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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 0.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 22% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+1.4%
n=13 out-of-sample
Hit rate
22%
58 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.9% → +1.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.423
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.9% … +5.8%
Support58
OOS support13
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 12
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 12
200 resolved wallets
d1c24…1515f17a7a…21b7c278bc…a404b2d3f3…10cda0beba…bb3a674af2…395a64ddbf…616946ab68…12804490e2…2b67ebfabc…91a9803a7d…f718893f97…dc15b4394c…69c5b85339…8d5124597f…1c5af55498…0629584705…24d5f03a24…d433dba114…65aec92681…39d96c8158…6d080ac6b2…b2b822e13b…0d7cbfba33…1456208e73…936c89fdeb…0e1cd45d6c…92a54e80a8…d21ba69aa2…63e5b5e51b…58232a6354…6ceae9ea6b…55ef801381…3d585a0b2d…94b24b79ed…8f0ccc476a…151e141d61…5b64177209…069f871344…fd845655d2…d466e3abc3…fe8b8a8a97…cec28a69fc…4b14dd4b7a…bdc43feebf…0b65eb9025…6ef052f228…aa7c693d89…1233960d08…833fa2ef86…ea2f6d750f…3d83790491…a37231f610…2f7eff55a7…10b84bc461…6eab9f0a63…d6a1f445cb…9669f72797…505722ed1b…19b8d999d6…89c3819a5a…4049e00e26…9d67f2c791…41f9a9ae86…7e162f720c…5f7aee1ccc…04d918468b…207bdef141…06cfd5dd4a…7c0e9d0e1d…68a1b78179…660ebb845d…5cee4aaf54…536e94737d…7d171b2615…93bc9d504a…0c36a6f239…dc96d348fc…d15cd28716…da9385e47e…d4ce3+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2b9e…9ab5 | 426,746,788 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| b71b…826f | 427,076,794 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| b69b…83bf | 419,302,285 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 58cb…115f | 418,533,362 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 5887…161f | 424,527,393 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 5cfa…832f | 418,989,479 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 5cae…718f | 412,275,818 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 284c…82ff | 425,123,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 27fa…565f | 421,736,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 27ae…4f1f | 421,470,677 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 2797…e54f | 416,968,774 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 2755…135f | 419,866,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 274c…210f | 418,212,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 6a43…ffff | 422,477,662 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 3bfe…aa5f | 416,786,866 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| d344…e1bf | 419,262,284 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 3f94…099f | 414,264,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| dc90…3a9f | 416,247,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| dc45…09bf | 413,967,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| db9d…a4bf | 412,491,847 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| de7a…274f | 418,938,160 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| de1d…f1cf | 411,784,177 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| dd97…b0af | 426,432,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| dd5b…323f | 417,192,819 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7035…706f | 423,576,159 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7027…90cf | 424,171,033 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7013…f7ef | 411,875,716 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 6f87…16ff | 420,504,849 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 1c9b…e58f | 418,452,791 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 1c2a…9daf | 417,330,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 1c1f…7f5f | 419,104,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 1bdc…b2ff | 422,008,530 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fd22…585f | 414,010,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fcd7…b05f | 420,561,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fcb1…4e2f | 411,857,374 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fc82…a0bf | 418,516,070 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fc60…accf | 413,126,939 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7383…faaf | 415,626,399 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 735d…f05f | 423,015,069 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| b6f3…703f | 423,913,670 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| d8a8…e66f | 417,959,076 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| d876…a77f | 417,700,366 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| d831…c03f | 426,923,400 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 4705…e30f | 416,921,208 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 46f6…809f | 421,456,398 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 73a1…c48f | 425,542,877 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 737f…8a7f | 417,172,805 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 72cf…e72f | 411,727,811 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 8934…98af | 419,689,632 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 88dc…fedf | 410,812,394 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 4701…56df | 412,402,023 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 88be…a78f | 418,530,217 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| ee84…e8bf | 421,970,229 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| ef0d…5c6f | 416,442,436 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 9110…e2ef | 419,541,333 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 8aaa…33bf | 427,388,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| b36a…9adf | 411,877,503 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 2627…40cf | 416,975,430 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| b3a2…3bff | 426,945,799 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 3f58…14ff | 418,074,548 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |