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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 29% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+5.2%
n=16 out-of-sample
Hit rate
29%
31 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+6.2% → +6.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.055
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.5% … +12.9%
Support31
OOS support16
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 373
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 373
200 resolved wallets
fe3b5…933eae193b…a5db85629b…43290c669d…f214b77419…3b47844b96…076026abd2…23e31ab7b7…674e6b4612…c992ab7bc8…4b2699d886…4d8cdff028…3eaceff356…3949e25f49…d291ce9783…dac8da565f…29d982e98d…34e5a83fb4…d15a07ca23…68dc706e3e…c5e8c1986e…fcfd917b58…5e3a5aeced…3f9f98a6b4…e178e0da18…719cb3c374…2a4b93805b…5e26197c8b…3d913f2c60…42271bfa41…cd2e4eab02…61ed18059c…b895e30599…e14b859a5e…6327a3bcef…c083385322…c0310073de…8be1b4f994…1b17f7fdde…dae305bd13…381677e6d4…fc5b48d681…1aa7dee4ea…fe98fade2c…8b2a87f403…195b850848…9640c00261…4220a1d211…81c7a16605…90a98fcb6f…135c0e4415…f60322a614…4320dfb749…3d05084983…bad4892bb7…abac7ea548…2057ba8927…be3794a878…183275c96d…07a2a93b1c…ef9810ea50…cb36014492…fdf049cf8b…6eb262be08…12de93e97e…7f0a7be717…62a941bf44…7ce38ec22d…dd1cd6f698…21a128880d…cacb9912fa…1ca7b01aab…7730132ea6…e074717363…1c5ce7c72e…a9ce2f7733…26620dce45…2b296b7020…f3915df5e4…71ae365d79…c43dc+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3a83…427f | 422,464,583 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 5d26…ae3f | 427,130,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 6a5d…6b2f | 419,561,072 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 69fb…fd4f | 423,877,960 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 0ee4…3b5f | 423,513,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 3bc2…dc9f | 421,256,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| de15…2d0f | 420,855,107 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| ddac…519f | 420,845,284 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7010…3fce | 409,987,819 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 6f96…1c1f | 414,140,778 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 6f88…19ff | 425,865,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 1c36…22ef | 419,154,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| fccf…120b | 410,852,217 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 3f42…820f | 426,257,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7f14…1f3f | 417,222,078 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7e67…606f | 414,336,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 26d6…530f | 416,999,044 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| dbc6…69bf | 411,900,415 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 4421…380c | 420,665,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| ee32…61ef | 424,656,392 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 9075…49df | 420,855,768 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| fdac…641f | 420,841,519 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2672…d93f | 416,614,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| b887…1e6f | 414,795,596 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8904…408f | 415,441,507 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| caa4…11bf | 417,053,701 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8886…dfcf | 422,392,830 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 3cbc…6bdf | 415,185,378 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 3c83…519f | 412,567,844 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 743d…6038 | 421,295,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| d506…815f | 419,975,132 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| d42c…806f | 420,833,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| c44e…03ef | 426,122,795 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| dd30…31af | 417,405,634 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 405c…213f | 424,423,417 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 40b4…c08f | 420,007,892 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| df95…b59f | 423,579,621 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| df7e…cb2f | 423,588,250 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 7136…2e2f | 413,117,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| d9f6…e71f | 423,863,264 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8c06…044f | 426,995,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 4113…697f | 420,256,533 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 413f…04ff | 423,573,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2f20…cbbf | 415,484,286 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| d24c…ca1f | 411,553,227 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2be8…9daf | 417,867,023 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8ef6…bcff | 422,278,458 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8e9c…cdbf | 424,249,042 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8e7e…d1ff | 411,850,843 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| f6e3…6f0f | 420,286,475 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 92d3…ffbf | 426,968,877 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| badb…db5f | 412,598,430 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| d5e4…f6af | 427,563,793 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 2ed9…df0f | 420,398,697 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8e2a…923f | 423,615,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 829f…8f3f | 420,024,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 91b1…f36f | 425,149,887 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 8251…30ff | 420,472,274 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 4e65…bb7f | 413,916,301 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 33c9…1daf | 410,872,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |