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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 0.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 23% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+5.4%
n=46 out-of-sample
Hit rate
23%
35 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.0% → +2.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.314
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.8% … +7.9%
Support35
OOS support46
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 56
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 56
200 resolved wallets
9f52c…e8311b9c18…6ca6a7a5fc…2bb3d4b045…1a1783c916…ededefdcf7…c201f178b5…90ba552e20…f7bb6bc556…4161cf27c4…c32173a876…56faaa5af4…59594f48ed…7f8c85c3fa…2e4bb1a06c…6c25ae26fa…a5b81f1499…2ccc04e014…8418115100…12f2a051ee…4ee076e281…36ab5bfb4a…f266ab50a1…1dda13394c…3a7d6f03d9…3175eae3d3…e31fa49a80…b4a5f5e9a0…13aced175b…d8effdde26…005e98a279…28b5bbde50…5e09b90799…5ba34dfdc1…ef5199643b…8fce272310…8232ac0a9e…e34eb8de9a…c6835cfd3c…df644a99c1…6ea6428fa9…d93f3254ab…6995f18598…3bd04b34de…83e143fd39…6a28feac15…6f9a90d5f8…2d254a373d…6edcb3e39a…a559c39136…027a0573e0…88d588b0ea…ea70b67cdd…775e373964…4776610522…779393b526…2f2ef647b6…bc00d5a072…a2b14842fa…7325866bd5…5cc3e4e087…2db56777ce…0868c8771b…1710050f21…81f6ac6bd3…fcfd884173…9cd4940524…0f172d675e…2412ade0ec…c62a82e689…0052748b06…ad6d7c6309…caa0019a8f…239306ecb1…9ea7caf1d7…caa63b5d9a…53387fec11…64a3f060ea…df44d0f163…0432d30d01…edd20+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3bf4…ffdf | 425,144,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8af8…f5bf | 426,391,385 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8ae9…c99f | 427,180,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8ab6…841f | 426,633,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| fc13…ebef | 426,022,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| fd1b…a6bf | 410,686,126 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 225a…754f | 423,836,461 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2225…1fef | 422,757,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0ee2…19cf | 423,341,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0ee2…958f | 423,370,281 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3fc3…f9bf | 412,143,128 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3f89…248f | 422,288,578 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0ee4…4fdf | 423,510,994 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 1bb1…1dcf | 418,220,933 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0ef2…983f | 413,133,208 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3f09…2f9f | 426,178,818 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0ef6…16ef | 426,304,718 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 1bed…d18f | 422,510,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0f04…cbcf | 426,935,472 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b6aa…4f2f | 412,950,953 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 1bf1…35ef | 425,009,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0f05…179f | 426,988,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3ba0…b81f | 419,888,460 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 1cbb…a89f | 414,659,431 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| d3c7…93ff | 418,144,882 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 6a87…7bbf | 411,496,206 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 6a91…7dbf | 412,934,875 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 6a9a…826f | 412,608,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8930…c28f | 418,022,018 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 284b…f40f | 411,926,819 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 5da6…84ff | 412,085,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 58ac…0abf | 415,190,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 7021…065f | 426,541,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 870e…2e8f | 424,100,638 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 46c6…fcaf | 424,945,552 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 46a2…7a8f | 426,705,682 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 465f…a7af | 426,451,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| dd9d…381f | 418,898,606 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ce7a…57cf | 424,778,054 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 7a03…c25f | 413,196,713 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 441f…eb3f | 423,634,778 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 722c…3b6f | 425,424,443 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2ad7…1f9f | 426,110,170 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 72ab…001f | 426,080,076 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b756…c9af | 425,129,546 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 90ae…9e3f | 422,777,222 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 90e9…032f | 421,326,372 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3aca…96ef | 418,228,830 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3af2…bf9f | 411,823,505 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ee20…287f | 427,090,897 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| d317…f18f | 425,290,934 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 7367…40bf | 425,218,964 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b755…823f | 426,256,105 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8b41…599f | 426,777,239 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ce58…8e0f | 418,482,920 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8b5a…9c1f | 427,213,135 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 409e…0b5f | 423,246,312 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| d3a0…b21f | 420,923,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b40d…e09f | 420,565,650 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| db8e…f8af | 415,157,214 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |