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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 32% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+8.1%
n=35 out-of-sample
Hit rate
32%
37 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+7.3% → +7.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.011
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+1.7% … +12.9%
Support37
OOS support35
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 213
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 95625f434303f5139f0e112bf9da0acc3488446483b81b63e2c1166eedd93cdb | 88% | 63 |
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 213
200 resolved wallets
f2cd3…f27e3db166…5758895625…93cdbec89f…b68551d850…a6de7efc5f…6aebf09dea…5f4a8f55f4…2284020942…184d95fc1e…51272aed45…909a318791…39576c382b…1c16bcbdf5…73f62bdd29…06d963cdc2…d3f316eec9…b01e539a74…78def30a96…50fc52a904…79a592570e…3b67badc10…b0edc76a44…6f185d29ea…0cc2cbc810…8a0d3b52a5…d7ed3ab68b…288356b687…299af1e66b…400f85dbb5…5a5dbef5ed…fd3d7dedca…bf925a88a1…dd94d831d1…d285359800…ef03b783c7…9db3df9d15…a3e9c047de…42355e5f4a…c02bdb4d5a…a4d593a05b…76ec72351b…77e0af3df5…280cfabcdf…65d30375a4…b9cb27631d…68be14f0f0…0501214af8…9606582295…af6c2b0f59…4f5b77d554…b8fee0e234…20192ae911…11bd78c40f…a7913923ac…c9d4026a23…330e311b7e…a59f0b86a0…35796781ac…83912fc2a0…cc9beccabe…6a8d742bcb…02266cdfd2…7e7e764342…d0ee018b72…c1e2b44ace…df03b9b5de…f5d90f4aa2…e2471fdcd4…fb9021fc7c…d4ec71b907…60dad8dbcf…89c1f03435…a6738b37b2…48171a61b6…a5a017a3f0…46443a831a…5980ed3bec…cec0296936…44f681a22d…d692a+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7eba…1a7f | 420,546,072 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 8778…2ddf | 414,609,445 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 57a2…a77f | 419,161,762 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5d09…8c27 | 414,305,618 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5cda…5f4f | 423,358,190 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 43e7…d57f | 413,922,231 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3bd6…6400 | 414,532,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3b50…57ff | 426,904,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3b3b…32af | 420,749,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d345…e27f | 419,307,566 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d315…bf90 | 425,177,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d2a2…5a2f | 423,173,031 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| dd56…bdee | 416,082,085 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 6f72…6a4f | 425,921,579 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 6f16…785f | 426,226,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 1ca0…e72f | 421,860,978 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| fc23…bd1b | 414,246,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 72d9…023f | 417,815,323 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| ce47…09cf | 419,530,592 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 7f42…29ff | 425,229,859 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d0c7…d17f | 419,520,150 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 8e92…3e6e | 414,494,260 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 6073…edbf | 426,409,945 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 6030…3bf9 | 414,521,259 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5f9c…f1a6 | 414,530,443 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5f93…086f | 417,738,838 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 7200…892f | 416,481,623 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 16df…931f | 422,957,959 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 4375…469f | 424,169,382 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 028c…0cdf | 422,912,934 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 0243…421f | 417,326,094 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 47c9…1bcf | 417,589,308 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 7866…587f | 419,487,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 9214…bdbf | 426,169,241 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| ba0c…d3df | 423,176,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 7bca…1a8f | 422,631,643 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 8699…e34f | 427,589,728 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2f09…535f | 423,735,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d693…26d2 | 414,387,659 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 4662…503f | 427,531,612 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2268…3e8f | 427,542,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| f67c…ffff | 423,565,067 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 4282…4b9f | 426,067,282 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 9221…cbef | 420,635,362 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 9877…692f | 417,535,147 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d164…b90f | 424,087,591 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 932d…e62f | 426,443,916 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 4660…e80f | 418,275,274 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 6ab2…bf9f | 417,774,397 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 0a95…ac2f | 421,696,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 9a7d…4f8f | 420,314,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2cfb…05ef | 416,102,633 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 393c…350f | 420,236,609 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| ecb0…50ef | 415,427,043 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3726…447f | 422,347,174 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 6981…56a5 | 414,328,983 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 0ecf…f96f | 425,215,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 99b2…3c6f | 425,994,180 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 85c7…01fc | 414,307,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| c85a…73df | 426,650,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |