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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 0.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 12% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+5.7%
n=12 out-of-sample
Hit rate
12%
17 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-1.3% → +0.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.691
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-9.4% … +6.8%
Support17
OOS support12
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 226
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 8749c49afc0faa1a7d22c4fe52af0970ae477b16d2e118bfc0ee55633a91d3fa | 86% | 25 |
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 226
200 resolved wallets
be3fe…eab4b8749c…1d3faefac7…25b0cc08f3…b5852f5a16…2aab847253…52fe7641c2…660b616e4f…fe2ac7d0ee…d36a03e6e8…79e7c32a6b…a9d034168a…590caac83b…beee5784a3…fdc2c0f244…634058788c…4691142604…dd38429127…2c67e6538e…85bcdb7489…052be70179…6a590e869c…6ea9006483…08cfa70891…1d3868738b…b3fe2cf5fb…1c90ac0347…e5dd37fe5c…c06a52ec31…8733026836…c7cce4feeb…f8d8024e94…a0b4c28ac8…2ad16334fd…65e4041f4e…dd6184177f…153f189cd6…477ff79997…41bf6361f9…4c0e54fe98…b3ff76216e…f5c922e618…55e3de6507…e8ebb4e789…033a0befa3…3b4b12bb8e…f22044b909…a7d06a108a…7c69ce212a…cb96e599de…2734b5ecfe…707385440e…20730bbc73…608b4fef55…51a6f7f98e…5616f078c3…ad439a2d90…725f548451…758fc3ea3b…583827b880…57e7c143a8…ff57e6eaf0…086903aec8…a8ea6d054f…5436d39f24…aee0f1b1cd…1ac21cef9e…3a6d7f0da2…934360452d…997a1613e8…fa790f009c…f012cd1832…32e4fbd9ff…b243ab6131…92c5e19e13…aedd7c76f3…88de100666…b70f1811cb…8f3cfd6e7a…dd4ebc3690…2b320+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900d…654f | 427,376,306 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8b62…00ff | 418,493,606 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| fe5f…2dbf | 420,549,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 2723…b03f | 412,355,102 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 6a30…2edf | 421,979,233 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| d2d2…b47f | 420,561,823 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| b3e5…cecf | 418,156,729 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| c3b9…6eba | 415,141,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| de2c…7baf | 417,582,985 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 72f5…243f | 424,885,321 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 4317…edef | 417,366,076 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| b7c0…5848 | 426,257,328 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| d944…383f | 422,038,847 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 5e2d…39cf | 423,547,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| dcff…d12f | 425,688,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 3be6…970f | 418,492,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| deb7…48ef | 415,781,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 70fc…09ef | 411,933,552 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 70ed…5bcf | 425,271,288 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| d077…e29f | 425,135,963 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 2800…d5bf | 417,175,888 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 2528…476f | 413,286,538 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 23b1…95ff | 425,248,749 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 80d8…8cef | 418,490,229 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 2381…0d0f | 422,577,795 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 403b…c3c1 | 420,410,662 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7426…fb5f | 427,090,197 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| b39e…6dbf | 420,541,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 4800…896f | 427,306,661 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7fb5…90df | 425,715,537 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 92d4…462f | 418,396,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| b94a…e477 | 413,608,066 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| bec8…bfbf | 418,396,387 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 603f…a99f | 425,879,280 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 5f7c…d9cf | 412,910,839 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| e0a3…60df | 420,172,413 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 9312…515f | 418,681,102 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 4bde…ceef | 420,062,490 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| bb17…9d4f | 421,578,308 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 82d9…f6af | 413,639,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 2f74…c16f | 427,600,477 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8734…9c2f | 419,551,201 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8781…063f | 415,592,095 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 9224…62bf | 416,000,920 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 22c6…596f | 426,837,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 16b4…8f7f | 412,683,660 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 1620…baff | 412,477,658 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 4ebb…f3af | 410,521,370 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| e380…e116 | 418,438,411 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 644c…b02f | 412,840,687 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 9a06…bc7f | 420,682,357 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8673…b3cf | 413,778,041 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 39c1…437f | 418,425,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 3a2e…aa6f | 411,878,142 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 0b19…53bf | 418,685,384 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| a4d2…9e76 | 425,153,513 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 6a5b…65bf | 415,763,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8472…ef8f | 411,799,168 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 36f0…940f | 419,210,912 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| c5e8…913f | 418,689,607 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |