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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 30% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+4.0%
n=5 out-of-sample
Hit rate
30%
20 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.5% → +4.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.305
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-6.2% … +13.2%
Support20
OOS support5
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 171
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 3233ed9a4659d6a57f1072ef054be0cae99c4644b63722dd6d903dc145bce7ae | 88% | 22 |
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 171
200 resolved wallets
3233e…ce7ae1e4ad…2507b29f26…8c6ba34732…bfe51e98ba…e7d8a546c6…20e7942227…d404ea1763…d628b79791…9c3407dc1a…eb7fa18d54…c7843aca21…403caa18f9…6734d00ad8…e7f6965d5c…0fd9296d5f…eaa344824d…ace175105e…12f3baee01…ebc708d56d…76d4ae2eff…85e0adc8e1…d4f9e587cb…46439ada35…48297ada70…a4bd34f50a…097bb7e64a…3523c651f4…8d627525b6…17f82565a5…4b909ef828…7be963ec68…d97613e0d5…c910c13233…9ab7b18814…94ff6bfbb0…e18c51d84e…83453893bf…36077e50f1…c82d40bb8d…20e1a11e3d…214599a01e…e311fd1c9b…1a97674bad…c6c190f68f…6d29dd99aa…7556fc739a…67514e32d4…a2fe1482cf…81ceca6028…90b7440142…1b8da6c239…4dbdff7f88…e70ed14dda…50794ac42c…12bded4f82…1cd0f1b6ec…8a4a4cb44c…24f5ca4279…f2a36f0607…9fd28ac61c…efbc853e31…28a91a1d4b…7d7e68b1a7…a24927a29e…d4d6eae2df…bf245df026…c7f4cce1d6…1a935a3138…bc53555f02…eda79cd254…e1a7469b87…4aca2a59cd…4c73338284…4ab15e0846…a0d96aa745…1d989e77f5…892684ccf6…5292a78212…9429c13d29…5ad1d+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7f44…685f | 418,682,006 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 72fe…bf6f | 419,555,827 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 9093…81df | 416,313,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| c3b2…ff4f | 419,537,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 1c20…088f | 425,239,565 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| eeb2…af42 | 425,354,396 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8827…e1af | 425,277,622 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| c911…457f | 418,216,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 3e90…90cf | 416,307,604 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8a73…d36f | 413,223,786 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| ce5a…887f | 413,254,042 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 3f62…7b3f | 415,233,810 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 465d…650f | 427,024,631 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 470f…387f | 424,155,327 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8f30…6c6f | 411,916,885 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8e51…d2cf | 411,945,886 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 4bf8…7b8f | 424,138,405 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| beba…1bdf | 414,581,328 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 3044…681f | 418,513,249 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 720b…01bf | 420,934,106 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 15eb…21af | 418,595,242 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 7a7f…90ff | 409,955,733 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 79a7…a64f | 420,826,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 04a1…57cf | 419,571,967 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 0543…5e2f | 414,405,437 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| bbc5…9c5f | 412,120,213 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| df80…441f | 419,743,736 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 7b4f…c51f | 412,031,240 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 90ed…f47f | 426,594,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 4560…c54c | 410,827,051 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 50a2…ae7f | 417,208,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8f7b…df6f | 420,067,849 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 037e…0e4f | 417,211,247 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 4909…169f | 424,794,884 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| e509…b9df | 424,900,639 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 7cff…5eff | 425,400,789 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| f801…d09f | 423,732,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 88a1…3c8f | 415,723,485 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| e126…da0f | 412,070,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| bb62…78ef | 418,725,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| baa6…ab2f | 424,843,598 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 7aa1…002f | 409,930,698 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| a43f…c54f | 418,686,601 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 6a40…75bf | 418,270,985 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8624…facf | 418,687,383 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 858c…6b0f | 409,970,393 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 3680…b89f | 419,390,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| c9c7…128f | 425,250,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| c7a2…611f | 421,904,561 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 3851…850f | 418,807,529 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 0eee…23ef | 425,448,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 380a…942f | 424,511,636 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| a46c…835f | 412,457,214 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| c628…acaf | 426,842,380 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8721…185f | 425,335,630 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 8660…c46f | 412,386,573 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| c4f5…8c8f | 417,053,606 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| eabf…deaf | 424,697,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 2d89…2a8f | 424,703,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |
| 76db…59df | 419,557,466 | +30.0% | ✓ | 171 | replay |