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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 28% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+0.2%
n=10 out-of-sample
Hit rate
28%
25 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+1.9% → +3.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.393
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-6.2% … +10.0%
Support25
OOS support10
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 20
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 20
200 resolved wallets
e3564…940474edff…48a0d3b11d…75d73cbeff…411f4cff8c…48a59ed783…776ba64e1d…a2a42108cd…9aa89451cd…05a116663b…f9c5b5dc3c…6519fe4294…e5711b6f08…bd80c717dc…c12775e39a…27b98da908…5fdfffb8ff…fbdd293c2f…752e276c9e…2ecc22676a…b579b7333d…9691e711b9…24aa9f5683…52940c15fb…a09c323961…72eace900b…598ce32d55…48f84e90d9…340a88176f…5011cdf7a0…2f2cc45cbc…f15986d1ce…957aea7b43…4ac73829ce…8957bdb185…1b3da0f35c…9e2ed1774f…9f97a04007…e83aa672cb…3df356c109…e641be59a1…164456ef35…4983ee8be6…a34af0c208…ae304723bc…427019f299…acf69954ec…e958e3f320…dd1aaec5dc…d40816dbf0…4422afc968…56a56fcc3f…6afcde7c52…cc0d97fc5b…3ec332466d…9ca18c68b7…8d364e47d2…77371323ac…792ac272ea…ccfd4f54f4…1e62821b58…5d714ddc0e…f4965abe06…863480909d…b8c1e9e671…3d80e15ba9…e78ed45e61…aa77094ebc…0fef2acf51…897acb4a6a…b1042c7a8f…1993092827…89058866c9…d2501ffe20…4b652f7d89…35d9e005e9…572e5c787f…8c746d3e68…d38ba704b6…9b9ba29182…1f212+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4752…842f | 424,314,457 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| b692…ff5f | 426,349,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| b667…21af | 417,488,552 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 871a…ad9f | 417,898,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 5803…eabf | 417,037,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 5dba…e3bf | 417,201,056 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 6a02…bc2f | 420,441,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 0eef…79cf | 425,635,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3c55…625f | 418,574,727 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3c11…ac7f | 424,283,003 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7322…b21f | 423,914,213 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 72af…4d3f | 417,134,679 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 72af…963f | 415,219,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7279…a3af | 422,113,709 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 725b…823f | 425,835,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| d3d4…539f | 423,083,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| d36a…143f | 420,235,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| d2f4…914f | 420,477,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 4079…07bf | 419,179,437 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3ffc…e03f | 423,697,519 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3f5d…418f | 419,946,087 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| dc41…20cf | 415,367,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| dd88…6e0f | 422,649,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| dd6d…48cf | 426,006,210 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 6f5e…a14f | 423,972,375 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 1bbc…4eff | 423,183,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| fbfa…802f | 422,519,261 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 73c4…059f | 410,886,058 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8b1b…5a7f | 419,686,783 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 2232…6c1f | 417,661,752 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| b68c…edbf | 414,370,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 46ad…b40f | 409,893,654 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 73dd…609f | 416,573,593 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 893a…fb3f | 413,869,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 88ec…b70f | 417,228,194 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 88e5…ac2f | 420,852,660 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7f46…e8df | 417,418,733 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| d849…6e2f | 417,104,301 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| cdca…5f4f | 421,159,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| c98b…125f | 411,737,222 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 90c5…3a0f | 417,870,935 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3e77…065f | 421,058,339 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3f02…605f | 423,022,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3f5e…adbf | 415,945,063 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 39e0…fb3f | 426,910,191 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| ce2e…886f | 417,089,166 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| ce19…e91f | 414,813,256 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 90a6…764f | 417,152,008 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3a25…9aaf | 426,874,311 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8a40…778f | 418,202,516 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7a12…f08f | 420,753,947 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 2c20…691f | 418,559,589 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| cae8…880f | 417,072,075 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| cb05…903f | 418,518,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 91e0…0d2f | 413,116,589 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 6ab3…36bf | 420,998,492 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| f02f…fa1f | 420,672,951 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| ffce…b48f | 421,513,758 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 44d2…870f | 416,232,483 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 47c7…819f | 423,185,424 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |