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rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 31% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 19681 anchor
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
31%
365 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.8% → +4.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+2.9% … +6.8%
Support365
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 1968
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet0bf23cb0c001d430246b7ec81847315845201bf09eddf6faa17113c56b4014c8100%365
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 496626+30.0%—view →
crew 1452918+30.0%—view →
crew 1912715+30.0%—view →
crew 246816+21.2%—view →
crew 5528+19.9%—view →
crew 2539918+17.8%—view →
crew 3071916+15.0%—view →
crew 11323+14.8%—view →
crew 8845+13.2%—view →
crew 2176+10.7%—view →
crew 518+10.3%—view →
crew 1548+9.8%—view →
crew 4039+9.3%—view →
crew 6872+9.2%—view →
crew 14524+9.2%—view →
crew 4370+8.6%—view →
crew 6165+8.6%—view →
crew 1789389+8.5%—view →
crew 918+8.4%—view →
crew 13584+8.4%—view →
crew 21337+8.1%—view →
all1372921+7.4%—view →
crew 5952+6.6%—view →
crew 9426+5.9%—view →
crew 22617+5.7%—view →
crew 5635+5.4%—view →
crew 37331+5.2%—view →
crew 3126+5.1%—view →
crew 1688+4.8%—view →
crew 17120+4.0%—view →
crew 1258+1.4%—view →
crew 3494+1.1%—view →
crew 34116+0.3%—view →
crew 2025+0.2%—view →
crew 2978171+0.0%—view →
crew 3009618+0.0%—view →
crew 1017-0.8%—view →
crew 4739-0.9%—view →
crew 14050-1.7%—view →
crew 30626-5.1%—view →
crew 1920-7.1%—view →
crew 707715-12.3%—view →
Crew 1968
200 resolved wallets
0bf23…014c80bf23…b043a0bf23…2f4a80bf23…9e4c70bf23…7dc780bf23…b02280bf23…bf5a40bf23…c8f1c0bf23…b2d7b0bf23…ac2790bf23…5e1250bf23…edcd60bf23…c8fb30bf23…941cc0bf23…d0e1c0bf23…cc5d60bf23…aebb50bf23…72a580bf23…849dc0bf23…a99880bf23…9bf360bf23…418950bf23…90efd0bf23…161840bf23…60c930bf23…625530bf23…38f490bf23…e959c0bf23…bacb90bf23…950e90bf23…229790bf23…7003c0bf23…4eee40bf23…eb6080bf23…1750f0bf23…8a13e0bf23…2e27d0bf23…378680bf23…5ee6e0bf23…c4a6b0bf23…ca1aa0bf23…d449a0bf23…225a10bf23…f89870bf23…71c990bf23…909390bf23…5f2fb0bf23…5b76e0bf23…fa9cc0bf23…e34070bf23…88ac10bf23…31eba0bf23…b85140bf23…38a2d0bf23…7f3bc0bf23…fd4690bf23…88e070bf23…45efc0bf23…012b70bf23…fc08f0bf23…b29050bf23…a25f70bf23…30f070bf23…44b110bf23…d8d4c0bf23…7b4ef0bf23…7548c0bf23…2d5340bf23…3309c0bf23…f1f560bf23…4e3590bf23…f43290bf23…485950bf23…4f6360bf23…964a80bf23…f44550bf23…cb4d20bf23…610d20bf23…3bf240bf23…17455+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
1ced…d44f414,235,332+30.0%✓1968 replay
1ce4…70bf412,317,267+30.0%✓1968 replay
1c93…792f410,775,022+30.0%✓1968 replay
1c89…b60f413,136,106+30.0%✓1968 replay
1c59…987c411,893,907+30.0%✓1968 replay
1bb1…5abf411,996,195+30.0%✓1968 replay
1b9a…e6cf412,190,383+30.0%✓1968 replay
fd1b…89af414,253,811+30.0%✓1968 replay
fcec…badf412,033,177+30.0%✓1968 replay
fcd2…bbcf412,903,950+30.0%✓1968 replay
fc2f…4f1f413,686,071+30.0%✓1968 replay
fc11…933f414,630,299+30.0%✓1968 replay
7311…c73f412,393,232+30.0%✓1968 replay
8b16…3f4f413,233,288+30.0%✓1968 replay
8b09…69ff411,996,488+30.0%✓1968 replay
8a77…4fcb414,105,254+30.0%✓1968 replay
8a19…b6af413,112,434+30.0%✓1968 replay
8a17…30df413,219,643+30.0%✓1968 replay
22ae…596f414,611,737+30.0%✓1968 replay
2284…968f412,146,747+30.0%✓1968 replay
226f…e62f411,712,941+30.0%✓1968 replay
224c…468f414,702,571+30.0%✓1968 replay
4016…730f411,648,039+30.0%✓1968 replay
3fab…6e2f414,946,775+30.0%✓1968 replay
3f85…b26f411,950,274+30.0%✓1968 replay
3f77…2a3f412,221,117+30.0%✓1968 replay
3f6b…3d9f414,268,226+30.0%✓1968 replay
3eed…5dcf414,674,729+30.0%✓1968 replay
3ee9…96cf415,380,040+30.0%✓1968 replay
b74c…c6c6411,861,690+30.0%✓1968 replay
b74c…746f412,385,618+30.0%✓1968 replay
b72b…ca8f412,535,876+30.0%✓1968 replay
b723…fbdf412,408,348+30.0%✓1968 replay
b70d…d70f415,853,186+30.0%✓1968 replay
b701…7280414,432,351+30.0%✓1968 replay
b6b7…d9ff411,486,233+30.0%✓1968 replay
b6ab…844f413,897,088+30.0%✓1968 replay
3e9e…402f411,778,729+30.0%✓1968 replay
b65c…9565411,275,488+30.0%✓1968 replay
d888…16af411,362,879+30.0%✓1968 replay
d87a…7fcf414,205,626+30.0%✓1968 replay
d85a…7c22412,094,332+30.0%✓1968 replay
d82b…f64f411,908,400+30.0%✓1968 replay
d7fa…13ff412,141,052+30.0%✓1968 replay
d7d4…2a0f412,254,100+30.0%✓1968 replay
d762…4f2f414,104,720+30.0%✓1968 replay
d760…7c5f412,067,081+30.0%✓1968 replay
478e…c83f413,410,294+30.0%✓1968 replay
4741…8b9f414,378,415+30.0%✓1968 replay
b696…635f414,561,294+30.0%✓1968 replay
ce73…52ef411,898,241+30.0%✓1968 replay
ce77…c14f411,887,965+30.0%✓1968 replay
46f5…7f2f414,423,639+30.0%✓1968 replay
cea5…5f1f412,135,825+30.0%✓1968 replay
cea7…1e5f411,718,671+30.0%✓1968 replay
2670…959f413,131,583+30.0%✓1968 replay
ce7f…240f412,079,653+30.0%✓1968 replay
2686…fe3f415,515,320+30.0%✓1968 replay
2728…9c0f414,058,518+30.0%✓1968 replay
26a7…97ef413,262,540+30.0%✓1968 replay