Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 50% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 30096
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
50%
18 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.0% +6.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.265
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-6.9% … +16.9%
Support18
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 30096
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 496626+30.0%view →
crew 1452918+30.0%view →
crew 1912715+30.0%view →
crew 246816+21.2%view →
crew 5528+19.9%view →
crew 2539918+17.8%view →
crew 3071916+15.0%view →
crew 11323+14.8%view →
crew 8845+13.2%view →
crew 2176+10.7%view →
crew 518+10.3%view →
crew 1548+9.8%view →
crew 4039+9.3%view →
crew 6872+9.2%view →
crew 14524+9.2%view →
crew 4370+8.6%view →
crew 6165+8.6%view →
crew 1789389+8.5%view →
crew 918+8.4%view →
crew 13584+8.4%view →
crew 21337+8.1%view →
all1372921+7.4%view →
crew 5952+6.6%view →
crew 9426+5.9%view →
crew 22617+5.7%view →
crew 5635+5.4%view →
crew 37331+5.2%view →
crew 3126+5.1%view →
crew 1688+4.8%view →
crew 17120+4.0%view →
crew 1258+1.4%view →
crew 3494+1.1%view →
crew 34116+0.3%view →
crew 2025+0.2%view →
crew 1968365+0.0%view →
crew 2978171+0.0%view →
crew 1017-0.8%view →
crew 4739-0.9%view →
crew 14050-1.7%view →
crew 30626-5.1%view →
crew 1920-7.1%view →
crew 707715-12.3%view →
Crew 30096
4 resolved wallets
0ea69…e8397dc983…e849a19fbd…495fd4d267…46de6
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
b382…2e9f414,898,286+30.0%30096 replay
3f81…f42f413,999,732+30.0%30096 replay
ce69…792f414,905,278+30.0%30096 replay
46de…a95f414,703,584+30.0%30096 replay
73a1…63cf414,698,029+30.0%30096 replay
b643…282f414,027,569+30.0%30096 replay
2255…953f414,674,623+30.0%30096 replay
6f9b…647f414,916,692+30.0%30096 replay
dd4a…dc1f414,907,701+30.0%30096 replay
6a11…fbdf414,687,291+30.0%30096 replay
3cb6…4b7f414,904,162+30.0%30096 replay
8c42…36bf414,682,695+30.0%30096 replay
8c6e…0aff413,827,212+30.0%30096 replay
dd2a…c49f413,823,244+30.0%30096 replay
4146…e55f413,820,556+30.0%30096 replay
b6c4…03df414,679,624+30.0%30096 replay
8b68…16cf414,724,612+30.0%30096 replay
71b4…788f413,814,798+30.0%30096 replay
e049…e70f416,104,742+30.0%30096 replay
7563…71af414,008,465+30.0%30096 replay
5ffd…1ebf414,914,854+30.0%30096 replay
5ab8…206f413,092,743+30.0%30096 replay
47d6…ee6f414,254,133+30.0%30096 replay
4ab0…de7f415,093,266+30.0%30096 replay
77e5…1d1f414,716,333+30.0%30096 replay
4ba3…3aff414,877,932+30.0%30096 replay
e196…fa8f415,151,678+30.0%30096 replay
12d9…444f414,697,012+30.0%30096 replay
2bf7…38af413,553,467+30.0%30096 replay
5bcd…7f1f414,666,480+30.0%30096 replay
7ed0…068f412,933,272+30.0%30096 replay
ce24…7e3f414,930,153+30.0%30096 replay
441e…717f427,491,108+30.0%30096 replay
8f75…b67f413,793,316+30.0%30096 replay
2a00…24af414,242,604+30.0%30096 replay
e2ab…4faf413,836,701+30.0%30096 replay
6295…437f414,044,125+30.0%30096 replay
5d01…152f414,692,944+30.0%30096 replay
8e99…13af413,380,516+30.0%30096 replay
d089…b38f414,922,407+30.0%30096 replay
bc00…2d0f414,689,104+30.0%30096 replay
2edf…580f414,661,979+30.0%30096 replay
4f21…a39f413,820,313+30.0%30096 replay
4f58…b2cf414,470,002+30.0%30096 replay
4be7…ad6f413,834,799+30.0%30096 replay
2bf9…528f414,920,316+30.0%30096 replay
7745…905f413,631,966+30.0%30096 replay
77f7…0e3f414,254,460+30.0%30096 replay
6479…2dcf413,808,005+30.0%30096 replay
8f0e…fc0f413,429,784+30.0%30096 replay
8f6f…7faf413,821,691+30.0%30096 replay
99e9…12bf414,920,771+30.0%30096 replay
43fa…932f413,101,119+30.0%30096 replay
f8b2…293f413,098,236+30.0%30096 replay
bc7e…29af414,469,820+30.0%30096 replay
2f58…fa7f414,671,460+30.0%30096 replay
310e…fd2f413,647,868+30.0%30096 replay
e14c…09ff414,722,060+30.0%30096 replay
24d8…55bf414,907,385+30.0%30096 replay
7cfb…a1df414,701,755+30.0%30096 replay