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rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 30% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 1711 anchor
OOS effect
+4.0%
n=5 out-of-sample
Hit rate
30%
20 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.5% → +4.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.305
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-6.2% … +13.2%
Support20
OOS support5
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 171
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet3233ed9a4659d6a57f1072ef054be0cae99c4644b63722dd6d903dc145bce7ae88%22
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 496626+30.0%—view →
crew 1452918+30.0%—view →
crew 1912715+30.0%—view →
crew 246816+21.2%—view →
crew 5528+19.9%—view →
crew 2539918+17.8%—view →
crew 3071916+15.0%—view →
crew 11323+14.8%—view →
crew 8845+13.2%—view →
crew 2176+10.7%—view →
crew 518+10.3%—view →
crew 1548+9.8%—view →
crew 4039+9.3%—view →
crew 6872+9.2%—view →
crew 14524+9.2%—view →
crew 4370+8.6%—view →
crew 6165+8.6%—view →
crew 1789389+8.5%—view →
crew 918+8.4%—view →
crew 13584+8.4%—view →
crew 21337+8.1%—view →
all1372921+7.4%—view →
crew 5952+6.6%—view →
crew 9426+5.9%—view →
crew 22617+5.7%—view →
crew 5635+5.4%—view →
crew 37331+5.2%—view →
crew 3126+5.1%—view →
crew 1688+4.8%—view →
crew 1258+1.4%—view →
crew 3494+1.1%—view →
crew 34116+0.3%—view →
crew 2025+0.2%—view →
crew 1968365+0.0%—view →
crew 2978171+0.0%—view →
crew 3009618+0.0%—view →
crew 1017-0.8%—view →
crew 4739-0.9%—view →
crew 14050-1.7%—view →
crew 30626-5.1%—view →
crew 1920-7.1%—view →
crew 707715-12.3%—view →
Crew 171
200 resolved wallets
3233e…ce7ae1e4ad…2507b29f26…8c6ba34732…bfe51e98ba…e7d8a546c6…20e7942227…d404ea1763…d628b79791…9c3407dc1a…eb7fa18d54…c7843aca21…403caa18f9…6734d00ad8…e7f6965d5c…0fd9296d5f…eaa344824d…ace175105e…12f3baee01…ebc708d56d…76d4ae2eff…85e0adc8e1…d4f9e587cb…46439ada35…48297ada70…a4bd34f50a…097bb7e64a…3523c651f4…8d627525b6…17f82565a5…4b909ef828…7be963ec68…d97613e0d5…c910c13233…9ab7b18814…94ff6bfbb0…e18c51d84e…83453893bf…36077e50f1…c82d40bb8d…20e1a11e3d…214599a01e…e311fd1c9b…1a97674bad…c6c190f68f…6d29dd99aa…7556fc739a…67514e32d4…a2fe1482cf…81ceca6028…90b7440142…1b8da6c239…4dbdff7f88…e70ed14dda…50794ac42c…12bded4f82…1cd0f1b6ec…8a4a4cb44c…24f5ca4279…f2a36f0607…9fd28ac61c…efbc853e31…28a91a1d4b…7d7e68b1a7…a24927a29e…d4d6eae2df…bf245df026…c7f4cce1d6…1a935a3138…bc53555f02…eda79cd254…e1a7469b87…4aca2a59cd…4c73338284…4ab15e0846…a0d96aa745…1d989e77f5…892684ccf6…5292a78212…9429c13d29…5ad1d+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
7f44…685f418,682,006+30.0%✓171 replay
72fe…bf6f419,555,827+30.0%✓171 replay
9093…81df416,313,872+30.0%✓171 replay
c3b2…ff4f419,537,872+30.0%✓171 replay
1c20…088f425,239,565+30.0%✓171 replay
eeb2…af42425,354,396+30.0%✓171 replay
8827…e1af425,277,622+30.0%✓171 replay
c911…457f418,216,065+30.0%✓171 replay
3e90…90cf416,307,604+30.0%✓171 replay
8a73…d36f413,223,786+30.0%✓171 replay
ce5a…887f413,254,042+30.0%✓171 replay
3f62…7b3f415,233,810+30.0%✓171 replay
465d…650f427,024,631+30.0%✓171 replay
470f…387f424,155,327+30.0%✓171 replay
8f30…6c6f411,916,885+30.0%✓171 replay
8e51…d2cf411,945,886+30.0%✓171 replay
4bf8…7b8f424,138,405+30.0%✓171 replay
beba…1bdf414,581,328+30.0%✓171 replay
3044…681f418,513,249+30.0%✓171 replay
720b…01bf420,934,106+30.0%✓171 replay
15eb…21af418,595,242+30.0%✓171 replay
7a7f…90ff409,955,733+30.0%✓171 replay
79a7…a64f420,826,852+30.0%✓171 replay
04a1…57cf419,571,967+30.0%✓171 replay
0543…5e2f414,405,437+30.0%✓171 replay
bbc5…9c5f412,120,213+30.0%✓171 replay
df80…441f419,743,736+30.0%✓171 replay
7b4f…c51f412,031,240+30.0%✓171 replay
90ed…f47f426,594,840+30.0%✓171 replay
4560…c54c410,827,051+30.0%✓171 replay
50a2…ae7f417,208,469+30.0%✓171 replay
8f7b…df6f420,067,849+30.0%✓171 replay
037e…0e4f417,211,247+30.0%✓171 replay
4909…169f424,794,884+30.0%✓171 replay
e509…b9df424,900,639+30.0%✓171 replay
7cff…5eff425,400,789+30.0%✓171 replay
f801…d09f423,732,060+30.0%✓171 replay
88a1…3c8f415,723,485+30.0%✓171 replay
e126…da0f412,070,211+30.0%✓171 replay
bb62…78ef418,725,737+30.0%✓171 replay
baa6…ab2f424,843,598+30.0%✓171 replay
7aa1…002f409,930,698+30.0%✓171 replay
a43f…c54f418,686,601+30.0%✓171 replay
6a40…75bf418,270,985+30.0%✓171 replay
8624…facf418,687,383+30.0%✓171 replay
858c…6b0f409,970,393+30.0%✓171 replay
3680…b89f419,390,175+30.0%✓171 replay
c9c7…128f425,250,234+30.0%✓171 replay
c7a2…611f421,904,561+30.0%✓171 replay
3851…850f418,807,529+30.0%✓171 replay
0eee…23ef425,448,831+30.0%✓171 replay
380a…942f424,511,636+30.0%✓171 replay
a46c…835f412,457,214+30.0%✓171 replay
c628…acaf426,842,380+30.0%✓171 replay
8721…185f425,335,630+30.0%✓171 replay
8660…c46f412,386,573+30.0%✓171 replay
c4f5…8c8f417,053,606+30.0%✓171 replay
eabf…deaf424,697,350+30.0%✓171 replay
2d89…2a8f424,703,257+30.0%✓171 replay
76db…59df419,557,466+30.0%✓171 replay