Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

transfer→buy

rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 30% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 19
OOS effect
-7.1%
n=12 out-of-sample
Hit rate
30%
20 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.9% +5.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.239
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.5% … +12.4%
Support20
OOS support12
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 19
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 496626+30.0%view →
crew 1452918+30.0%view →
crew 1912715+30.0%view →
crew 246816+21.2%view →
crew 5528+19.9%view →
crew 2539918+17.8%view →
crew 3071916+15.0%view →
crew 11323+14.8%view →
crew 8845+13.2%view →
crew 2176+10.7%view →
crew 518+10.3%view →
crew 1548+9.8%view →
crew 4039+9.3%view →
crew 6872+9.2%view →
crew 14524+9.2%view →
crew 4370+8.6%view →
crew 6165+8.6%view →
crew 1789389+8.5%view →
crew 918+8.4%view →
crew 13584+8.4%view →
crew 21337+8.1%view →
all1372921+7.4%view →
crew 5952+6.6%view →
crew 9426+5.9%view →
crew 22617+5.7%view →
crew 5635+5.4%view →
crew 37331+5.2%view →
crew 3126+5.1%view →
crew 1688+4.8%view →
crew 17120+4.0%view →
crew 1258+1.4%view →
crew 3494+1.1%view →
crew 34116+0.3%view →
crew 2025+0.2%view →
crew 1968365+0.0%view →
crew 2978171+0.0%view →
crew 3009618+0.0%view →
crew 1017-0.8%view →
crew 4739-0.9%view →
crew 14050-1.7%view →
crew 30626-5.1%view →
crew 707715-12.3%view →
Crew 19
200 resolved wallets
1144a…db47e5b13f…1cf0b59243…1e2319cffe…15ec219c80…9a5ef6611d…351831d296…a0c1b1ce4f…53160304b2…e910b306f7…8e1522577e…5e4d0e00bd…5d5d6f1ff5…0cb515141e…9f237a8f46…247647f382…9672fae517…fb011eae35…f48b72c6fd…bb89a4c711…9e6db45560…4989e15c63…3d7d060f54…2521d5859d…8b73187ace…e6387baf3a…68ca71c6e0…7e84e05e7b…76c8ea7e11…3d82521dc5…2dbe8ad871…3a85b7ba6b…88278d6e9c…87b62b634e…2234a70595…deb7b1445d…52d5b67c1d…713b534e98…665dbade3b…85bb01c6f8…8a016f0d51…0c2faed68f…65f7906f33…28126435ec…9eee8d42d2…de0160f172…6421df9bde…6386ab1987…abff4e9f49…183ec1ba6c…d2e4f27e55…a48e6ce735…b503c7320e…bda08f8512…29d493e654…8759f657d0…b4b93a7a55…1b56a2f33f…5ddce0e17e…c57095172d…95658794ee…72435b3ccb…f1e2cf31f2…de140ff36b…eccd569939…e2316bed4b…7637d0b297…e00c7ecc52…59072017aa…b8846e13db…bf6411b38a…d61de10942…cf7afabf14…bb9c0737f0…38175ea32b…20b8241593…dbd344be1e…a39c4c719e…70c2a7b745…ec4c01f423…6036b+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
fdf2…377f415,598,979+30.0%19 replay
0eed…e79f425,419,545+30.0%19 replay
3c54…600f417,735,946+30.0%19 replay
c3de…b7bf423,018,822+30.0%19 replay
c363…799f410,456,044+30.0%19 replay
de5d…ef5f426,609,255+30.0%19 replay
6fc1…76ff422,560,370+30.0%19 replay
1c20…25bf426,647,225+30.0%19 replay
22e7…592f415,354,683+30.0%19 replay
2255…d65f412,583,096+30.0%19 replay
3f2d…843f421,511,421+30.0%19 replay
3f13…71ef424,401,719+30.0%19 replay
5ca3…0cff425,317,995+30.0%19 replay
b688…6fbf420,539,309+30.0%19 replay
4729…3220416,412,514+30.0%19 replay
4685…637f418,689,188+30.0%19 replay
46e8…f3df427,649,709+30.0%19 replay
462e…c20f412,953,768+30.0%19 replay
2735…116f424,985,567+30.0%19 replay
42cb…b82f413,463,065+30.0%19 replay
b74c…1abf426,070,564+30.0%19 replay
5da1…9acf416,552,901+30.0%19 replay
87d3…9fcf424,739,990+30.0%19 replay
8ac5…f96f422,217,094+30.0%19 replay
b3ab…1b8f419,696,704+30.0%19 replay
8fff…65cf422,580,719+30.0%19 replay
42e6…d8bf422,497,486+30.0%19 replay
eec3…6cdf413,377,038+30.0%19 replay
3a1d…d5ff421,648,522+30.0%19 replay
ef21…026f417,199,683+30.0%19 replay
0f00…fd5f426,687,700+30.0%19 replay
4080…5a8f423,115,924+30.0%19 replay
b822…02bf426,606,588+30.0%19 replay
7a2e…645f424,944,539+30.0%19 replay
5dda…000f426,077,189+30.0%19 replay
2983…28af418,275,162+30.0%19 replay
0f6a…9a5f412,556,868+30.0%19 replay
7443…f31f424,354,575+30.0%19 replay
c46e…89bf427,517,900+30.0%19 replay
c44e…8d2f410,557,891+30.0%19 replay
c442…3ebf422,560,437+30.0%19 replay
41c0…94cf416,904,750+30.0%19 replay
411e…aa4f420,048,857+30.0%19 replay
df5b…e51f410,667,989+30.0%19 replay
de89…4fdf422,704,373+30.0%19 replay
70ed…fcff425,315,815+30.0%19 replay
7048…c4ef417,621,086+30.0%19 replay
7560…099f418,305,811+30.0%19 replay
750a…3f0f426,355,768+30.0%19 replay
7493…f68f427,130,325+30.0%19 replay
8c39…c54f421,767,932+30.0%19 replay
2448…4ecf422,223,611+30.0%19 replay
b7aa…922f423,843,343+30.0%19 replay
d9fe…865f418,540,227+30.0%19 replay
7509…c8df416,440,439+30.0%19 replay
d041…41df412,401,083+30.0%19 replay
5927…008f422,611,902+30.0%19 replay
8c7e…aeaf422,618,691+30.0%19 replay
8667…e0cf424,959,308+30.0%19 replay
86b7…e50f423,385,102+30.0%19 replay