Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 19% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 31
OOS effect
+5.1%
n=10 out-of-sample
Hit rate
19%
26 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-1.8% -0.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.759
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-8.9% … +5.3%
Support26
OOS support10
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 31
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 496626+30.0%view →
crew 1452918+30.0%view →
crew 1912715+30.0%view →
crew 246816+21.2%view →
crew 5528+19.9%view →
crew 2539918+17.8%view →
crew 3071916+15.0%view →
crew 11323+14.8%view →
crew 8845+13.2%view →
crew 2176+10.7%view →
crew 518+10.3%view →
crew 1548+9.8%view →
crew 4039+9.3%view →
crew 6872+9.2%view →
crew 14524+9.2%view →
crew 4370+8.6%view →
crew 6165+8.6%view →
crew 1789389+8.5%view →
crew 918+8.4%view →
crew 13584+8.4%view →
crew 21337+8.1%view →
all1372921+7.4%view →
crew 5952+6.6%view →
crew 9426+5.9%view →
crew 22617+5.7%view →
crew 5635+5.4%view →
crew 37331+5.2%view →
crew 1688+4.8%view →
crew 17120+4.0%view →
crew 1258+1.4%view →
crew 3494+1.1%view →
crew 34116+0.3%view →
crew 2025+0.2%view →
crew 1968365+0.0%view →
crew 2978171+0.0%view →
crew 3009618+0.0%view →
crew 1017-0.8%view →
crew 4739-0.9%view →
crew 14050-1.7%view →
crew 30626-5.1%view →
crew 1920-7.1%view →
crew 707715-12.3%view →
Crew 31
200 resolved wallets
dc4b6…bf04fc8c29…5a07d555ab…d12006f990…9baade677b…59afba5885…fbdf98fc34…d692eeace0…ac40cc3773…57d632425b…a273c1e2cb…c5f0c11bc9…35c259729b…0522dfa64f…732ed9cf2c…f6ccdddb49…63440feaaf…79c11fdc86…8c25cde6c8…e6e96734a1…098b330ce0…634e94fe21…d503478d9a…aa9ad63738…d8505bc583…046e8c0287…6b2c33ebb2…701adb2164…ec22c2b6bb…9ff065fea1…c1d6a0516b…7c1962f47d…ab1409dec4…dd59030c56…b7756887b3…a924dd4a00…8dba236cfb…76381293f3…6afe36dc41…141b9eb1af…c00126c265…9bd908d9b9…42a2d9526c…4b6c73f235…d552cd0e15…3271fb8a62…7c8c510761…d6ab1f3fa0…dbad95e1d9…bd9dc4d7c5…e2d681abe0…fc7831cd98…53083b2300…d606083cf5…a6e263717f…14c0d47c6c…c4aeece6c1…37ca25af1e…f4db65a72f…8bd35bdb74…a9879a1d82…25938e008d…f245ce43c1…91aff727cd…551942b24e…a5eec0d09f…d06f9095d0…80c5694bd4…870dba70d6…603d2a56d7…9c6275272f…e53bc7f203…153bd539c2…5d8f641096…0df044460c…92308e137e…dab642b759…b60292db51…563c09cd3c…4cb42c88a4…aebad+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
dbe2…33ff418,191,219+30.0%31 replay
8892…9a5f426,102,698+30.0%31 replay
72ef…f47f423,037,558+30.0%31 replay
d3d2…637f422,733,680+30.0%31 replay
8fe7…5b1f427,518,553+30.0%31 replay
5db5…b2df412,429,678+30.0%31 replay
735b…8ef8419,372,370+30.0%31 replay
fc09…b84f427,157,658+30.0%31 replay
b649…0bbf416,355,046+30.0%31 replay
1ba8…fd6f426,130,078+30.0%31 replay
57d8…402f421,491,604+30.0%31 replay
6a34…f4c1419,567,199+30.0%31 replay
d3bb…d601412,565,189+30.0%31 replay
0f02…20ff426,776,587+30.0%31 replay
589c…a3df420,463,507+30.0%31 replay
408d…2d4f420,006,554+30.0%31 replay
3f01…4b0f412,194,905+30.0%31 replay
7325…595f416,796,204+30.0%31 replay
f085…779f410,397,727+30.0%31 replay
2954…c5bf420,180,274+30.0%31 replay
73c5…62df426,778,384+30.0%31 replay
c509…7fdf417,401,969+30.0%31 replay
4110…142f412,760,546+30.0%31 replay
48d0…4adf422,644,259+30.0%31 replay
743e…46df422,431,234+30.0%31 replay
89c0…db6f424,138,861+30.0%31 replay
802a…fe3f410,258,291+30.0%31 replay
27d4…b98f416,454,960+30.0%31 replay
d040…f24f423,585,924+30.0%31 replay
6bab…f44f422,456,952+30.0%31 replay
3c82…242f422,453,896+30.0%31 replay
91ea…21ff427,002,345+30.0%31 replay
b43f…5fac412,573,692+30.0%31 replay
e66f…9def417,039,468+30.0%31 replay
15ee…35cf426,107,825+30.0%31 replay
7761…d15f410,795,909+30.0%31 replay
8ded…705f416,092,928+30.0%31 replay
98c6…104f426,977,492+30.0%31 replay
7c23…6f1f423,467,507+30.0%31 replay
e406…17cf414,297,467+30.0%31 replay
04a7…492f425,026,439+30.0%31 replay
d164…ca2f411,113,750+30.0%31 replay
82e5…65ef418,331,977+30.0%31 replay
d663…4e1f415,730,046+30.0%31 replay
825d…e9af421,945,167+30.0%31 replay
871e…1b0f422,610,448+30.0%31 replay
8788…9b9f414,203,253+30.0%31 replay
4409…c4cf426,992,749+30.0%31 replay
5ffa…149f419,157,473+30.0%31 replay
2f9b…898f425,826,281+30.0%31 replay
4e7c…e0af417,215,592+30.0%31 replay
7b00…cc9f422,589,259+30.0%31 replay
71e9…98cf412,231,558+30.0%31 replay
7b42…a23f423,255,662+30.0%31 replay
4fa0…a69f413,545,720+30.0%31 replay
9b88…486f422,743,378+30.0%31 replay
d3ce…d4ef422,596,544+30.0%31 replay
83a9…22cf421,487,335+30.0%31 replay
c00a…bbbf422,363,470+30.0%31 replay
91b5…5e1f424,774,502+30.0%31 replay