Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: only 1.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 56% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 30719
OOS effect
+15.0%
n=2 out-of-sample
Hit rate
56%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+15.2% +13.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.001
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+6.3% … +24.1%
Support16
OOS support2
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 30719
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 496626+30.0%view →
crew 1452918+30.0%view →
crew 1912715+30.0%view →
crew 246816+21.2%view →
crew 5528+19.9%view →
crew 2539918+17.8%view →
crew 11323+14.8%view →
crew 8845+13.2%view →
crew 2176+10.7%view →
crew 518+10.3%view →
crew 1548+9.8%view →
crew 4039+9.3%view →
crew 6872+9.2%view →
crew 14524+9.2%view →
crew 4370+8.6%view →
crew 6165+8.6%view →
crew 1789389+8.5%view →
crew 918+8.4%view →
crew 13584+8.4%view →
crew 21337+8.1%view →
all1372921+7.4%view →
crew 5952+6.6%view →
crew 9426+5.9%view →
crew 22617+5.7%view →
crew 5635+5.4%view →
crew 37331+5.2%view →
crew 3126+5.1%view →
crew 1688+4.8%view →
crew 17120+4.0%view →
crew 1258+1.4%view →
crew 3494+1.1%view →
crew 34116+0.3%view →
crew 2025+0.2%view →
crew 1968365+0.0%view →
crew 2978171+0.0%view →
crew 3009618+0.0%view →
crew 1017-0.8%view →
crew 4739-0.9%view →
crew 14050-1.7%view →
crew 30626-5.1%view →
crew 1920-7.1%view →
crew 707715-12.3%view →
Crew 30719
8 resolved wallets
22cdc…7eb3bc8095…3271300e3f…6caf4208ee…51cf409438…6a44694171…0e288f50fa…0436c1883f…c65b5
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
2b0b…b44f415,441,069+30.0%30719 replay
4350…4baf420,940,696+30.0%30719 replay
c2f6…343f413,176,276+30.0%30719 replay
eec2…eb3f411,582,141+30.0%30719 replay
c2e9…0e8f419,281,896+30.0%30719 replay
2225…7d7f416,880,139+30.0%30719 replay
72b0…967f423,684,590+30.0%30719 replay
7f88…16cf411,010,710+30.0%30719 replay
7f86…4f2f419,805,604+30.0%30719 replay
410b…d3cf416,859,912+30.0%30719 replay
3b83…013f417,992,616+30.0%30719 replay
f05c…25af410,651,869+30.0%30719 replay
8c8b…3e3f419,313,224+30.0%30719 replay
ff8d…bd8f420,658,688+30.0%30719 replay
27fd…ebdf411,820,779+30.0%30719 replay
4869…861f420,325,664+30.0%30719 replay
8976…570f419,292,631+30.0%30719 replay
480d…95df415,210,051+30.0%30719 replay
2972…17cf411,641,110+30.0%30719 replay
b7a3…8c6f412,697,755+30.0%30719 replay
b38a…3eef417,815,669+30.0%30719 replay
6b0a…962f414,709,530+30.0%30719 replay
c512…436f414,741,987+30.0%30719 replay
8bcd…3b1f417,986,180+30.0%30719 replay
8c67…0b7f416,491,373+30.0%30719 replay
2c81…0fef419,325,926+30.0%30719 replay
755c…593f414,273,010+30.0%30719 replay
413c…c75f417,817,782+30.0%30719 replay
7594…ed3f414,137,626+30.0%30719 replay
7b6d…949f418,707,628+30.0%30719 replay
b98a…5d8f427,087,149+30.0%30719 replay
b977…d56f411,721,147+30.0%30719 replay
6d20…181f411,585,773+30.0%30719 replay
6c8a…fb2f417,136,176+30.0%30719 replay
756c…007f416,675,075+30.0%30719 replay
df5a…1c0f416,462,502+30.0%30719 replay
2cc3…37bf414,303,979+30.0%30719 replay
1d85…397f421,902,635+30.0%30719 replay
8719…5c6f418,398,441+30.0%30719 replay
98eb…232f412,496,888+30.0%30719 replay
4270…d62f413,617,338+30.0%30719 replay
42c7…90af412,945,123+30.0%30719 replay
7977…2fcf418,666,277+30.0%30719 replay
7171…dfff418,020,810+30.0%30719 replay
ba20…c90f418,014,296+30.0%30719 replay
04ed…d65f416,897,831+30.0%30719 replay
7af0…2fdf420,656,988+30.0%30719 replay
8eed…d06f412,311,383+30.0%30719 replay
9a54…089f413,185,947+30.0%30719 replay
d77a…14ef411,006,930+30.0%30719 replay
f7e1…d61f416,907,730+30.0%30719 replay
f891…400f410,659,106+30.0%30719 replay
94f7…d30f414,811,247+30.0%30719 replay
9b97…40df417,617,430+30.0%30719 replay
959b…546f419,298,976+30.0%30719 replay
3493…e3df409,908,418+30.0%30719 replay
badf…827f416,323,592+30.0%30719 replay
7282…2cdf416,412,298+30.0%30719 replay
48ac…0a2f417,596,279+30.0%30719 replay
0409…1c0f420,573,873+30.0%30719 replay