│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 30% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-7.1%
n=12 out-of-sample
Hit rate
30%
20 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.9% → +5.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.239
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.5% … +12.4%
Support20
OOS support12
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 19
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 28 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 19
200 resolved wallets
1144a…db47e5b13f…1cf0b59243…1e2319cffe…15ec219c80…9a5ef6611d…351831d296…a0c1b1ce4f…53160304b2…e910b306f7…8e1522577e…5e4d0e00bd…5d5d6f1ff5…0cb515141e…9f237a8f46…247647f382…9672fae517…fb011eae35…f48b72c6fd…bb89a4c711…9e6db45560…4989e15c63…3d7d060f54…2521d5859d…8b73187ace…e6387baf3a…68ca71c6e0…7e84e05e7b…76c8ea7e11…3d82521dc5…2dbe8ad871…3a85b7ba6b…88278d6e9c…87b62b634e…2234a70595…deb7b1445d…52d5b67c1d…713b534e98…665dbade3b…85bb01c6f8…8a016f0d51…0c2faed68f…65f7906f33…28126435ec…9eee8d42d2…de0160f172…6421df9bde…6386ab1987…abff4e9f49…183ec1ba6c…d2e4f27e55…a48e6ce735…b503c7320e…bda08f8512…29d493e654…8759f657d0…b4b93a7a55…1b56a2f33f…5ddce0e17e…c57095172d…95658794ee…72435b3ccb…f1e2cf31f2…de140ff36b…eccd569939…e2316bed4b…7637d0b297…e00c7ecc52…59072017aa…b8846e13db…bf6411b38a…d61de10942…cf7afabf14…bb9c0737f0…38175ea32b…20b8241593…dbd344be1e…a39c4c719e…70c2a7b745…ec4c01f423…6036b+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fdf2…377f | 415,598,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 0eed…e79f | 425,419,545 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 3c54…600f | 417,735,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| c3de…b7bf | 423,018,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| c363…799f | 410,456,044 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| de5d…ef5f | 426,609,255 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 6fc1…76ff | 422,560,370 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 1c20…25bf | 426,647,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 22e7…592f | 415,354,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 2255…d65f | 412,583,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 3f2d…843f | 421,511,421 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 3f13…71ef | 424,401,719 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 5ca3…0cff | 425,317,995 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| b688…6fbf | 420,539,309 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 4729…3220 | 416,412,514 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 4685…637f | 418,689,188 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 46e8…f3df | 427,649,709 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 462e…c20f | 412,953,768 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 2735…116f | 424,985,567 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 42cb…b82f | 413,463,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| b74c…1abf | 426,070,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 5da1…9acf | 416,552,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 87d3…9fcf | 424,739,990 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8ac5…f96f | 422,217,094 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| b3ab…1b8f | 419,696,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8fff…65cf | 422,580,719 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 42e6…d8bf | 422,497,486 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| eec3…6cdf | 413,377,038 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 3a1d…d5ff | 421,648,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| ef21…026f | 417,199,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 0f00…fd5f | 426,687,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 4080…5a8f | 423,115,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| b822…02bf | 426,606,588 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 7a2e…645f | 424,944,539 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 5dda…000f | 426,077,189 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 2983…28af | 418,275,162 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 0f6a…9a5f | 412,556,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 7443…f31f | 424,354,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| c46e…89bf | 427,517,900 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| c44e…8d2f | 410,557,891 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| c442…3ebf | 422,560,437 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 41c0…94cf | 416,904,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 411e…aa4f | 420,048,857 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| df5b…e51f | 410,667,989 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| de89…4fdf | 422,704,373 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 70ed…fcff | 425,315,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 7048…c4ef | 417,621,086 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 7560…099f | 418,305,811 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 750a…3f0f | 426,355,768 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 7493…f68f | 427,130,325 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8c39…c54f | 421,767,932 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 2448…4ecf | 422,223,611 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| b7aa…922f | 423,843,343 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| d9fe…865f | 418,540,227 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 7509…c8df | 416,440,439 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| d041…41df | 412,401,083 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 5927…008f | 422,611,902 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8c7e…aeaf | 422,618,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8667…e0cf | 424,959,308 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 86b7…e50f | 423,385,102 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |