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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
transfer→buy
rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 29% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+19.9%
n=6 out-of-sample
Hit rate
29%
28 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.2% → +5.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.116
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.0% … +12.3%
Support28
OOS support6
MDL bits20
Case / control698905 / 1282029
Motif size3n · 2e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 55
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | df450459b3732272ae23b1de9db60c3954f6dbb06e3b5cdc68f1f5bbea63f4f7 | 85% | 29 |
Other crews running this exact shape
42 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4966 | 26 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 14529 | 18 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19127 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2468 | 16 | +21.2% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +17.8% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 16 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 23 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 45 | +13.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 76 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 18 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 48 | +9.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 39 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 72 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 24 | +9.2% | — | view → |
| crew 43 | 70 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 165 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 17893 | 89 | +8.5% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 18 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 584 | +8.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 37 | +8.1% | — | view → |
| all | 1372921 | +7.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 52 | +6.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 26 | +5.9% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 17 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 35 | +5.4% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 31 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 26 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 88 | +4.8% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 20 | +4.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 58 | +1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 94 | +1.1% | — | view → |
| crew 341 | 16 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 25 | +0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1968 | 365 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 171 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30096 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10 | 17 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 39 | -0.9% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 50 | -1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 26 | -5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | -7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 7077 | 15 | -12.3% | — | view → |
Crew 55
200 resolved wallets
df450…3f4f7dd1f6…dc5000ca81…b93b3deb86…6865cda4e9…38b2d6d124…25193e207e…0568654e75…349bcd439c…bf2c426906…b28f33aa11…08c80e0c3d…e866ef4d8b…1775bf352f…1d2176118e…041636fd79…99ef63d0bd…e6bba45d20…4b62f8ee24…02a5d9a0bd…8ee5c3b8b8…f381aeef53…97217718a5…cb17844a24…8aa0ae352e…ceaaf98d0b…1cb85e8f06…1c80397fb6…829f85d44f…03605faae3…2feab695ba…70aeaa89af…aafff6cc96…74830b9d54…02a77328e7…957afab39d…12b2bf3521…a3f42bc9bb…b58a60ca35…a3a9285722…04fddbc16a…1766f714cc…835a31ec2a…1e6bef4a70…fd7d1a5de0…d0236fce96…5a7ff9d68a…ed4f9bb72f…d60137ffd1…9dfa76a2a1…f3ad58b06c…15ac03316f…4cc84234ee…9c8ab3f20e…8cc23836b2…c33a523659…9ed8b8e22a…59ff94493d…67d91335b4…0381683b32…72638f7138…3ccdd8c95a…97755d7320…7e8c7c5c6b…1f37372192…d4877d333a…621b6de4d9…932f78ca8b…98f06796fd…2405df72f1…e6c3343dfa…0ca38e4b75…3595dbde69…aacc98ac94…57dfecc5f4…1f0052ccea…a41a5a49e1…f5e103092d…8221fcade3…2464b21bd8…cc9e4+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22fd…8eef | 413,110,685 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 2b0f…794f | 410,116,538 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| c8fd…bd0f | 422,717,312 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| b763…db9f | 412,212,063 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| b702…69af | 417,761,373 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 3aea…846c | 421,917,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| ee48…e98f | 413,862,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 5839…01ff | 410,864,378 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| ef4d…b45f | 413,973,964 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 5da9…2cff | 414,024,054 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 6a76…ea91 | 424,042,199 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 85aa…93cf | 417,746,596 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| fe09…d72f | 418,071,265 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 3b1c…59df | 412,099,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 3fe0…ac8f | 413,033,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| de1a…804f | 409,662,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 3f62…b5df | 411,841,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| cdcd…6fcf | 413,956,435 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| ddf0…43ff | 414,197,557 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| dd7e…003f | 416,504,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| dd4f…351f | 412,120,952 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 703d…513f | 416,562,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 6fe1…a83f | 414,086,992 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 88b3…740f | 413,893,280 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 72a9…decf | 423,276,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 72d0…3eb3 | 412,953,106 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 73aa…aeaf | 416,151,856 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 73e1…d15f | 412,136,581 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 466c…4dff | 412,982,306 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 4793…8aaf | 414,515,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| d7e6…0e4e | 426,069,010 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| b62b…6b7f | 411,348,353 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 3eed…a1cf | 415,606,904 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 3f4c…7c1f | 413,018,339 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 2233…15df | 412,103,299 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 4481…2f9f | 417,096,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 0fe6…a9bf | 412,178,957 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| ca70…25cf | 413,473,110 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| caa7…d2ff | 409,795,817 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 9171…ab4f | 417,018,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 91ff…337f | 419,094,162 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| efbc…9e2f | 412,999,611 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| f015…dfff | 418,722,326 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| fef3…cd4f | 410,986,449 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| ca3a…452f | 413,149,762 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| b442…221f | 417,160,844 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| b4c1…f57f | 412,858,155 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| b4e3…48b3 | 418,593,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 40d2…2d5f | 413,031,312 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 285a…1b6f | 422,720,465 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 7fd8…eacf | 426,558,450 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 8067…c82f | 413,962,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 80f8…23ef | 412,811,145 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 481c…8c3f | 412,332,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 48c5…dd9f | 418,042,752 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 4148…87da | 411,993,544 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 41e7…4b4e | 416,215,376 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| 7056…821f | 413,611,637 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| df54…a56f | 410,658,927 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |
| dda8…93ef | 412,118,323 | +30.0% | ✓ | 55 | replay |