | 418,112,139 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| a66d…466f | 416,405,712 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 7f5d…6ccf | 427,329,117 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 3298…9f1f | 419,747,999 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| aa54…a6c5 | 422,128,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| a907…aa1f | 426,826,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 1e3c…5f7f | 414,722,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 7266…37d1 | 423,005,715 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 3f50…794d | 416,346,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| f7b7…4d8f | 419,504,851 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| c87c…48ef | 413,037,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| a843…dc2f | 416,339,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 892d…b97f | 427,302,584 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| a8c1…4bc9 | 416,905,519 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 8691…2033 | 423,653,508 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| aa33…d05f | 418,612,544 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| df96…8f7f | 418,448,689 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 8cce…5a2f | 419,726,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 76eb…14c6 | 423,632,443 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 7772…c5ce | 423,226,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| fd4e…25ef | 426,827,269 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 5e44…a45f | 419,500,928 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| b029…729f | 425,562,239 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| b172…59af | 425,698,869 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| b1ad…fd1e | 426,440,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| b239…c73f | 421,897,841 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| b13f…473d | 416,942,686 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| b583…9d8f | 418,706,172 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| cd3e…c501 | 419,601,314 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 885f…e3ad | 422,388,686 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |
| 8922…e7ff | 412,544,227 | +30.0% | ✓ | 252 | replay |