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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 38% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+8.4%
n=315 out-of-sample
Hit rate
38%
584 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+8.4% → +8.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+6.8% … +9.9%
Support584
OOS support315
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 13
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 48c01b5059005455d9dcb0c6bcecdcb4fb5b2eabc1a9a82b57392baaa40f04e6 | 88% | 793 |
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 13
200 resolved wallets
0297f…7d17048c01…f04e6d5d49…9aa5e5ea71…4882254a81…7485adbc0d…f2563eb378…31d2dc1d0e…3f5c1da400…eb9dad8d37…e70afeac22…2e251f4247…c0b683d345…3579178e1f…0ff4e9e85d…534ce66cd8…1777cc0609…a11dd7df78…2341533a86…f3139bf635…45ed2efd9e…69a7b58385…7f907d2f87…239601fbd6…8cd310431a…411bc94eb0…32d324b081…36fdc2bd8d…5e1d5aca81…f8504288a2…c4fa6f0486…016f162bb1…ac3189dff6…7434d4f40c…cf4a80613a…05ab1c5333…a00ca238de…27251f6734…bf5e23d8f7…07aaacad81…8c466ebaad…62e1d62837…794e578dbc…0c97b7301f…2bfcd3cd33…0ad729cfbf…2d98106dd8…19e142faa6…8b91773cff…a1e42dbdf7…e401454fbf…b1ccfd56dc…2397416692…3ffbce4eae…4355605612…85c949082a…d77f846a18…94a3a45c48…4cec3af6cb…61f8230a9c…0466a78a4f…2966c3e151…a74c69375a…abf2a2245a…2f5a7c2633…d28b36ff75…d11914f229…531cca70a7…32878d5a9a…da3f95281c…7be92cfbc0…fb546faaeb…8c165ffd86…7d2f1922cd…c84c7d1112…5248abe109…8cddf97f8b…004a27a193…ab8edf3579…24d82865df…60919+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7402…f51f | 422,706,759 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 73f2…332f | 413,859,443 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 73c7…a1bf | 418,879,889 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 73c3…3daf | 419,047,844 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 73ac…b3af | 412,006,254 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 73a7…a64f | 410,424,429 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 739d…389a | 426,887,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 739c…19ff | 424,308,349 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 738f…487f | 422,414,756 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7388…979f | 413,641,004 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7384…9b0f | 419,069,622 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 737e…85df | 426,676,095 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7367…113f | 421,410,740 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 735a…6c7f | 411,238,621 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7349…b26f | 421,105,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 733d…784f | 422,825,372 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 733a…8f1f | 410,749,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7339…2dff | 410,014,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 732a…89cf | 426,498,281 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7328…a837 | 421,231,531 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7325…8f4f | 419,995,413 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 730d…acff | 425,569,812 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72fd…76bf | 416,074,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72f4…95bf | 422,241,720 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ec…faff | 418,422,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72eb…436f | 410,576,932 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ea…c33f | 417,799,790 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8b10…bc6f | 422,673,703 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8b07…700f | 418,733,622 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8af0…528f | 416,972,680 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8aeb…887f | 426,698,288 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8ad8…395f | 418,873,665 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8acd…dfcf | 424,276,058 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8ac6…822f | 417,512,330 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8ab8…cf9f | 410,861,939 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a99…5d0f | 427,108,082 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a8b…865f | 422,201,554 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a80…4ddf | 419,137,310 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a78…5d1f | 423,175,503 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a76…5aaf | 411,780,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a76…ad3f | 413,341,170 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a6e…3bef | 413,715,085 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a6c…400f | 419,240,809 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3f38…93e2 | 410,132,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a58…800f | 422,811,204 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a56…09ff | 420,545,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a54…2d7f | 423,148,411 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a4a…8a1f | 425,711,121 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a4a…244f | 416,005,747 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a43…3aaf | 420,992,790 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a42…c45f | 421,425,973 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a20…b08f | 424,329,709 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8a60…c78f | 419,942,038 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3fcb…d5ff | 426,649,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 400e…8fff | 415,875,396 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 400c…949f | 422,778,726 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3ffc…dccf | 425,839,137 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 222b…b193 | 413,840,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3fe7…321f | 420,385,754 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3fe9…9cff | 421,243,634 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |