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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 33% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+9.2%
n=38 out-of-sample
Hit rate
33%
72 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.8% → +3.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.184
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.1% … +7.7%
Support72
OOS support38
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 68
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 68
200 resolved wallets
087de…58d1e16237…1b2930ab97…cb564b3dae…48191e9e8c…c062cad500…44be39becf…5b44af18c1…0e0406b757…2439fdcac7…929aa7758b…8e3108af89…5568ba01e7…6dddce194b…91128f6f54…77b3584bac…5cd6bcffd9…c8b8c4e49b…a02662ee8d…8fb8b2122a…1780903337…4eaf05338d…27e56fadf7…7656958160…8c0a9cbf0a…850f462789…10eec7e22c…2cece46ec4…2013d08de3…4fdddebb3a…49f5fb20c5…81d869304a…e40a497c23…4ffdf66432…2d4d0e632a…9aa9050dd4…cab1110d65…4e23410748…4f6a5f472d…3745a53092…3fd2bddce1…037e6002cc…198fe15bb2…03252d38d1…1ecf3f15d2…ecf5b391fa…2d93a45003…a7e7146732…4df27c80f0…5bdf23d44c…691a5675f7…093a2180b8…dff942678f…b23cffffab…cd90c2b9d0…4692e38e94…766596c03b…9e064399dc…a854da0564…086b6ee47a…e14ab5cee9…d12a9f9a1a…b0c3767e70…e70151c138…8a4b3355bd…ab5b65d7ca…a668196a06…32be4c6e35…8683961e17…b587758e3d…73c2bab785…f3a64683fe…0ae66e6a03…10e928b9cc…cfac2fec09…c7ed9583f5…a69bee2632…73ba195bf5…f5b0ff0397…3f4b232e17…51bc0+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b3cb…284f | 415,655,500 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| b3e6…62ff | 411,030,038 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3e69…82cf | 415,388,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3ea0…46bf | 412,533,078 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 0ed6…a82c | 420,750,309 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3c51…426f | 417,150,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| fc68…1a6f | 421,064,555 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| cdd4…b96f | 410,697,150 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| ce61…8a0f | 422,236,490 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3b21…a24f | 427,519,022 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 268a…beff | 413,606,561 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7e5d…720f | 422,206,533 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7ea1…78df | 425,065,329 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7380…a35f | 423,743,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8868…865f | 420,610,152 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 88b8…81bf | 414,613,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7322…94ef | 425,658,303 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 728e…e0cf | 425,411,728 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 88d7…03df | 412,862,117 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8903…e5df | 420,996,933 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7253…58cf | 414,498,837 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d407…4c2f | 413,354,168 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 72e8…d35f | 425,096,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7365…cf3f | 418,532,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d3ca…8d3f | 426,681,834 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d3a4…67ff | 423,093,956 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d2d1…601f | 419,888,526 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 466a…894f | 417,380,543 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| c324…af2f | 413,693,206 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 4027…a3bf | 414,192,884 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 4713…453f | 419,066,370 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3ff6…f12f | 421,898,731 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 477a…b54f | 424,334,408 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3f7a…c96f | 416,835,187 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d796…842f | 414,979,911 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| fc1d…ed7f | 421,272,340 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 1bf1…a1ef | 416,033,280 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7354…15df | 420,975,166 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7316…f23f | 415,964,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 1c06…af5d | 426,026,283 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d7ae…246f | 411,038,964 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8aee…482f | 415,355,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8ac2…5aaf | 425,798,297 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 1c86…b2df | 423,971,780 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 6fec…526f | 426,636,904 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 702f…ed3f | 409,965,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 2252…6f6f | 427,553,385 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| dda9…b12f | 426,519,620 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| ddbd…bb9f | 411,483,666 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| ddd1…849f | 418,646,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 1c1d…960f | 417,976,301 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3fc7…95ef | 424,737,818 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d7b4…db5f | 425,805,433 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3f93…8a30 | 426,713,504 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d7ca…5caf | 424,383,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| dc96…a50f | 419,939,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d801…454f | 420,559,962 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3f3b…fc2f | 426,041,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d81c…d44f | 426,896,514 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d810…08ef | 422,956,490 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |