transfer→buy

rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 31% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 34

OOS effect

+1.1%

n=73 out-of-sample

Hit rate

31%

94 occurrences

Raw → shrunk

+3.7% → +4.0%

empirical-Bayes

FDR q

0.060

significant

Exact rule

Expressive-Patterns DSL

Motif

fixed motif

Statistics

effect, confidence & description length

95% CI-0.4% … +7.8%

Support94

OOS support73

MDL bits20

Case / control698905 / 1282029

Motif size3n · 2e

Shape ide00000000020…

Groundingcrew 34

Other crews running this exact shape

42 related groundings

Crew	Support	OOS	Kept?
crew 4966	26	+30.0%	—	view →
crew 14529	18	+30.0%	—	view →
crew 19127	15	+30.0%	—	view →
crew 2468	16	+21.2%	—	view →
crew 55	28	+19.9%	—	view →
crew 25399	18	+17.8%	—	view →
crew 30719	16	+15.0%	—	view →
crew 113	23	+14.8%	—	view →
crew 88	45	+13.2%	—	view →
crew 21	76	+10.7%	—	view →
crew 5	18	+10.3%	—	view →
crew 15	48	+9.8%	—	view →
crew 40	39	+9.3%	—	view →
crew 68	72	+9.2%	—	view →
crew 145	24	+9.2%	—	view →
crew 43	70	+8.6%	—	view →
crew 6	165	+8.6%	—	view →
crew 17893	89	+8.5%	—	view →
crew 9	18	+8.4%	—	view →
crew 13	584	+8.4%	—	view →
crew 213	37	+8.1%	—	view →
all	1372921	+7.4%	—	view →
crew 59	52	+6.6%	—	view →
crew 94	26	+5.9%	—	view →
crew 226	17	+5.7%	—	view →
crew 56	35	+5.4%	—	view →
crew 373	31	+5.2%	—	view →
crew 31	26	+5.1%	—	view →
crew 16	88	+4.8%	—	view →
crew 171	20	+4.0%	—	view →
crew 12	58	+1.4%	—	view →
crew 341	16	+0.3%	—	view →
crew 20	25	+0.2%	—	view →
crew 1968	365	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 2978	171	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 30096	18	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 10	17	-0.8%	—	view →
crew 47	39	-0.9%	—	view →
crew 140	50	-1.7%	—	view →
crew 306	26	-5.1%	—	view →
crew 19	20	-7.1%	—	view →
crew 7077	15	-12.3%	—	view →

Crew 34

200 resolved wallets

ac6ad…23859009ac…9e1409cf18…6758195d16…72be217c3a…7360b7431c…222d3bf4ea…e1b15562aa…a07bd10e3a…21e4445057…c1f7ac3afe…62d02f4a27…19bd830466…936d2da002…f881a9ac23…fdc8114910…908885c177…045477541e…efc3c55a2e…e053894d9d…6daf3de8a6…520e72216d…46f7f43283…86a48a7cb2…9541c84333…89487ec30f…ad91c534e1…0d5a8f548e…9cdb1fd76b…16701ad747…50b0aecb91…1cadd854a0…cab967aa4c…97b9d0255b…85dd180b67…4c20051ea6…ca896932f7…b361cdc914…78b7727105…dc4e63521b…d846644a0a…168c55e8af…c3f6e0e0f4…a188e39c7d…721a181115…fb9f2c44a9…f7eba2a026…436ff6c378…42713ef678…f6efcebccf…4f7a9cf6fa…41ea23673a…ef539b98ca…98a60bda66…1f39eceb4c…2812f516a0…25688df4ed…93419fa1c3…7b3be15552…dc1ef9a684…f7003d3765…a23b0b21f4…2dff37e238…61f5c7ea13…f42b60629a…6c13f9d75f…29bd881bfe…5f698553c5…9ac45b0992…afa83cdd87…8ccfeda148…8f37b851d9…867fb81f84…7ba1f87ba2…866dc2002c…a93ba34df9…03c1e34190…2472277d61…5bae8ee492…46e98435f1…48829+120 more

Supporting episodes

60 occurrences that induced this rule

Token	Slot	Return	Pump?	Crew
72fa…421f	424,735,851	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0f04…129f	426,964,196	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
7e76…ee8f	423,656,907	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8a98…7edf	416,515,878	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8a51…17df	423,458,455	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2350…7a3f	424,899,492	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2326…745f	426,588,250	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2325…081f	426,541,921	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2311…bcbf	423,269,057	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2309…162f	422,312,299	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0f09…247f	427,188,074	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2298…62ef	426,506,941	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2297…995f	417,371,357	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
228e…163f	413,134,566	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2286…211f	423,078,454	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0f0c…257f	427,386,526	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
223d…f0cf	422,581,477	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6961…636f	417,153,420	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6987…0eef	417,601,424	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
69a6…8f1f	421,963,926	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f78…69ef	419,842,610	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f74…126f	417,204,136	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f58…abff	416,910,334	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f50…d95f	421,285,106	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f2c…e91f	426,734,988	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
69cb…faaf	424,553,432	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b73f…a00f	422,033,288	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6a34…b72f	413,797,577	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b72b…6a6f	422,178,948	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b70d…4d7f	410,709,848	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6a81…0a8f	424,593,956	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0f05…b91f	426,990,856	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d869…4fcf	426,541,899	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5dc2…364f	425,228,193	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d858…c9bf	419,799,037	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5d4d…8123	421,907,167	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
892a…bc2f	414,400,475	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
895d…847f	424,781,680	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
896f…b2cf	417,261,500	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5cb9…e40f	425,422,018	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8996…90ef	427,228,430	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
7304…526f	417,186,228	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5cac…64cf	421,889,190	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
731a…ca3f	421,344,638	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
7385…9f7f	425,432,982	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
73c8…b22f	426,130,880	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
73db…780f	420,623,949	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5d80…9cff	416,891,249	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
4654…319f	419,377,452	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d851…bb4f	420,892,101	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
465a…733f	420,808,335	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2762…d67f	413,275,764	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d7bb…23cf	413,133,612	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d784…1e0f	424,975,827	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d75f…832f	424,833,679	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d824…c38f	422,899,515	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
4772…20cf	424,890,571	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
46ba…073f	419,391,401	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
476b…08ef	420,240,728	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
470f…667f	418,920,874	+30.0%	✓	34	replay