│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 25% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+21.2%
n=4 out-of-sample
Hit rate
25%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.5% → +4.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.369
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-7.0% … +12.1%
Support16
OOS support4
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 2468
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 5804568086b8b0f592c968e324bd599487cbdfb2764cb580727859e9a60c58ce | 100% | 20 |
| w1 | wallet | 915fd539ae22436391c2be78fba92e5a73c3f667ed1b042bb957301dca072373 | 100% | 20 |
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 2468
16 resolved wallets
58045…c58ce9b4e7…7731bce006…ee391ba1bc…d4db5915fd…72373046e4…8834e9b2ae…2e8d56ebdb…4a3b624baf…f7210bb976…1570613a13…6de3d8c4be…3c8dadb8a2…4b826741d0…9f8c99286c…b1141e2a97…cc43b
Supporting episodes
18 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8bbf…40af | 424,289,012 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2468 | replay |
| 90a6…3bef | 424,862,813 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2468 | replay |
| 3cc6…f58f | 420,989,643 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2468 | replay |
| 0a91…47bf | 424,784,424 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2468 | replay |
| 3cdb…26b7 | 410,338,824 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2468 | replay |
| 9756…06bf | 409,920,433 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2468 | replay |
| 5fbf…2fcf | 421,667,972 | +9.3% | 2468 | replay | |
| afd4…207f | 418,772,667 | +4.6% | 2468 | replay | |
| 6b12…b44f | 410,415,934 | +1.5% | 2468 | replay | |
| 2db0…ba8f | 418,326,602 | +0.7% | 2468 | replay | |
| 31a1…01cf | 417,103,919 | +0.4% | 2468 | replay | |
| fbd9…7699 | 420,975,603 | +0.3% | 2468 | replay | |
| 9263…afec | 421,010,444 | +0.2% | 2468 | replay | |
| 8c6b…4113 | 421,604,915 | +0.0% | 2468 | replay | |
| 5919…7bcf | 421,673,949 | -20.0% | 2468 | replay | |
| f7e1…6f7f | 421,038,085 | -20.0% | 2468 | replay | |
| d88c…d9ff | 414,819,325 | -20.0% | 2468 | replay | |
| eeb8…6a0f | 421,659,812 | -20.0% | 2468 | replay |