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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 26% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-0.9%
n=14 out-of-sample
Hit rate
26%
39 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.3% → +5.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.045
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.1% … +10.6%
Support39
OOS support14
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 47
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 47
200 resolved wallets
1bdde…e7931882ed…aed038c19f…6379176588…30e14f8b96…c936ec724a…4b7cc2ec2c…3175930bc1…512f833bb1…8ef4c0eb58…88ef8cdb0e…88a9c43e7e…1a6c253fba…d15b26aa48…2be87e5d0d…7f13842ad3…f9389ba4a0…e1e589726e…dbe125a475…fa7460000b…386c98bf9e…99f83f00b5…0318e9fcd9…89dcb900c4…babeb679de…f44bac3474…0abfdc9ab1…fac864f8da…0eceec90ee…d0aa34c7cb…5ce6d90e11…501d2fe000…947b016454…7422c90ae9…4f1888a32c…584784ca04…2e841292de…9dfdadb5b2…dff7d79fce…2709b10125…ac2e43f421…e6de1eb213…de84a1b3ac…bec7ace621…e4922298df…7edf0432f9…486b881597…508a241188…0141571151…64acb478fc…5414516fd6…d0c2c58a7a…a0b3881646…3152553ff8…ee3e4d71df…1fc2450595…372b2a8e33…cc142a1653…310f7bd197…209b66ddbf…fbd873f4c4…6af39dee74…9424df3c7c…98d24d658d…fb3ab91573…c4e23b8e14…a725b15363…3196fd8182…2bf569a7fa…c0c4f17ea0…5e69373d83…1816e01bd7…2b7dccfd66…2cfc84717f…5c8ec341d0…48146efde5…4bc69692c1…0523bee8e1…0065797468…6b67058ee4…fe42d+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8a12…0f5f | 422,474,523 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 475a…253f | 416,268,363 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 5ce0…053f | 426,499,828 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d817…beef | 414,107,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c9ac…a53f | 418,306,326 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 6aa0…d7ff | 412,362,617 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 69c9…7b6f | 416,972,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b6ec…f62f | 415,460,641 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8926…a36f | 412,760,324 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 3a17…c59f | 412,715,296 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 3bb0…10ef | 416,536,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| de53…350f | 425,204,034 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| ce34…c48f | 415,754,073 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 891d…479f | 421,603,399 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 3e57…b16f | 416,516,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 72f3…b61f | 422,435,748 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 3f17…56df | 424,792,372 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d767…d3af | 419,464,221 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 3f6e…31df | 420,153,869 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b394…750f | 427,401,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8b43…c5af | 424,618,896 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b762…d55f | 424,131,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 1c8a…734f | 421,728,676 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7a44…7c0f | 414,508,801 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 256d…d51f | 420,017,322 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 28da…0e9f | 418,774,214 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 0ff6…258f | 426,202,474 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 4455…04ff | 420,888,333 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 743c…5b9f | 420,087,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 2bfb…b60f | 420,213,680 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 91ff…2b5f | 425,140,970 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8bc1…43af | 415,210,078 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b452…ac8f | 409,663,125 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b4f6…4e9f | 411,999,609 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b50d…b4bf | 418,511,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 4101…678f | 414,730,305 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7b02…01af | 411,694,340 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| cfb9…988f | 420,220,928 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| cff0…3cdd | 412,778,305 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 4837…2edf | 411,928,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 40c3…991f | 413,657,481 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 89be…724f | 413,423,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 4794…467f | 415,799,409 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 47ad…4faf | 424,600,005 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d8df…648f | 416,498,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d970…197f | 424,993,887 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| b364…a52f | 415,776,435 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 23d3…05ff | 427,417,340 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8b65…f92f | 412,366,675 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8bf6…5d8f | 419,785,302 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7492…21ff | 424,573,209 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 749f…b36f | 420,593,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 712e…1adf | 418,202,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7541…64bf | 424,157,597 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 24e0…d7bf | 420,085,103 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d516…5baf | 415,561,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d609…e35f | 418,255,710 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 4355…874f | 422,786,763 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 79f1…e1ff | 420,033,145 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 714c…93ef | 417,982,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |