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rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 55% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 178931 anchor
OOS effect
+8.5%
n=10 out-of-sample
Hit rate
55%
89 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+13.3% → +13.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+9.1% … +17.6%
Support89
OOS support10
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 17893
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet08552299e5fca7e077aa7d99291807b487148cf28dd82240094f4f1ea6498817100%99
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 496626+30.0%—view →
crew 1452918+30.0%—view →
crew 1912715+30.0%—view →
crew 246816+21.2%—view →
crew 5528+19.9%—view →
crew 2539918+17.8%—view →
crew 3071916+15.0%—view →
crew 11323+14.8%—view →
crew 8845+13.2%—view →
crew 2176+10.7%—view →
crew 518+10.3%—view →
crew 1548+9.8%—view →
crew 4039+9.3%—view →
crew 6872+9.2%—view →
crew 14524+9.2%—view →
crew 4370+8.6%—view →
crew 6165+8.6%—view →
crew 918+8.4%—view →
crew 13584+8.4%—view →
crew 21337+8.1%—view →
all1372921+7.4%—view →
crew 5952+6.6%—view →
crew 9426+5.9%—view →
crew 22617+5.7%—view →
crew 5635+5.4%—view →
crew 37331+5.2%—view →
crew 3126+5.1%—view →
crew 1688+4.8%—view →
crew 17120+4.0%—view →
crew 1258+1.4%—view →
crew 3494+1.1%—view →
crew 34116+0.3%—view →
crew 2025+0.2%—view →
crew 1968365+0.0%—view →
crew 2978171+0.0%—view →
crew 3009618+0.0%—view →
crew 1017-0.8%—view →
crew 4739-0.9%—view →
crew 14050-1.7%—view →
crew 30626-5.1%—view →
crew 1920-7.1%—view →
crew 707715-12.3%—view →
Crew 17893
6 resolved wallets
08552…98817db630…3bd35d36db…61ad1a02eb…a11e77c025…a8913d3d6a…ff073
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
d88b…6d1f417,631,313+30.0%✓17893 replay
d32a…54bf415,663,980+30.0%✓17893 replay
d30a…1e22418,193,885+30.0%✓17893 replay
0eb5…c71f422,430,267+30.0%✓17893 replay
4064…120f420,346,614+30.0%✓17893 replay
dc0f…8d4f417,665,379+30.0%✓17893 replay
dbdb…361f415,696,546+30.0%✓17893 replay
6a8f…4a5f411,967,386+30.0%✓17893 replay
de73…981f423,345,290+30.0%✓17893 replay
1c97…a17f420,765,392+30.0%✓17893 replay
1ba0…8faf425,546,229+30.0%✓17893 replay
fcf3…cddb418,395,200+30.0%✓17893 replay
72c6…2d4f417,370,655+30.0%✓17893 replay
6a92…cb3f415,029,859+30.0%✓17893 replay
2761…c86f417,358,967+30.0%✓17893 replay
fc1e…4d8f410,784,098+30.0%✓17893 replay
8ae2…bc0f418,198,800+30.0%✓17893 replay
5cc7…2d6f418,767,787+30.0%✓17893 replay
8a54…9eef422,225,167+30.0%✓17893 replay
8a37…43df411,639,821+30.0%✓17893 replay
2335…5eef419,796,624+30.0%✓17893 replay
229a…5e9f411,857,857+30.0%✓17893 replay
2296…c8cf416,692,031+30.0%✓17893 replay
228a…237f421,871,791+30.0%✓17893 replay
3fce…99cf416,324,840+30.0%✓17893 replay
3fae…914f410,363,953+30.0%✓17893 replay
3f14…f50f412,471,358+30.0%✓17893 replay
b74c…4eff418,198,332+30.0%✓17893 replay
b70e…733f417,363,770+30.0%✓17893 replay
b6ac…ad3f419,845,180+30.0%✓17893 replay
b670…591f418,893,582+30.0%✓17893 replay
4333…badf411,539,103+30.0%✓17893 replay
b6f2…13ef411,636,404+30.0%✓17893 replay
4411…7aaf422,076,290+30.0%✓17893 replay
c8ba…c4bf416,528,915+30.0%✓17893 replay
4764…64cf416,243,897+30.0%✓17893 replay
c9ec…60bf412,071,693+30.0%✓17893 replay
474b…58ff413,514,803+30.0%✓17893 replay
9123…433f418,083,291+30.0%✓17893 replay
7389…7fbf413,963,748+30.0%✓17893 replay
8971…e3af414,344,858+30.0%✓17893 replay
7e6a…6d2f412,243,464+30.0%✓17893 replay
b66d…f25f422,621,583+30.0%✓17893 replay
2743…f51f419,831,211+30.0%✓17893 replay
2657…3b2f417,544,963+30.0%✓17893 replay
3a8d…ddaf417,956,859+30.0%✓17893 replay
2633…0e2f412,166,027+30.0%✓17893 replay
cec6…4a7f416,075,905+30.0%✓17893 replay
2aa9…e67f413,593,705+30.0%✓17893 replay
cebe…ffaf412,858,734+30.0%✓17893 replay
ce87…bff7421,629,080+30.0%✓17893 replay
b779…30ff418,639,283+30.0%✓17893 replay
b6e3…ed9f419,305,544+30.0%✓17893 replay
ce01…30af416,881,367+30.0%✓17893 replay
3e9c…854f413,427,995+30.0%✓17893 replay
c48c…50ab422,347,660+30.0%✓17893 replay
866a…2023411,444,523+30.0%✓17893 replay
8483…2e4f413,821,344+30.0%✓17893 replay
87f7…b2c8417,809,112+30.0%✓17893 replay
2e04…598f416,046,165+30.0%✓17893 replay