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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 1.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 41% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+9.3%
n=28 out-of-sample
Hit rate
41%
39 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+9.3% → +9.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.002
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+3.5% … +15.2%
Support39
OOS support28
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 40
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 40
200 resolved wallets
9feaf…f55e5a19bc…3146ef9819…a1ee9365a1…633df20edf…6cb20f840d…ab28a9818b…9a33029915…c6c641c229…0c59063d09…d4da3ab992…8602e2ac26…c2b2d2da31…eab9badb91…53041747ec…72b7997854…6e09af2c14…0b4f6f3114…db1b015090…ebaff08370…7b1b8c8edd…bf14643662…52dee27092…72f66fd6db…0676de2471…7b11095ee2…b87d3d4c6c…8014080d6d…cd237a58ef…bd0d1122a3…5c0ff6b298…492fcd1284…b8f54ec994…8050e54820…a4bf90a761…1dc7e469c4…5295c686a0…75b6647e09…2a8b28e1af…44142861d7…0e3515bbeb…f62f990cde…40fe55720f…14b1f70a92…aef6b2c5e7…d7520caeab…087a68ed7f…dcff204fe3…2bd75a84d8…72917bfdcb…3fb0779267…46c89aa97b…26a030a1d0…995cadc616…e4d9ac9c59…884dcf22ca…cd24e7ab75…3898e5f2d5…4206fa716f…1d9bc31d71…18afbb841d…dfb00fbfc1…388f86c1d4…9b840759f6…dd3e6a4dcf…7d6f296c81…54212949ec…a9cb338edc…aef5848331…c04eab886d…ea08fcf8ec…c2352bd48f…cd932ea4c0…b55fa982fe…58adf37316…a59d32fc57…06fc626ea5…59d5107787…de8d216387…8559330ff8…a5842+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79ea…68bf | 419,040,446 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b65c…c89f | 411,054,040 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 87e8…399f | 424,097,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 87cb…1a4f | 427,661,540 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 87c4…b4ff | 419,761,648 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 57af…54df | 424,019,205 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 5caa…6a9f | 423,989,061 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2807…078f | 425,348,568 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 277a…5dff | 412,799,876 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6aa9…651f | 424,602,776 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6aa5…c95f | 420,822,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6a2e…141f | 417,969,279 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 734f…ff2f | 420,428,071 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 72d6…491f | 419,064,686 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 7286…3b2f | 422,144,080 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| d3df…3edf | 414,533,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| d383…385f | 422,974,870 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| d307…159f | 422,327,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| c3ed…5e8f | 425,589,749 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| c30c…6c8f | 424,539,701 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 856f…7aaf | 419,089,972 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| fcc8…3eff | 410,750,015 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 7345…d06f | 422,637,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2227…a33f | 417,725,776 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| d833…2f9f | 422,435,165 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 4723…01cf | 425,847,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 897a…c97f | 416,084,663 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 7eba…e6df | 426,890,243 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 7e56…e40f | 427,589,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 4674…662f | 424,608,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| fd1e…df4f | 421,910,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2625…f69f | 418,015,889 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 4359…95bf | 425,561,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b30f…130f | 416,362,163 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b379…5ddf | 421,967,198 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| c92f…c6bf | 423,194,932 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b3d8…1e5f | 416,875,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 9112…eacf | 425,419,633 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 9129…f1ff | 420,212,567 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 3a97…0c1f | 419,106,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b8e6…4c1f | 416,987,162 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b790…4636 | 426,951,596 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 5934…6c4f | 417,539,970 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 5e1a…308f | 425,207,642 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 7a48…529f | 415,494,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 28fa…ee5f | 413,537,932 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 28bb…0baf | 420,388,919 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6b87…233f | 418,191,401 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6ae4…ab3f | 427,145,293 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 743d…29ef | 427,506,011 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 73af…c71f | 418,207,099 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| d51e…7b2f | 413,362,637 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 41b7…001f | 422,705,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 4188…3b8f | 423,816,755 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 40e7…5d1f | 420,427,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| dd4a…530f | 415,305,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| dcc3…4fcf | 427,293,491 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| dfd0…7a3f | 426,948,846 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| df12…043f | 413,890,488 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 711e…0e0f | 427,450,897 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |