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rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: OOS n=3 < floor 10 (too few out-of-sample occurrences) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 191272 anchors
OOS effect
+30.0%
n=3 out-of-sample
Hit rate
93%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+26.7% → +24.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+20.1% … +33.2%
Support15
OOS support3
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 19127
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0walletdef86b731f14ed6f07470f0177cf81bd3409a7b0c9a8ad5bb3c02258b6b808ee94%17
w1wallet0e03400527c57598e171d19bce89e65a4f78e2ad30ceb5a1f0f22d4a00681a77100%18
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 496626+30.0%—view →
crew 1452918+30.0%—view →
crew 246816+21.2%—view →
crew 5528+19.9%—view →
crew 2539918+17.8%—view →
crew 3071916+15.0%—view →
crew 11323+14.8%—view →
crew 8845+13.2%—view →
crew 2176+10.7%—view →
crew 518+10.3%—view →
crew 1548+9.8%—view →
crew 4039+9.3%—view →
crew 6872+9.2%—view →
crew 14524+9.2%—view →
crew 4370+8.6%—view →
crew 6165+8.6%—view →
crew 1789389+8.5%—view →
crew 918+8.4%—view →
crew 13584+8.4%—view →
crew 21337+8.1%—view →
all1372921+7.4%—view →
crew 5952+6.6%—view →
crew 9426+5.9%—view →
crew 22617+5.7%—view →
crew 5635+5.4%—view →
crew 37331+5.2%—view →
crew 3126+5.1%—view →
crew 1688+4.8%—view →
crew 17120+4.0%—view →
crew 1258+1.4%—view →
crew 3494+1.1%—view →
crew 34116+0.3%—view →
crew 2025+0.2%—view →
crew 1968365+0.0%—view →
crew 2978171+0.0%—view →
crew 3009618+0.0%—view →
crew 1017-0.8%—view →
crew 4739-0.9%—view →
crew 14050-1.7%—view →
crew 30626-5.1%—view →
crew 1920-7.1%—view →
crew 707715-12.3%—view →
Crew 19127
4 resolved wallets
669b2…859a80e034…81a77dd117…542df1d6bf…3445d
Supporting episodes
41 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
8583…116f415,866,863+30.0%✓19127 replay
7bb1…d97f415,828,810+30.0%✓19127 replay
5cbb…603f419,727,107+30.0%✓19127 replay
4f73…1def412,577,092+30.0%✓19127 replay
8300…92ef415,816,167+30.0%✓19127 replay
9f62…fa0f419,721,739+30.0%✓19127 replay
7d97…3c2f415,916,777+30.0%✓19127 replay
4c8c…495f412,993,295+30.0%✓19127 replay
12d8…8bff415,857,826+30.0%✓19127 replay
0eb8…eacf412,983,111+30.0%✓19127 replay
10cd…0bbf419,575,825+30.0%✓19127 replay
1015…c0ff423,665,664+30.0%✓19127 replay
629f…907f412,974,486+30.0%✓19127 replay
1540…2fff412,986,986+30.0%✓19127 replay
1b3a…312f412,996,942+30.0%✓19127 replay
1970…c43f415,821,989+30.0%✓19127 replay
9120…272f412,988,247+30.0%✓19127 replay
dbd8…d6ff413,012,618+30.0%✓19127 replay
502d…996f415,805,720+30.0%✓19127 replay
0e3c…539f415,915,213+30.0%✓19127 replay
691c…642f415,810,978+30.0%✓19127 replay
6b4c…600f423,423,002+30.0%✓19127 replay
3847…da4f413,008,567+30.0%✓19127 replay
7b5f…319f422,778,714+30.0%✓19127 replay
23ec…d43f412,995,694+30.0%✓19127 replay
8126…a11f412,986,907+30.0%✓19127 replay
1d3e…ff1f422,761,948+30.0%✓19127 replay
8efa…682f415,812,214+30.0%✓19127 replay
a353…c56f413,012,793+30.0%✓19127 replay
c08d…cd7f412,991,192+30.0%✓19127 replay
cc0d…63ff415,915,379+30.0%✓19127 replay
9f70…70bf412,995,883+30.0%✓19127 replay
33de…232f415,893,703+30.0%✓19127 replay
0a12…2e9f415,920,816+30.0%✓19127 replay
b4b1…c79f412,960,951+30.0%✓19127 replay
87fb…7bef415,892,923+30.0%✓19127 replay
ebc4…b6ef423,437,947+0.0%19127 replay
ca2d…6d4f412,975,499-20.0%19127 replay
83b3…e79f423,401,280-20.0%19127 replay
d999…dd2f423,641,146-20.0%19127 replay
002d…6e3f413,004,732-20.0%19127 replay