│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 20% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+8.6%
n=88 out-of-sample
Hit rate
20%
70 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+1.4% → +1.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.309
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.6% … +5.4%
Support70
OOS support88
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 43
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 43
200 resolved wallets
3f05d…ab114622ac…1959de82a3…ac138208a1…957fd167de…758d1f0fcd…bcb67ec68e…38e0dce2f0…63ce836810…7b42b159f4…db4ba2cea5…3d680677f5…8bea1448b2…a8c1ef9316…74bf2c05cc…4621acad7c…17b029647f…29b6fb7e38…743f44bd34…5f9cd635e6…fb502bf20a…fe2bf14d1d…6e072d30fb…25ee433f91…484a372fcf…e66e132399…87a462007c…fc7a5664f9…f209ef6b4f…18df011c7b…3ae248e1c6…2a7b90eb10…846a3422ff…7d789a0efa…856e5cbf02…38451f8c8e…475496b27d…bf816a0788…e1ea83a4f1…d4df19152b…9132285da3…4fc49ea8f5…1cc3a29f74…198c751a55…3ab50f8180…ef48c4ce1f…76cc095a7d…f49765035b…b9f81a035b…effeef448a…a821839256…ac84ffc635…ba9c24491d…532e005dc9…a1c6cbaa58…bf2c56c1c3…7e1c49d261…f62d996cc5…ba3af6f6ad…0963d4a1b2…5ce6457ec9…f4480110d5…712a659bf6…34930c1aa6…5ad31c2272…fca5d3bc3c…44f1da3f07…18da4335b8…c8524512f7…8cc448305a…f3a1680ffd…e543512eec…06885ce378…1002e78dce…b2a62542af…ba5ecb0126…0dd3f89c99…a628914ada…f09dd55fd3…1edf00fbe7…ed306+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2666…489f | 421,221,221 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 46eb…e1ff | 426,069,833 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 4718…61cf | 423,660,003 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 4762…976f | 420,390,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 88aa…c8cf | 421,350,119 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 730b…ff8f | 424,118,014 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 466b…94ff | 423,027,723 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 4677…6e6f | 423,658,896 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 46f3…7c4f | 415,866,890 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 46f6…60cf | 422,297,061 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 4719…298f | 417,789,528 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 4722…9acf | 410,309,909 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 4761…451f | 416,398,783 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| d79f…558f | 426,891,470 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| d853…3d5f | 421,699,040 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| d861…ee1f | 425,149,329 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| b654…3c2f | 424,176,245 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| b695…7cff | 427,324,141 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| b6b0…99ef | 417,584,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| b6d6…b2df | 421,219,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| b6dd…252f | 425,392,509 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 262a…302f | 412,317,295 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3efa…f5df | 425,771,001 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3f23…841f | 415,399,078 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3f24…78af | 418,427,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3f51…61df | 416,175,467 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 8a69…49bf | 417,434,848 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 7336…fedf | 423,845,090 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 7336…4aaf | 423,870,332 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 7357…9b8f | 422,086,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 73d8…040f | 419,556,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 73f1…9b6f | 420,019,922 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| fca0…eb4f | 425,100,145 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| fca1…b6bf | 424,151,800 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| fce9…101f | 417,656,875 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 1c59…a3cf | 427,329,812 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 1c70…cd8f | 426,258,249 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 1cb4…f2cf | 425,628,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 1cc6…f33f | 425,342,455 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 6fc2…970f | 419,340,338 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 6ff2…95ef | 424,918,420 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| b6f4…881f | 424,456,775 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3c62…bdff | 422,075,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 0ef6…164f | 423,904,619 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 7010…cccf | 418,675,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 69d2…796f | 421,327,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 69df…47bf | 413,414,027 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 6a5f…ca8f | 424,976,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 6a99…93ef | 423,843,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 27e4…6bb5 | 411,265,812 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5caa…6f8f | 426,400,654 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5cab…47bf | 425,353,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 0f0b…26ef | 427,366,880 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5d4b…9b3f | 421,834,785 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 2ba7…4c4f | 419,761,665 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5d51…5b6f | 426,426,069 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 878e…b03f | 424,251,436 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 580b…887f | 424,683,992 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 2b68…5c7f | 424,923,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 5d80…1e5f | 421,681,553 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |